Accelerated Phenotypic Aging Associated with Hepatitis C Infection: Results from the U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys 2015-2018.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is associated with early onset of chronic diseases, and increased risk of chronic disorders. Chronic viral infections have been linked to accelerated biological aging based on epigenetic clocks. In this study, we aimed to investigate the association between HCV infection and clinical measures of biological aging among 8,306 adults participating the 2015-2018 waves of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). METHODS: NHANES 2015-2018 participants aged 20 years and older who had complete data on clinical blood markers and HCV related tests were included in the current study. We estimated biological age using two approaches including Phenotypic Age (PhenoAge) and allostatic load (AL) score based on nine clinical biomarkers. RESULTS: After adjusting for demographic and other confounding factors, HCV antibody-positivity was associated with advanced PhenoAge (ß = 2.43, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.51-3.35), compared with HCV antibody-negativity. Additionally, both active HCV infection (HCV RNA (+)) and resolved infection were associated with greater PhenoAge acceleration. The positive association with AL score was not statistically significant. We did not observe any significant interactions of potential effect modifiers, including smoking and use of drug/ needle injection, with HCV infection on measures of biological aging. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that HCV infection is independently associated with biological aging measured by phenotypic age in the US general population. Further studies are warranted to confirm the findings.

Treatment Outcomes in Patients with Carcinoma In Situ of the Larynx.

OBJECTIVE: To compare survival endpoints in patients with laryngeal carcinoma in situ (L-CIS) who received definitive radiotherapy (RT) versus other modalities as first-line treatment and after disease recurrence. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of patients with L-CIS treated between June 2001 and December 2021. Survival outcomes (recurrence-free (RFS), invasion-free (IFS), laryngectomy-free (LFS), and overall survival (OS)) were compared between patients who had first-line RT versus non-RT modalities and for patients with recurrent disease who underwent second-line RT. RESULTS: A total of 85 patients with L-CIS were included (73 men [85.9%] and 12 [14.1%] women, median age of 65 [IQR: 55-74] years). Of these, 42 had first-line RT (49.4%) and 43 (50.6%) had non-RT treatment. After median follow-up of 4.8 (IQR: 2.8-9) years, patients in the first-line RT group had improved 2-year (94.2% [95% confidence interval (CI): 86.7-100] versus 41.7% [CI: 29.3-59.5]) and 5-year (90.6% [CI: 80.9-100] versus 27.5% [CI: 16.4-48.2]) RFS relative to non-RT recipients (p < 0.001). OS and IFS were similar between groups. However, patients in the RT group had worse 2-year (94% [CI: 87-100] versus 98% [CI: 93-100]) and 5-year (82% [CI: 68-99] versus 98% [CI: 93-100]; p = 0.013) LFS. All 35 patients with recurrent L-CIS were successfully cured with second-line treatments (12 received RT [34.3%]), and no differences in any survival endpoints were seen in these patients based on first-line and second-line treatments. CONCLUSION: Although first-line RT for L-CIS led to improved recurrence-free survival compared with other modalities, second-line RT may be a particularly valuable option for recurrent CIS. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3 Laryngoscope, 2024.

Nifedipine outperforms labetalol: A comparative analysis of hypertension management in black pregnancies.

BACKGROUND: Nifedipine has previously exhibited superior efficacy to labetalol in managing hypertension in the non-pregnant Black population, establishing itself as a first-line treatment option. However, the unique challenges of hypertension during pregnancy, especially prevalent in Black individuals, remain underexplored in terms of effective medication choices. This gap highlights the need for targeted research on antihypertensive efficacy specifically within this population. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of nifedipine versus labetalol in managing blood pressure in Black pregnancies. The primary measure is the mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure trajectories throughout pregnancy, determining the superiority of nifedipine in this context. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study was conducted at a multi-center institution in the metropolitan Detroit area, encompassing data from 1,235 Black pregnancies affected by chronic hypertension between 2015 and 2022. Mean blood pressure trajectories during pregnancy were fit by linear mixed effects model with a random intercept and time effect. RESULTS: Patients on nifedipine had an estimated 2.08 mmHg lower mean systolic and 1.60 mmHg lower mean diastolic blood pressure compared to those on labetalol, with significant p-values of 0.040 and 0.028. Additionally, nifedipine users were less likely to need increased doses, with an odds ratio of 0.28 (95 % CI: 0.19-0.40, p < 0.001) compared to labetalol users. CONCLUSION: This study provides compelling evidence that nifedipine outperforms labetalol in managing blood pressure during Black pregnancies. These findings suggest that the initiation of nifedipine should be considered in the management of chronic hypertension among Black pregnant individuals, offering a potentially more effective treatment option.

Effect of vaccine hesitancy on female college students' willingness to receive the HPV vaccine in China: a multicenter cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the influencing factors of vaccine hesitancy on HPV vaccination willingness of female college students in order to promote the promotion of HPV vaccine in female college student population. METHODS: From September-October 2022, a convenience sampling method was used to conduct a questionnaire survey among freshman female students from four higher vocational colleges in Henan Province, China. The survey comprised a general information questionnaire, as well as inquiries regarding vaccine hesitancy and willingness to receive the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine. In PSM analyses, vaccine-hesitant students were matched with non-vaccine-hesitant students at a 1:1 ratio; subsequently, both univariate and multivariatble logistic regression analyses were applied to assess the impact of vaccine hesitancy on female university students' willingness to receive the HPV vaccine. RESULTS: The results revealed a vaccine hesitancy rate of 44.75% among female university students, with 82.9% expressing willingness to receive the HPV vaccine. The results of the multivariable ordinal logistic regression analysis indicated vaccine hesitancy is a risk factor for HPV vaccination intentions among female university students [OR = 4.38, 95% CI (2.74, 6.99), P < 0.001]. Furthermore, the field of study (P = 0.01) and independently seeking information about the HPV vaccine (P = 0.04) were identified as factors influencing female university students' willingness to receive the HPV vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: Non-vaccine-hesitant students were more likely to be willing to receive the HPV vaccine than vaccine-hesitant students. Healthcare providers and educators should focus on vaccine attitudes among female college students to reduce vaccine hesitancy and enhance community education on cervical cancer, HPV infection and prevention through multichannel campaigns.

The prognostic impact of substantial lymphovascular space invasion in women with node negative FIGO stage I uterine carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: Substantial lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI) is an important predictor of lymph node (LN) involvement in women with endometrial carcinoma. We studied the prognostic significance of substantial LVSI in patients with 2009-FIGO stage-I uterine endometrioid adenocarcinoma (EC) who all had pathologic negative nodal evaluation (PNNE). METHODS: Pathologic specimens were retrieved and LVSI was quantified (focal or substantial) in women with stage-I EC who had a hysterectomy and PNNE. In addition to multivariate analysis (MVA), recurrence-free (RFS), disease-specific (DSS), and overall (OS) survival was compared between women with focal vs. substantial LVSI. RESULTS: 1052 patients were identified with a median follow-up of 9.7 years. 358 women (34%) received adjuvant radiotherapy. 907 patients (86.2%) had no LVSI, 87 (8.3%) had focal, and 58 (5.5%) had substantial LVSI. Five-year RFS was 93.3% (95% CI: 91.5-95.1), 76.8% (95% CI: 67.2-87.7) and 79.1% (95% CI: 67.6-95.3) for no, focal, and substantial LVSI(p < 0.0001). There was no statistically significant difference in 5-year RFS, DSS, OS, and in the patterns of initial recurrence between women with focal vs substantial LVSI. On MVA with propensity score matching, substantial LVSI was not independently associated with any survival endpoint compared to focal LVSI, albeit both were detrimental when compared to no LVSI. Age ≥ 60 years and higher grade were predictors of worse RFS, DSS, and OS. Additionally, comorbidity burden was an independent predictor for OS. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that substantial LVSI does not predict worse survival endpoints or different recurrence patterns in women with stage-I EC with PNNE when compared to focal LVSI.

A Method for Detecting Five Carbapenemases in Bacteria Based on CRISPR-Cas12a Multiple RPA Rapid Detection Technology.

Introduction: As the last line of defense for clinical treatment, Carbapenem antibiotics are increasingly challenged by multi-drug resistant bacteria containing carbapenemases. The rapid spread of these multidrug-resistant bacteria is the greatest threat to severe global health problems. Methods: To solve the problem of rapid transmission of this multidrug-resistant bacteria, we have developed a rapid detection technology using CRPSPR-Cas12a gene editing based on multiple Recombinase polymerase amplification. This technical method can directly isolate the genes of carbapenemase-containing bacteria from samples, with a relatively short detection time of 30 minutes. The instrument used for the detection is relatively inexpensive. Only a water bath can complete the entire experiment of Recombinase polymerase amplification and trans cleavage. This reaction requires no lid during the entire process while reducing a large amount of aerosol pollution. Results: The detection sensitivity of this method is 1.5 CFU/mL, and the specificity is 100%. Discussion: This multi-scene detection method is suitable for screening populations in wild low-resource environments and large-scale indoor crowds. It can be widely used in hospital infection control and prevention and to provide theoretical insights for clinical diagnosis and treatment.

Factors influencing self-regulatory fatigue in patients undergoing chemotherapy for gynecologic cancer: a cross-sectional study.

Objective: To understand the current status of self-regulatory fatigue among gynecologic cancer chemotherapy patients and explore influencing factors. Methods: Using convenient sampling, a total of 232 gynecological cancer chemotherapy patients from two tertiary hospitals in Zhengzhou, Henan, China, were selected as study subjects from February 2023 to April 2023. General information questionnaire, Self-Regulatory Fatigue Scale (SRF-S), Strategies Used by People to Promote Health (SUPPH) Scale, Connor-Davidson resilience scale (CD-RISC) and Perceived Social Support Scale (PSSS) were employed for data collection. The data were analyzed using SPSS 26.0 software. Chi-square test and binary logistic regression were executed to explore the correlates of self-regulatory fatigue, the significance level (α) was set at 0.05. Results: The self-regulatory fatigue score of the 232 patients was 44 (36, 56). Binary logistic regression analyses revealed significant associations, demonstrating that residing in urban areas (OR=0.241, P=0.015), having no comorbidities (OR=0.158, P=0.015), increased perceived social support (OR=0.937, P=0.001), strong self-efficacy (OR=0.959, P=0.021), and heightened psychological resilience (OR=0.895, P<0.001) acted as protective factors against self-regulatory fatigue (P < 0.05). Conclusion: Patients residing in rural areas, having more than two comorbidities, lower self-efficacy and psychological resilience levels, and lower perceived social support are indicative of higher levels of self-regulatory fatigue. Identifying these influencing factors can provide references and support for developing individualized support and intervention measures to improve patients' physical and mental well-being.

Establishing a pulmonary aspergillus fumigatus infection diagnostic platform based on RPA-CRISPR-Cas12a.

In this study, we devised a diagnostic platform harnessing a combination of recombinase polymerase amplification (RPA) and the clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats (CRISPR)/Cas12a system. Notably, this platform obviates the need for intricate equipment and finds utility in diverse settings. Two result display methods were incorporated in this investigation: the RPA-Cas12a-fluorescence method and the RPA-Cas12a-LFS (lateral flow strip). Upon validation, both display platforms exhibited no instances of cross-reactivity, with seven additional types of fungal pathogens responsible for respiratory infections. The established detection limit was ascertained to be as low as 102 copies/µL. In comparison to fluorescence quantitative PCR, the platform demonstrated a sensitivity of 96.7%, a specificity of 100%, and a consistency rate of 98.0%.This platform provides expeditious, precise, and on-site detection capabilities, thereby rendering it a pivotal diagnostic instrument amenable for deployment in primary healthcare facilities and point-of-care settings.

Association of sleep duration, chronotype, social jetlag, and sleep disturbance with phenotypic age acceleration: A cross-sectional analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Sleep is a critical health-related behavior; research evidence has shown that sleep duration, poor sleep quality and insomnia are associated with aging and relevant age-related diseases. However, the associations between sleep duration, chronotype, sleep disturbance, and biological age have not been comprehensively assessed. This study aimed to examine sleep characteristics with biological age. METHODS: The study included 6534 participants aged 20 years and older from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 2017 and March 2020. Sleep questionnaires were used to collect information on sleep duration and wake behavior on workdays and workfree days and sleep disturbance. Phenotypic age acceleration (PhenoAgeAccel) was estimated as a biological age measure using 9 blood chemistry biomarkers. RESULTS: Long sleep (>9 hours) and extremely short sleep (≤4 hours) on workdays were positively associated with PhenoAgeAccel, compared with optimal sleep duration (7-8 hours). Similar positive associations with PhenoAgeAccel were observed for sleep duration on workfree days and across the whole week. Both slightly evening and evening chronotypes were associated with faster PhenoAgeAccel compared to morning chronotype. Social jetlag and sleep disturbance were not associated with PhenoAgeAccel, while long corrected social jetlag was associated with faster PhenoAgeAccel. The associations of sleep duration, chronotype, and corrected social jetlag with PhenoAgeAccel appeared stronger among females than among males. CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest a U-shape relationship between sleep duration and biological aging; slightly evening and evening chronotypes may be risk factors for aging. Further studies are needed to confirm these findings.

The relationships between burnout, general wellbeing, and psychological detachment with turnover intention in Chinese nurses: a cross-sectional study.

Background: It is critical to minimize nurse turnover to improve the quality of care and patient safety. In-depth investigation is required to better understand the factors related to nurses' turnover intentions. Aim: This study aimed to determine the relationships between burnout, general wellbeing, and psychological detachment with turnover intention among nurses in China. Methods: A cross-sectional survey using convenience sampling was conducted in one hospital in China between January 2023 and March 2023. A total of 536 nurses were surveyed using the General Wellbeing Schedule (GWB), the Maslach Burnout Inventory scale (MBI), the Psychological Detachment scale, and the Turnover Intention scale. The collected data were analyzed using SPSS 26.0 statistical software. The chi-square test and binary logistic regression analysis were used to explore the factors related to turnover intention. Results: Our data demonstrated that the turnover intention scores were 13 (10, 15.75), with 56% of nurses exhibiting a high level of turnover intention. Binary logistic regression analysis results indicated that being on a contract (OR = 4.385, 95% CI = 2.196-8.754), working in the pediatrics (OR = 2.392, 95% CI = 1.267-4.514) or obstetrics (OR = 2.423, 95% CI = 1.145-5.126) department, and experiencing burnout (OR = 1.024, 95% CI = 1.008-1.041) were associated with a heightened level of turnover intention. Conversely, organizational satisfaction (OR = 0.162, 95% CI = 0.033-0.787) and general wellbeing (OR = 0.967, 95% CI = 0.946-0.989) were identified as factors that hindered the intention to leave. Conclusions: Findings from this study suggest that nurses were employed on a contract basis, working in pediatric or obstetric departments, expressing dissatisfaction with the organization, reporting low general wellbeing, and experiencing high levels of burnout that require special attention. The identification of these risk factors can inform targeted interventions and support programs aimed at improving the wellbeing and retention of nurses in these settings.

A PCR-Reverse Dot Blot Hybridization Based Microfluidics Detection System for the Rapid Identification of 13 Fungal Pathogens Directly After Blood Cultures Over a Period of Time.

Introduction: It is time-consuming to identify fungal pathogens from positive blood cultures using the standard culture-based method. And delayed diagnosis of bloodstream infection leads to significantly increased mortality. Methods: We developed a PCR-reverse dot blot hybridization combined with microfluidic chip techniques to rapidly identify 13 fungal pathogens within 3-4 h using the sample of blood cultured over a period of time. Results: We performed clinical validation using 43 blood culture-positive samples with a sensitivity of 96.7%, a specificity of 100%, and a concordance rate of 97.7%. Samples with different culture durations were evaluated using our approach, showing a detection rate of 85.2% at 16 h and 96.3% at 24 h; the platform could reach a detection limit of 103cfu/mL for the Candida spp. and 103 copies/mL for Aspergillus spp. Discussion: The detection rate of the platform is much higher than the positive rates of concurrent blood cultures. This method bears substantial clinical application potential as it incorporates the microfluidic platform with low reagent consumption, automation, and low cost (about 10 dollars).

A microfluidic chip-based multiplex PCR-reverse dot blot hybridization technique for rapid detection of enteropathogenic bacteria.

Diarrhea caused by enteropathogenic bacteria is a major public health issue worldwide, especially in developing countries. In this study, a microfluidic chip-based multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-reverse dot blot hybridization technology for the rapid and simultaneous detection of 11 enteropathogenic bacteria was developed and the entire process was completed within 3-4 h. The specificity of this method was analyzed using 11 types of pure target bacterial colonies and another 7 types of pure bacterial colonies, and its sensitivity was evaluated with the serial 10-fold dilution of 11 types of pure target bacterial colonies. The detection limit of this method was as low as 103-102 CFU/mL, and it exhibited high specificity for enteropathogenic bacteria. A total of 60 clinical diarrheal fecal samples were detected using this method, the results of which were compared with those of the conventional reference method, which resulted in a positive coincident rate of 100% and a negative coincident rate of 93.75%. Based on the findings, it could be concluded that multiplex PCR-reverse dot blot hybridization based on the microfluidic chip is a rapid, economical, sensitive, specific, and high-throughput method for detecting enteropathogenic bacteria.

The mediating role of perceived social support: alexithymia and parental burnout in parents of children with autism spectrum disorder.

Background: Parental burnout is a concept that reflects the emotional exhaustion and emotional distance of parents from children due to their inability to cope with the pressure of parenting. It has been confirmed that parents of autistic children are at higher risk for parental burnout. Additional research has suggested a relationship between parental burnout and parents' personality traits. However, the relationship between alexithymia, an independent personality factor, with parental burnout is little to none. Objective: To look into the connection between parental burnout and alexithymia among parents of autistic children. Method: Three hundred and one parents were approached for recruitment and data were collected from 203 parents through a cross-sectional survey assessing parental burnout, alexithymia status, and perceived social support. Because the data is not normally distributed, Spearman's rank correlation coefficient rho(p) was used to assess the correlation between the variables; and then using AMOS to analyze the mediating effects of perceived social support and the moderating effect of gender. Result: The result showed that (1) There is a negative association between alexithymia with parental burnout (ß = 0.6, p < 0.01), while perceive social support was the negative predictor of alexithymia (ß = -0.45, p < 0.01) and parental burnout (ß = -0.26, p < 0.01); (2) perceive social support partially mediated the relationship between alexithymia and parental burnout of parents of autistic children, which can explain 16.3% of the total effect; (3) Gender plays a moderating role in the first half of the indirect effect of alexithymia on parental burnout, as evidenced by the significant difference in path coefficients between the male and female models (male: ß = -0.10, p < 0.05; female: ß = -0.60, p < 0.05). Conclusion: Health professionals and policymakers should be aware of parental burnout among parents of autistic children in China and take early intervention steps. Furthermore, they should recognize the negative impact of alexithymia and the positive impact of social support when developing plans to alleviate parental burnout in children with autism, with a particular focus on mothers with alexithymia, who are more likely to experience low social support and burnout than fathers with alexithymia.

Comprehensive Study of Untargeted Metabolomics and 16S rRNA Reveals the Mechanism of Fecal Microbiota Transplantation in Improving a Mouse Model of T2D.

Background: Fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) has emerged as a new therapy targeting gastrointestinal microbiota for the treatment of a growing number of diseases in recent years. Previous studies have suggested that FMT may be a potential therapy for type 2 diabetes (T2D), but the underlying mechanism remains unclear. Therefore, in the present study, we aimed to investigate the role of FMT in T2D and its underlying mechanisms. Methods: To induce T2D, mice were fed a high-fat diet and injected with low-dose streptozotocin (STZ) for four weeks. The mice were then randomly divided into four groups: control group (n = 7), T2D group (n = 7), metformin (MET)-treated group (n = 7), and FMT group (n = 7). The MET group was orally administered 0.2 g/kg MET, the FMT group was orally administered 0.3 mL of bacterial solution, and the other two groups were orally administered the same volume of saline for four weeks. Serum and fecal samples were collected for non-targeted metabolomics, biochemical indicators, and 16S rRNA sequencing, respectively. Results: Our results demonstrated that FMT had a curative effect on T2D by ameliorating hyperlipidemia and hyperglycemia. Using 16S rRNA sequencing and serum untargeted metabolomic analysis, we found that FMT could restore the disorders of gastrointestinal microbiota in T2D mice. Moreover, corticosterone, progesterone, L-urobilin, and other molecules were identified as biomarkers after FMT treatment. Our bioinformatics analysis suggested that steroid hormone biosynthesis, arginine, proline metabolism, and unsaturated fatty acid biosynthesis could be potential regulatory mechanisms of FMT. Conclusion: In summary, our study provides comprehensive evidence for the role of FMT in the treatment of T2D. FMT has the potential to become a promising strategy for the treatment of metabolic disorders, T2D, and diabetes-related complications.

Rapid visualization of Clostridioides difficile toxins A and B by multiplex RPA combined with CRISPR-Cas12a.

Purpose: Clostridioides difficile (C. difficile) infection is the most common cause of nosocomial infection, which is a severe challenge in modern medical care. Currently, many laboratory diagnostic methods for C. difficile are available, such as PCR, culture-based tests, and antigen-based tests. However, these methods are not suitable for rapid point-of-care testing (POCT). Therefore, it is of great significance to develop a rapid, sensitive, and cost-effective method to detect C. difficile toxin genes. Methods: Recently, the development of clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats (CRISPR) technology has emerged as a promising tool for rapid POCT. In this study, we developed a rapid and specific detection platform for dual C. difficile toxins by combining recombinase polymerase amplification (RPA) and CRISPR/Cas12a. Results: The platform includes multiplex RPA-cas12a-fluorescence assay and multiplex RPA-cas12a-LFS (Lateral flow strip) assay, through which the detection limit for tcdA and tcdB was 10 copies/µL and 1 copy/µL, respectively. The results can be more clearly distinguished using a violet flashlight, which realized a portable visual readout. The platform can be tested within 50 min. Furthermore, our method did not cross-react with other pathogens that cause intestinal diarrhea. The results of 10 clinical samples using our method was 100% consistent with those from real-time PCR detection. Conclusion: In conclusion, the CRISPR-based double toxin gene detection platform for C. difficile is an effective, specific, and sensitive detection method, which can be used as a powerful on-site detection tool for POCT in the future.

Establishment and Methodological Evaluation of a Method for Rapid Detection of Helicobacter pylori and Virulence Genes Based on CRISPR-Cas12a.

Introduction: More than half of the world's people are infected or have been infected with Helicobacter pylori. This infection is related to many diseases, with its pathogenicity related to virulence factors. Therefore, the rapid diagnosis of H. pylori and genotyping of virulence genes play an extremely important role in the clinical treatment and control of transmission. Methods: To this end, we developed a molecular detection method based on RPA- CRISPR-Cas12a technology for the specific genes 16S rDNA gene, cytotoxin associated gene A(cagA), and vacuolating cytotoxin A (vacA) of H. pylori. Results: The results of which were displayed by lateral flow strips. Macroscopic observation takes only about 25 minutes and the sensitivity is 2ng/microliter. Discussion: The method is simple, convenient to operate and has low costs, and can therefore be applied widely to the detection and typing of H. pylori in various environments such as primary hospitals, community clinics, outdoors, and large medical institutions.

SARS-COV-ATE risk assessment model for arterial thromboembolism in COVID-19.

Patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection are at an increased risk of cardiovascular and thrombotic complications conferring an extremely poor prognosis. COVID-19 infection is known to be an independent risk factor for acute ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction (MI). We developed a risk assessment model (RAM) to stratify hospitalized COVID-19 patients for arterial thromboembolism (ATE). This multicenter, retrospective study included adult COVID-19 patients admitted between 3/1/2020 and 9/5/2021. Among 3531 patients from the training cohort, 15.5% developed acute in-hospital ATE, including stroke, MI, and other ATE, compared to 13.4% in the validation cohort. The 16-item final score was named SARS-COV-ATE (Sex: male = 1, Age [40-59 = 2, > 60 = 4], Race: non-African American = 1, Smoking = 1 and Systolic blood pressure elevation = 1, Creatinine elevation = 1; Over the range: leukocytes/lactate dehydrogenase/interleukin-6, B-type natriuretic peptide = 1, Vascular disease (cardiovascular/cerebrovascular = 1), Aspartate aminotransferase = 1, Troponin-I [> 0.04 ng/mL = 1, troponin-I > 0.09 ng/mL = 3], Electrolytes derangement [magnesium/potassium = 1]). RAM had a good discrimination (training AUC 0.777, 0.756-0.797; validation AUC 0.766, 0.741-0.790). The validation cohort was stratified as low-risk (score 0-8), intermediate-risk (score 9-13), and high-risk groups (score ≥ 14), with the incidence of ATE 2.4%, 12.8%, and 33.8%, respectively. Our novel prediction model based on 16 standardized, commonly available parameters showed good performance in identifying COVID-19 patients at risk for ATE on admission.

3D-PAST: Risk Assessment Model for Predicting Venous Thromboembolism in COVID-19.

Hypercoagulability is a recognized feature in SARS-CoV-2 infection. There exists a need for a dedicated risk assessment model (RAM) that can risk-stratify hospitalized COVID-19 patients for venous thromboembolism (VTE) and guide anticoagulation. We aimed to build a simple clinical model to predict VTE in COVID-19 patients. This large-cohort, retrospective study included adult patients admitted to four hospitals with PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Model training was performed on 3531 patients hospitalized between March and December 2020 and validated on 2508 patients hospitalized between January and September 2021. Diagnosis of VTE was defined as acute deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE). The novel RAM was based on commonly available parameters at hospital admission. LASSO regression and logistic regression were performed, risk scores were assigned to the significant variables, and cutoffs were derived. Seven variables with assigned scores were delineated as: DVT History = 2; High D-Dimer (>500−2000 ng/mL) = 2; Very High D-Dimer (>2000 ng/mL) = 5; PE History = 2; Low Albumin (<3.5 g/dL) = 1; Systolic Blood Pressure <120 mmHg = 1, Tachycardia (heart rate >100 bpm) = 1. The model had a sensitivity of 83% and specificity of 53%. This simple, robust clinical tool can help individualize thromboprophylaxis for COVID-19 patients based on their VTE risk category.

Venous thromboembolism in COVID-19 patients and prediction model: a multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with COVID-19 infection are commonly reported to have an increased risk of venous thrombosis. The choice of anti-thrombotic agents and doses are currently being studied in randomized controlled trials and retrospective studies. There exists a need for individualized risk stratification of venous thromboembolism (VTE) to assist clinicians in decision-making on anticoagulation. We sought to identify the risk factors of VTE in COVID-19 patients, which could help physicians in the prevention, early identification, and management of VTE in hospitalized COVID-19 patients and improve clinical outcomes in these patients. METHOD: This is a multicenter, retrospective database of four main health systems in Southeast Michigan, United States. We compiled comprehensive data for adult COVID-19 patients who were admitted between 1st March 2020 and 31st December 2020. Four models, including the random forest, multiple logistic regression, multilinear regression, and decision trees, were built on the primary outcome of in-hospital acute deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) and tested for performance. The study also reported hospital length of stay (LOS) and intensive care unit (ICU) LOS in the VTE and the non-VTE patients. Four models were assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and confusion matrix. RESULTS: The cohort included 3531 admissions, 3526 had discharge diagnoses, and 6.68% of patients developed acute VTE (N = 236). VTE group had a longer hospital and ICU LOS than the non-VTE group (hospital LOS 12.2 days vs. 8.8 days, p < 0.001; ICU LOS 3.8 days vs. 1.9 days, p < 0.001). 9.8% of patients in the VTE group required more advanced oxygen support, compared to 2.7% of patients in the non-VTE group (p < 0.001). Among all four models, the random forest model had the best performance. The model suggested that blood pressure, electrolytes, renal function, hepatic enzymes, and inflammatory markers were predictors for in-hospital VTE in COVID-19 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with COVID-19 have a high risk for VTE, and patients who developed VTE had a prolonged hospital and ICU stay. This random forest prediction model for VTE in COVID-19 patients identifies predictors which could aid physicians in making a clinical judgment on empirical dosages of anticoagulation.