A public health development intervention between acceptability and feasibility: descriptive-interpretive discussion of an example.

Introduction: the National Tuberculosis Control Program (NTP) in Cameroon participated between 2016 and 2018 in a multi-country operational study of the Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease (The UNION) aiming at demonstrating the efficiency and feasibility of systematic tuberculosis preventive treatment (TPT) with 3 months of an isoniazid/rifampicin (3RH) combination in under-five child contacts of bacilliferous TB patients. Cameroon was one of the participating countries of the study. Despite the promising results communicated following this study, the coverage of TPT with 3RH in Cameroon remains low. We explored the intervention under aspects of acceptability and perceived feasibility. Methods: key participants and stakeholders in this descriptive interpretative study in Cameroon were interviewed in five focus groups or individually (31 individuals). The Focus Group Discussion (FGD) and interview transcripts were analysed for different components of acceptability using a theoretical framework and the results discussed confronting them with the main objective of the study, i.e. demonstrating feasibility. Results: the children's parents expressed overall positive feelings about and acceptance of the intervention, emphasizing the unexpected empathy shown by the health staff. The involved field staff, too, showed unreserved acceptance. On the other hand, managers at the intermediate and central levels showed scepticism as to the process of initiation of the study as well as to its feasibility in the given context, neglecting aspects of resources necessary for a scaling-up and of prioritisation. Conclusion: the adoption of a public health strategy, also internationally recognized as an effective and efficient intervention, requires more than the demonstration of its acceptability or feasibility during the term of a showcase project introduced by an external development partner. Adoption is conditioned by adoption and circumspect planning involving at each stage the stakeholders on all levels of the program.

Theoretical Assessment of the Impact of Water Stress on Plants Production: Case of Banana-Plantain.

The aim of this paper is to investigate the role of water stress on plants production. We propose a mathematical model for the dynamics growth of plants that takes into account the concentration of available water in the soil, water stress, plant production and plants compensation. Sensitivity analysis of the model has been performed in order to determine the impact of related parameters on the dynamics growth of plants. We present the theoretical analysis of the model with and without water stress. More precisely, we show that the full model is well-posedness. For each model, we compute the trivial equilibria and derive two thresholds parameters that determine the outcome of water stress within a plantation. Further, we perform numerical simulation on the case of banana-plantain simulations to support the theory. We found that the Hopf bifurcation occurs for a specific value of the water absorption rate of unstressed plants. The impact of the water stress on the banana-plantain production is also numerically investigated. After, the role of the water stress on the plant production is numerically investigated. We found that the water stress can cause about 68.16% of loss of banana-plantain production within a plantation with 1600 rejets initially planted. This suggests that climate change plays a detrimental role on banana-plantains production.

Prediction of pulmonary tuberculosis treatment outcome in a sub-Saharan African context.

Failure to treat many pathogens is a concern. Identifying a priori, patients with potential failure treatment outcome of a disease could allow measures to reduce the failure rate. The objectives of this study were to use the Scoring method to identify factors associated with the tuberculosis unsuccessful treatment outcome and to predict the treatment outcome. A total of 1,529 patients with pulmonary tuberculosis were randomly selected in the city of Douala, Cameroon, this sample was randomly split into two parts: one subsample of 1,200 patients (78%) used as the Development sample, and the remaining of 329 patients (22%) used as the Validation sample. Baseline characteristics associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes were investigated using logistic regression. The optimal score was based on the Youden's index. HIV positive status, active smoker and non-belief in healing were the factors significantly associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes (P#x003C;0.05). A model used to estimate the risk of unsuccessful treatment outcome was derived. The threshold probability which maximize the area under the ROC curve was 18%. Patients for whom the risk was greater than this threshold were classified as unsuccessful treatment outcome and the others as successful. HIV positive and active smoking status were associated with death; the non-belief in healing, youth and male gender associated with lost-to-follow-up, TB antecedent and not having TB contact associated with therapeutic treatment failure. To increase the tuberculosis treatment success rate, targeted follow-up could be taken during the treatment for TB patients with previous characteristics.