A cardiologist's guide to machine learning in cardiovascular disease prognosis prediction.

A modern-day physician is faced with a vast abundance of clinical and scientific data, by far surpassing the capabilities of the human mind. Until the last decade, advances in data availability have not been accompanied by analytical approaches. The advent of machine learning (ML) algorithms might improve the interpretation of complex data and should help to translate the near endless amount of data into clinical decision-making. ML has become part of our everyday practice and might even further change modern-day medicine. It is important to acknowledge the role of ML in prognosis prediction of cardiovascular disease. The present review aims on preparing the modern physician and researcher for the challenges that ML might bring, explaining basic concepts but also caveats that might arise when using these methods. Further, a brief overview of current established classical and emerging concepts of ML disease prediction in the fields of omics, imaging and basic science is presented.

Epiphenomenon or Prognostically Relevant Interventional Target? A Novel Proportionality Framework for Severe Tricuspid Regurgitation.

Background Tricuspid regurgitation (TR) frequently develops in patients with long-standing pulmonary hypertension, and both pathologies are associated with increased morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to improve prognostic assessment in patients with severe TR undergoing transcatheter tricuspid valve intervention (TTVI) by relating the extent of TR to pulmonary artery pressures. Methods and Results In this multicenter study, we included 533 patients undergoing TTVI for moderate-to-severe or severe TR. The proportionality framework was based on the ratio of tricuspid valve effective regurgitant orifice area to mean pulmonary artery pressure. An optimal threshold for tricuspid valve effective regurgitant orifice area/mean pulmonary artery pressure ratio was derived on 353 patients with regard to 2-year all-cause mortality and externally validated on 180 patients. Patients with a tricuspid valve effective regurgitant orifice area/mean pulmonary artery pressure ratio ≤1.25 mm2/mm Hg (defining proportionate TR) featured significantly lower 2-year survival rates after TTVI than patients with disproportionate TR (56.6% versus 69.6%; P=0.005). In contrast with patients with disproportionate TR (n=398), patients with proportionate TR (n=135) showed more pronounced mPAP levels (37.9±9.06 mm Hg versus 27.9±8.17 mm Hg; P<2.2×10-16) and more severely impaired right ventricular function (tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion: 16.0±4.11 versus 17.0±4.64 mm; P=0.012). Moreover, tricuspid valve effective regurgitant orifice area was smaller in patients with proportionate TR when compared with disproportionate TR (0.350±0.105 cm2 versus 0.770±0.432 cm2; P<2.2×10-16). Importantly, proportionate TR remained a significant predictor for 2-year mortality after adjusting for demographic and clinical variables (hazard ratio, 1.7; P=0.006). Conclusions The proposed proportionality framework promises to improve future risk stratification and clinical decision-making by identifying patients who benefit the most from TTVI (disproportionate TR). As a next step, randomized controlled studies with a conservative treatment arm are needed to quantify the net benefit of TTVI in patients with proportionate TR.

Staging Heart Failure Patients With Secondary Mitral Regurgitation Undergoing Transcatheter Edge-to-Edge Repair.

BACKGROUND: Secondary mitral regurgitation (SMR) is a progressive disease with characteristic pathophysiological changes that may influence prognosis. Although the staging of SMR patients suffering from heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) according to extramitral cardiac involvement has prognostic value in medically treated patients, such data are so far lacking for edge-to-edge mitral valve repair (M-TEER). OBJECTIVES: This study sought to classify M-TEER patients into disease stages based on the phenotype of extramitral cardiac involvement and to assess its impact on symptomatic and survival outcomes. METHODS: Based on echocardiographic and clinical assessment, patients were assigned to 1 of the following HFrEF-SMR groups: left ventricular involvement (Stage 1), left atrial involvement (Stage 2), right ventricular volume/pressure overload (Stage 3), or biventricular failure (Stage 4). A Cox regression model was implemented to investigate the impact of HFrEF-SMR stages on 2-year all-cause mortality. The symptomatic outcome was assessed with New York Heart Association functional class at follow-up. RESULTS: Among a total of 849 eligible patients who underwent M-TEER for relevant SMR from 2008 until 2019, 9.5% (n = 81) presented with left ventricular involvement, 46% (n = 393) with left atrial involvement, 15% (n = 129) with right ventricular pressure/volume overload, and 29% (n = 246) with biventricular failure. An increase in HFrEF-SMR stage was associated with increased 2-year all-cause mortality after M-TEER (HR: 1.39; CI: 1.23-1.58; P < 0.01). Furthermore, higher HFrEF-SMR stages were associated with significantly less symptomatic improvement at follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: The classification of M-TEER patients into HFrEF-SMR stages according to extramitral cardiac involvement provides prognostic value in terms of postinterventional survival and symptomatic improvement.

Sex-Related Characteristics and Short-Term Outcomes of Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Tricuspid Valve Intervention for Tricuspid Regurgitation.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The impact of sex in patients with significant tricuspid regurgitation (TR) undergoing transcatheter tricuspid valve intervention (TTVI) is unknown. The aim of this study was to investigate sex-specific outcomes in patients with significant TR treated with TTVI versus medical therapy alone. METHODS: The TriValve (Transcatheter Tricuspid Valve Therapies) registry collected patients with significant TR from 24 centers who underwent TTVI from 2016 to 2021. A control cohort was formed by medically managed patients with ≥ severe isolated TR diagnosed in 2015-2018. Primary endpoint was freedom from all-cause mortality. Secondary endpoints were heart failure (HF) hospitalization, New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional status, and TR severity. One-year outcomes were assessed for the TriValve cohort and compared with the control cohort with the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). RESULTS: A total of 556 and 2072 patients were included from the TriValve and control groups, respectively. After TTVI, there was no difference between women and men in 1-year freedom from all-cause mortality (80.9% vs. 77.9%, p = 0.56, nor in HF hospitalization (p = 0.36), NYHA functional class III-IV (p = 0.17), and TR severity >2 + at last follow-up (p = 0.42). Multivariable Cox-regression weighted by IPTW showed an improved 1-year survival after TTVI compared to medical therapy alone in both women (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.23-0.83, p = 0.01) and men (adjusted HR 0.42, 95% CI 0.18-0.89, p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: After TTVI in high-risk patients, there were no sex-related differences in terms of survival, HF hospitalization, functional status, and TR reduction up to 1 year. The IPTW analysis shows a survival benefit of TTVI over medical therapy alone in both women and men.

Fate of iatrogenic atrial septal defects following mitral transcatheter edge-to-edge repair - a subanalysis of the MITHRAS trial.

Persisting iatrogenic atrial septal defects (iASD) after transcatheter mitral edge-to-edge repair (M-TEER) are associated with impaired outcomes. We investigated the natural history of relevant iASDs with left-to-right shunting post-M-TEER, predictors of spontaneous closure of iASD between 1 and 6 months post-M-TEER, and outcomes (heart failure [HF] hospitalization) in patients with spontaneous closure versus those with persistent iASD 6 months post-M-TEER. Patients with a relevant iASD 1-month post-M-TEER, who were treated conservatively in the randomized controlled MITHRAS trial, underwent clinical follow-up including transesophageal echocardiography 6 months post-M-TEER. Overall, 36 patients (median 77 [interquartile range 65-81] years; 36% women) completed the 6-months follow-up. Six (17%) patients had a spontaneous closure of the iASD. The eccentricity index of the iASD 1-month after M-TEER was the strongest predictor for spontaneous closure (Odds ratio 3.78; 95% confidence interval 1.26-11.33, p = 0.01) and an eccentricity index of < 1.9 provided a sensitivity of 77% at a specificity of 83% for iASD persistence (Area under the curve 0.83, p < 0.001) within 6-months post M-TEER.At follow-up, a numerical difference in the endpoint of HF hospitalization between the spontaneous closure and the residual shunt group (0% vs. 20%, p = 0.25) was observed. The eccentricity of the iASD was the strongest predictor for spontaneous closure at 1-months and an eccentricity index of < 1.9 is associated with a high persistence rate for 6 month after M-TEER. Clinical Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03024268 Identifier: NCT03024268. a (red) is reflecting the mayor lengthwise dimension and b (blue) the mayor oblique dimension. The eccentricity index is calculated by dividing a through b. (Open circle) is depicting an example for a round iASD and (Open rhombus) an example for an eccentric iASD 1 month after M-TEER.

Atrial Functional Tricuspid Regurgitation: Novel Definition and Impact on Prognosis.

BACKGROUND: Atrial functional tricuspid regurgitation (atrial TR) has received growing recognition as a TR entity with a distinct cause owing to its independence from valvular tethering as the predominant mechanism underlying TR. However, characterization of atrial TR varies, and a universal definition is lacking. METHODS: In total, 651 patients with significant functional TR were analyzed, including 438 conservatively treated individuals and 213 patients who received transcatheter tricuspid valve repair (TTVR). Based on a clustering approach, we defined atrial TR as tricuspid valve (TV) tenting height ≤10 mm, midventricular right ventricular diameter ≤38 mm, and left ventricular ejection fraction ≥50%. RESULTS: Patients with atrial TR were more often females, had higher right ventricular fractional area change, higher left ventricular ejection fraction, and lower LV end-diastolic diameter, TV tenting area and height, lower right ventricular and tricuspid annular size, enlarged, but lower right atrial area and lower TV effective regurgitant orifice area (all P<0.05). Patients with atrial TR had significantly better long-term survival than non-atrial TR in the conservatively treated TR cohort (P<0.01, n=438). Atrial TR was independently associated with a lower rate of the combined end point of mortality and heart failure hospitalization at 1-year follow-up in the TTVR cohort (hazard ratio, 0.39; P<0.05, n=213). TR degree was significantly reduced after TTVR in non-atrial and atrial TR (P<0.01). Functional parameters significantly improved following TTVR independent of TR cause (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: An echocardiography-based atrial TR definition is associated with prognostic relevance in patients with functional TR in conservatively treated TR and after TTVR.

Sex-specific impact of anthropometric parameters on outcomes after transcatheter edge-to-edge repair for secondary mitral regurgitation.

BACKGROUND: Body surface area (BSA) has been reported to be the stronger predictor for prognosis than body mass index in heart failure (HF) patients. The sex-specific association of BSA with mortality has been unclear. METHODS: EuroSMR, a European multicenter registry, included patients who underwent edge-to-edge repair (TEER) for secondary mitral regurgitation (SMR). The outcome was two-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The present cohort included 1594 HF patients (age, 74 ± 10 years; male, 66%). Association of calculated BSA with two-year all-cause mortality was evaluated. Patients were classified into three BSA groups: the lowest 10% (S), the highest 10% (L), and intermediate between S and L (M). Mean BSA was 1.87 ± 0.21 m2 (male, 1.94 ± 0.18 m2; female, 1.73 ± 0.18 m2). The association of BSA with the endpoint in females showed a U-shaped curve, indicating worse prognosis for both S and L. The association in males followed a linear regression, demonstrating better prognosis for L. Hazard ratio (HR) of L to S in males was 0.43 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.25-0.74; p = 0.002), whereas HR of L to M in females was 1.76 (95% CI, 1.11-2.78; p = 0.016) (p for interaction = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Sex-specific association patterns demonstrate the complex influence of anthropomorphic factors in HF patients scheduled for TEER. Further investigation beyond simple evaluation of weight and height is needed for better comprehension of the obesity paradox and better prediction of the results of transcatheter therapy in HF patients.

Right ventricular dysfunction predicts outcome after transcatheter mitral valve repair for primary mitral valve regurgitation.

AIMS: Right ventricular dysfunction (RVD), as expressed by right ventricular to pulmonary artery coupling, has recently been identified as a strong outcome predictor in patients undergoing mitral valve edge-to-edge repair (M-TEER) for secondary mitral regurgitation (MR). The aim of this study was to define RVD in patients undergoing M-TEER for primary MR (PMR) and to evaluate its impact on procedural MR reduction, symptomatic development and 2-year all-cause mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: This multicentre study included patients undergoing M-TEER for symptomatic PMR at nine international centres. The study cohort was divided into a derivation (DC) and validation cohort (VC) for calculation and validation of the best discriminatory value for RVD. A total of 648 PMR patients were included in the study. DC and VC were comparable regarding procedural success and outcomes at follow-up. Sensitivity analysis identified RVD as an independent predictor for 2-year mortality in the DC (hazard ratio [HR] 2.37, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.47-3.81, p < 0.001), which was confirmed in the VC (HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.36-3.13, p < 0.001). Procedural success (MR ≤2+) and symptomatic improvement at follow-up (New York Heart Association [NYHA] class ≤II) were lower in PMR patients with RVD (MR ≤2+: 82% vs. 93%, p = 0.002; NYHA class ≤II: 57.3% vs. 66.5%, p = 0.09 for with vs. without RVD). In all PMR patients, the presence of RVD significantly impaired 2-year survival after M-TEER (HR 2.23, 95% CI 1.63-3.05, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Mitral valve edge-to-edge repair is an effective treatment option for PMR patients. The presence of RVD is associated with less MR reduction, less symptomatic improvement and increased 2-year mortality. Accordingly, RVD might be included into pre-procedural prognostic considerations.

Transcatheter Mitral Valve Repair in Patients With Atrial Functional Mitral Regurgitation.

BACKGROUND: Among patients with severe functional mitral regurgitation (FMR), atrial functional mitral regurgitation (aFMR) represents an underrecognized entity. Data regarding outcomes after mitral valve transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (M-TEER) in aFMR remain scarce. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to analyze the outcome of aFMR patients undergoing M-TEER. METHODS: Using patients from the international EuroSMR (European Registry of Transcatheter Repair for Secondary Mitral Regurgitation) registry undergoing M-TEER for FMR, the authors analyzed baseline characteristics and 2-year outcomes in aFMR in comparison to non-aFMR and ventricular FMR. Additionally, the impact of right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) (defined as right ventricular to pulmonary artery uncoupling) on outcome after M-TEER was assessed. RESULTS: Among 1,608 FMR patients treated by M-TEER, 126 (7.8%) were categorized as aFMR. All 126 aFMR patients had preserved left ventricular function without regional wall motion abnormalities, left arterial dilatation and Carpentier leaflet motion type I. Procedural success (defined as mitral regurgitation ≤2+ at discharge) was 87.2% (P < 0.001) and New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class significantly improved during follow-up (NYHA functional class III/IV: 86.5% at baseline to 36.6% at follow-up; P < 0.001). The estimated 2-year survival rate in aFMR patients was 70.4%. Two-year survival did not differ significantly between aFMR, non-aFMR, and ventricular FMR. Besides NYHA functional class IV, RVD was identified as a strong independent predictor for 2-year survival (HR: 2.82 [95% CI: 1.24-6.45]; P = 0.014). CONCLUSIONS: aFMR is a frequent cause of FMR and can be effectively treated with M-TEER to improve symptoms at follow-up. Advanced heart failure symptoms and RVD were identified as important risk factors for survival in aFMR patients.

Guideline-directed medical therapy in patients undergoing transcatheter edge-to-edge repair for secondary mitral regurgitation.

AIMS: Guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT), based on the combination of beta-blockers (BB), renin-angiotensin system inhibitors (RASI), and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRA), is known to have a major impact on the outcome of patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Although GDMT is recommended prior to mitral valve transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (M-TEER), not all patients tolerate it. We studied the association of GDMT prescription with survival in HFrEF patients undergoing M-TEER for secondary mitral regurgitation (SMR). METHODS AND RESULTS: EuroSMR, a European multicentre registry, included SMR patients with left ventricular ejection fraction <50%. The outcome was 2-year all-cause mortality. Of 1344 patients, BB, RASI, and MRA were prescribed in 1169 (87%), 1012 (75%), and 765 (57%) patients at the time of M-TEER, respectively. Triple GDMT prescription was associated with a lower 2-year all-cause mortality compared to non-triple GDMT (hazard ratio [HR] 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60-0.91). The association persisted in patients with glomerular filtration rate <30 ml/min, ischaemic aetiology, or right ventricular dysfunction. Further, a positive impact of triple GDMT prescription on survival was observed in patients with residual mitral regurgitation of ≥2+ (HR 0.62; 95% CI 0.44-0.86), but not in patients with residual mitral regurgitation of ≤1+ (HR 0.83; 95% CI 0.64-1.08). CONCLUSION: Triple GDMT prescription is associated with higher 2-year survival after M-TEER in HFrEF patients with SMR. This association was consistent also in patients with major comorbidities or non-optimal results after M-TEER.

Solving the Pulmonary Hypertension Paradox in Patients With Severe Tricuspid Regurgitation by Employing Artificial Intelligence.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to improve echocardiographic assessment of pulmonary hypertension (PH) in patients presenting with severe tricuspid regurgitation (TR). BACKGROUND: Echocardiographic assessment of PH in patients with severe TR carries several pitfalls for underestimation, hence concealing the true severity of PH in very sick patients in particular, and ultimately obscuring the impact of PH on survival after transcatheter tricuspid valve intervention (TTVI). METHODS: All patients in this study underwent TTVI for severe TR between 2016 and 2020. To predict the mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) solely based on echocardiographic parameters, we trained an extreme gradient boosting (XGB) algorithm. The derivation cohort was constituted by 116 out of 162 patients with both echocardiography and right heart catheterization data, preprocedurally obtained, from a bicentric registry. Moreover, 142 patients from an independent institution served for external validation. RESULTS: Systolic pulmonary artery pressure was consistently underestimated by echocardiography in comparison to right heart catheterization (40.3 ± 15.9 mm Hg vs 44.1 ± 12.9 mm Hg; P = 0.0066), and the assessment was most discrepant among patients with severe defects of the tricuspid valve and impaired right ventricular systolic function. Using 9 echocardiographic parameters as input variables, an XGB algorithm could reliably predict mPAP levels (R = 0.96, P < 2.2 × 10-16). Moreover, patients with elevations in predicted mPAP levels ≥29.9 mm Hg showed significantly reduced 2-year survival after TTVI (58.3% [95% CI: 41.7%-81.6%] vs 78.8% [95% CI: 68.7%-90.5%]; P = 0.026). Importantly, the poor prognosis associated with elevation in predicted mPAP levels was externally confirmed (HR for 2-year mortality: 2.9 [95% CI: 1.5-5.7]; P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: PH in patients with severe TR can be reliably assessed based on echocardiographic parameters in conjunction with an XGB algorithm, and elevations in predicted mPAP levels translate into increased mortality after TTVI.

Right Ventricular-Pulmonary Arterial Coupling and Afterload Reserve in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Tricuspid Valve Repair.

BACKGROUND: The right ventricular (RV)-pulmonary arterial (PA) coupling ratio relates the efficiency with which RV stroke work is transferred into the PA. Lower ratios indicate an inadequate RV contractile response to increased afterload. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to evaluate the prognostic significance of RV-PA coupling in patients with tricuspid regurgitation (TR) who were undergoing transcatheter tricuspid valve repair or replacement (TTVR). METHODS: The study investigators calculated RV-PA coupling ratios for patients enrolled in the global TriValve registry by dividing the tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) by the PA systolic pressure (PASP) from transthoracic echocardiograms performed before the procedure and 30 days after the procedure. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 1-year follow-up. RESULTS: Among 444 patients analyzed, their mean age was 76.9 ± 9.1 years, and 53.8% of the patients were female. The median TAPSE/PASP ratio was 0.406 mm/mm Hg (interquartile range: 0.308-0.567 mm/mm Hg). Sixty-three patients died within 1 year of TTVR, 21 with a TAPSE/PASP ratio >0.406 and 42 with a TAPSE/PASP ratio ≤0.406. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, a TAPSE/PASP ratio >0.406 vs ≤0.406 was associated with a decreased risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.35-0.93; P = 0.023). In 234 (52.7%) patients with echocardiograms 30 days after TTVR, a decline in RV-PA coupling was independently associated with reduced odds of all-cause mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 0.42; 95% CI: 0.19-0.93; P = 0.032). The magnitude of TR reduction after TTVR (≥1+ vs <1+; OR: 2.53; 95% CI: 1.06-6.03; P = 0.037) was independently associated with a reduction in post-TTVR RV-PA coupling. CONCLUSIONS: RV-PA coupling is a powerful, independent predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with TR undergoing TTVR. These data suggest that the TAPSE/PASP ratio can inform patient selection and prognostication following TTVR.

Cardiohepatic Syndrome Is Associated With Poor Prognosis in Patients Undergoing Tricuspid Transcatheter Edge-to-Edge Valve Repair.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate the prevalence and prognostic implications of cardiohepatic syndrome (CHS) in patients with tricuspid regurgitation (TR) treated with tricuspid transcatheter edge-to-edge valve repair (T-TEER). BACKGROUND: The role of CHS in patients undergoing T-TEER for severe TR has not been studied. METHODS: This study included patients who underwent T-TEER for TR between 2016 and 2020 at 2 high-volume academic centers. CHS was defined as elevation of at least 2 of 3 cholestatic hepatic enzymes. The impact of CHS on 1-year all-cause mortality and clinical outcomes after T-TEER was investigated. RESULTS: T-TEER reduced TR severity to ≤2+ in 257 of 305 included patients (86.2%). CHS was present in 45.2% of patients and was associated with a higher rate of mortality and of first hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) (CHS vs no CHS: estimated 1-year mortality, 34.0% vs 15.9% [P < 0.01]; HHF, 23.0% vs 12.2% [P = 0.01]). CHS was identified as an independent predictor of 1-year all-cause mortality (HR: 1.86; 95% CI: 1.10-3.14; P < 0.05). Irrespective of CHS, T-TEER improved New York Heart Association functional class and 6-minute walk distance in the majority of patients. In patients with impaired baseline hepatic function, laboratory liver parameters improved after T-TEER. CONCLUSIONS: CHS is a strong predictor of mortality and HHF after T-TEER and should be evaluated in the process of procedural decision making for T-TEER. Nevertheless, T-TEER is associated with relevant symptomatic alleviation irrespective of CHS.

Outcomes Stratified by Adapted Inclusion Criteria After Mitral Edge-to-Edge Repair.

BACKGROUND: Although mitral valve transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (M-TEER) achieves symptomatic benefit for a broad spectrum of patients with relevant secondary mitral regurgitation, conflicting data exist on its prognostic impact. OBJECTIVES: Adapted enrollment criteria approaching those used in the COAPT (Cardiovascular Outcomes Assessment of the MitraClip Percutaneous Therapy for Heart Failure Patients With Functional Mitral Regurgitation) and MITRA-FR (Percutaneous Repair or Medical Treatment for Secondary Mitral Regurgitation) trials were retrospectively applied to a European real-world registry to evaluate the influence of the respective criteria on outcomes. METHODS: A total of 1,022 patients included in the EuroSMR (European Registry of Transcatheter Repair for Secondary Mitral Regurgitation) registry and treated with M-TEER (November 2008 to September 2019) were stratified into COAPT-eligible (n = 353 [34.5%]) and COAPT-ineligible (n = 669 [65.5%]) as well as MITRA-FR-eligible (n = 408 [48.3%]) and MITRA-FR-ineligible (n = 437 [51.7%]) groups. RESULTS: Although the stratification of patients according to adapted MITRA-FR criteria led to comparable outcomes regarding all-cause mortality (P = 0.19), the application of adapted COAPT enrollment criteria demonstrated lower mortality rates in COAPT-eligible compared with COAPT-ineligible patients (P < 0.001). Multivariable Cox regression analysis identified New York Heart Association functional class IV (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.29; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.53-3.42; P < 0.001), logarithmic N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (HR: 1.47; 95% CI: 1.24-1.75; P < 0.001), and right ventricular-to-pulmonary arterial coupling (HR: 0.10; 95% CI: 0.02-0.57; P = 0.009) as independent predictors of outcome. Yet improvement of functional outcome was demonstrated in a subset of patients irrespective of COAPT eligibility status. CONCLUSIONS: In this real-world cohort of patients with secondary mitral regurgitation undergoing M-TEER, the retrospective application of adapted COAPT enrollment criteria successfully identified a specific phenotype demonstrating lower mortality rates. On the contrary, stratification according to adapted MITRA-FR criteria resulted in comparable outcomes.

Health Status After Transcatheter Tricuspid Valve Repair in Patients With Functional Tricuspid Regurgitation.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate changes in quality of life (QoL) after transcatheter tricuspid valve repair (TTVR) for tricuspid regurgitation (TR). BACKGROUND: TTVR provides feasible and durable efficacy in reducing TR, but its clinical benefits on QoL still remain unclear. METHODS: In 115 subjects undergoing TTVR for severe functional TR, QoL was evaluated using the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) and the Minnesota Living With Heart Failure Questionnaire (MLHFQ). All-cause mortality, heart failure (HF) rehospitalization, and a composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, HF rehospitalization, and repeat TTVR were recorded as clinical events. RESULTS: Successful device implantation was achieved in 110 patients (96%). Moderate or less TR at discharge was achieved in 95 patients (83%). Mean SF-36 physical component summary (PCS) score improved from 34 ± 9 to 37 ± 9 points (+3 points; 95% CI: 1-5 points; P = 0.001), mean SF-36 mental component summary score improved from 49 ± 9 to 51 ± 10 points (+2 points; 95% CI: 0-4 points; P = 0.017), and mean MLHFQ score decreased from 29 ± 14 to 20 ± 15 points (-8 points; 95% CI: -11 to -5 points; P < 0.001). Baseline PCS, moderate or less TR at discharge, and baseline massive or torrential TR were associated with 1-month change in PCS score (P < 0.05). Change in PCS score after 1 month predicted HF rehospitalization after TTVR (adjusted HR: 0.74 [95% CI: 0.60-0.92] per 5-point increase in PCS score; P = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that TTVR provides improvement in QoL in patients with relevant TR. TR reduction to a moderate or less grade was associated with improvement of SF-36 and MLHFQ scores. Further, global QoL was associated with clinical outcomes and might serve as a future outcome surrogate following TTVR.

Iatrogenic Atrial Septal Defects Following Transcatheter Mitral Valve Repair and Implications of Interventional Closure.

OBJECTIVES: The authors investigated whether iatrogenic atrial septal defect (iASD) closure post-transcatheter mitral valve edge-to-edge repair (TMVR) is superior to conservative therapy (CT) and whether outcomes (death/heart failure [HF] hospitalization) differ between patients with and without an iASD post-TMVR. BACKGROUND: Transseptal access for TMVR can create an iASD, which is associated with impaired outcomes. Controversially, the creation of an iASD in HF has been linked to improved hemodynamics. METHODS: 80 patients with an iASD and relevant left-to-right shunting (Qp:Qs ≥1.3) 30 days following TMVR were randomized to CT or interventional closure of the iASD (MITHRAS [Closure of Iatrogenic Atrial Septal Defect Following Transcatheter Mitral Valve Repair] cohort), and 235 patients without an iASD served as a comparative cohort. RESULTS: All patients of the MITHRAS cohort (mean age 77 ± 9 years, 39% women) received their allocated treatment, and follow-up was completed for all MITHRAS and comparative cohort (mean age 77 ± 8 years, 47% women) patients. Twelve months post-TMVR, there was no significant difference in the combined endpoint of death or HF hospitalization within the MITHRAS cohort (iASD closure: 35% vs CT 50%; P = 0.26). The combined endpoint was more frequent among patients within the MITHRAS cohort as opposed to the comparative cohort (43% vs 17%; P < 0.0001), primarily driven by a higher rate of HF hospitalization (34% vs 8%; P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: In this randomized controlled trial, interventional closure of a relevant iASD 1 month after TMVR did not result in improved clinical outcomes at 12 months post-TMVR. Patients with an iASD are at higher risk for HF hospitalization independent of iASD management and warrant close follow-up. (Closure of Iatrogenic Atrial Septal Defect Following Transcatheter Mitral Valve Repair [MITHRAS]; NCT03024268).

Comparison of Long-Term Outcomes for Responders Versus Non-Responders Following Renal Denervation in Resistant Hypertension.

Background Recent trial results support the efficacy of renal sympathetic denervation in lowering blood pressure (BP). While BP reduction in general is associated with a clinically meaningful reduction in cardiovascular events and mortality, such a relationship has not been described for patients undergoing renal sympathetic denervation. Methods and Results Clinical events were assessed in patients who underwent renal sympathetic denervation at our center using telephone- and clinical follow-up, interviews with general practitioners, as well as review of hospital databases. Event rates were compared between BP responders (≥5 mm Hg 24-hour ambulatory BP reduction) and non-responders; 296 patients were included. Compared with baseline, 24-hour systolic ambulatory BP was reduced by 8.3±12.2 mm Hg and diastolic BP by 4.8±7.0 mm Hg (P<0.001 for both) after 3 months. One hundred eighty patients were classified as BP responders and 116 as non-responders. During a median follow-up time of 48 months, significantly less major adverse cardiovascular events (cardiovascular death, stroke, myocardial infarction, critical limb ischemia, renal failure) occurred in responders than in non-responders (22 versus 23 events, hazard ratio [HR], 0.53 [95% CI, 0.28 to 0.97], P=0.041). This was consistent after adjustment for potential confounders as well as confirmed by propensity-score matching. A proportional relationship was found between BP reduction after 3 months and frequency of major adverse cardiovascular events (HR, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.58 to 0.97] per 10 mm Hg 24-hour systolic ambulatory BP reduction). Conclusions Based on these observational data, blood pressure response to renal sympathetic denervation is associated with improved long-term clinical outcome.

Proteomics-Enabled Deep Learning Machine Algorithms Can Enhance Prediction of Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Individualized risk prediction represents a prerequisite for providing personalized medicine. OBJECTIVES: This study compared proteomics-enabled machine-learning (ML) algorithms with classical and clinical risk prediction methods for all-cause mortality in cohorts of patients with cardiovascular risk factors in the LIFE-Heart Study, followed by validation in the PLIC (Progressione della Lesione Intimale Carotidea) study. METHODS: Using the OLINK-Cardiovascular-II panel, 92 proteins were measured in a cohort of 1,998 individuals from the LIFE-Heart Study (derivation) and 772 subjects from the PLIC cohort (external validation). We constructed protein-based mortality prediction models using eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and a neural network, comparing the prediction performance with classical clinical risk scores (Systemic Coronary Risk Evaluation, Framingham), logistic and Cox regression models. RESULTS: All-cause mortality occurred in 156 (8%) patients in the internal validation and 68 (9%) patients in the external validation cohort, within a median follow-up of 10 and 11 years, respectively. On internal and external validation, the Framingham Risk Score achieved areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.64 (95% CI: 0.59-0.68) and 0.65 (95% CI: 0.58-0.74), logistic regression AUCs of 0.65 (95% CI: 0.57-0.73) and 0.67 (95% CI: 0.59-0.74), Cox regression AUCs of 0.55 (95% CI: 0.51-0.59) and 0.65 (95% CI: 0.57-0.73), the XGBoost classifier AUCs of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.79-0.87) and 0.91 (95% CI: 0.86-0.95), the XGBoost survival estimator AUCs of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.79-0.87) and 0.93 (95% CI: 0.88-0.97), and the neural network AUCs of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83-0.91) and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.90-0.98), respectively (modern vs classical ML: P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: ML-driven multiprotein risk models outperform classical regression models and clinical scores for prediction of all-cause mortality in patients at increased cardiovascular risk.