Deep radiomics-based prognostic prediction of oral cancer using optical coherence tomography.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to evaluate the integration of optical coherence tomography (OCT) and peripheral blood immune indicators for predicting oral cancer prognosis by artificial intelligence. METHODS: In this study, we examined patients undergoing radical oral cancer resection and explored inherent relationships among clinical data, OCT images, and peripheral immune indicators for oral cancer prognosis. We firstly built a peripheral blood immune indicator-guided deep learning feature representation method for OCT images, and further integrated a multi-view prognostic radiomics model incorporating feature selection and logistic modeling. Thus, we can assess the prognostic impact of each indicator on oral cancer by quantifying OCT features. RESULTS: We collected 289 oral mucosal samples from 68 patients, yielding 1,445 OCT images. Using our deep radiomics-based prognosis model, it achieved excellent discrimination for oral cancer prognosis with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.886, identifying systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) as the most informative feature for prognosis prediction. Additionally, the deep learning model also performed excellent results with 85.26% accuracy and 0.86 AUC in classifying the SII risk. CONCLUSIONS: Our study effectively merged OCT imaging with peripheral blood immune indicators to create a deep learning-based model for inflammatory risk prediction in oral cancer. Additionally, we constructed a comprehensive multi-view radiomics model that utilizes deep learning features for accurate prognosis prediction. The study highlighted the significance of the SII as a crucial indicator for evaluating patient outcomes, corroborating our clinical statistical analyses. This integration underscores the potential of combining imaging and blood indicators in clinical decision-making. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The clinical trial associated with this study was prospectively registered in the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry with the trial registration number (TRN) ChiCTR2200064861. The registration was completed on 2021.

CDK6 as a Biomarker for Immunotherapy, Drug Sensitivity, and Prognosis in Bladder Cancer: Bioinformatics and Immunohistochemical Analysis.

Background: CDK6 is linked to tumor progression and metastasis, although its molecular mechanism and prognostic value are unclear in bladder cancer. Materials and methods: In our study, raw data were obtained from public databases and Single-center retrospective case series. We conducted a bioinformatics analysis and immunohistochemistry to explore the biological landscape of CDK6 in tumors, with a particular focus on bladder cancer. We examined its expression characteristics and prognostic value and performed functional annotation analysis using gene function enrichment. We also assessed the association between bladder cancer molecular subtypes and mutation spectra and analyzed the landscape of the tumor immune microenvironment to predict treatment response sensitivity. Results: Our study found that CDK6 was a potential prognostic marker for bladder cancer. We discovered that bladder cancer patients with high CDK6 expression do not respond well to immunotherapy and have a poor prognosis. CDK6 regulates tumor immune status, metabolism, and cell cycle-related signaling pathways, thereby influencing tumor biological behavior. Furthermore, CDK6 mediated the suppression of the immune microenvironment to weaken anti-tumor immune responses. Finally, a comprehensive characterization of CDK6 was applied in the prognostic prediction of bladder cancer, suggesting that targeting CDK6 represents a potential therapeutic option. Conclusions: These results indicated that CDK6 is an independent biomarker for predicting prognosis and immunotherapy efficacy of bladder cancer. A deeper understanding of its specific molecular mechanisms may provide new treatment strategies.

Machine-learning-based prediction by stacking ensemble strategy for surgical outcomes in patients with degenerative cervical myelopathy.

BACKGROUND: Machine learning (ML) is extensively employed for forecasting the outcome of various illnesses. The objective of the study was to develop ML based classifiers using a stacking ensemble strategy to predict the Japanese Orthopedic Association (JOA) recovery rate for patients with degenerative cervical myelopathy (DCM). METHODS: A total of 672 patients with DCM were included in the study and labeled with JOA recovery rate by 1-year follow-up. All data were collected during 2012-2023 and were randomly divided into training and testing (8:2) sub-datasets. A total of 91 initial ML classifiers were developed, and the top 3 initial classifiers with the best performance were further stacked into an ensemble classifier with a supported vector machine (SVM) classifier. The area under the curve (AUC) was the main indicator to assess the prediction performance of all classifiers. The primary predicted outcome was the JOA recovery rate. RESULTS: By applying an ensemble learning strategy (e.g., stacking), the accuracy of the ML classifier improved following combining three widely used ML models (e.g., RFE-SVM, EmbeddingLR-LR, and RFE-AdaBoost). Decision curve analysis showed the merits of the ensemble classifiers, as the curves of the top 3 initial classifiers varied a lot in predicting JOA recovery rate in DCM patients. CONCLUSIONS: The ensemble classifiers successfully predict the JOA recovery rate in DCM patients, which showed a high potential for assisting physicians in managing DCM patients and making full use of medical resources.

Prognostic Value of Easy Albumin-Bilirubin Score for Radical Surgery in Patients With Gallbladder Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the clinical significance of the easy albumin-bilirubin (EZ-ALBI) score as a prognostic indicator in postoperative patients with gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). METHODS: The comprehensive clinical and pathological records of 140 patients with GBC who underwent radical resection between January 2015 and December 2020 were retrospectively examined. Based on the EZ-ALBI score, the 140 GBC patients were categorized into two groups: a low EZ-ALBI score group (score ≤ -34.4) consisting of 108 patients and a high EZ-ALBI score group (score > -34.4) consisting of 32 patients. The association between the EZ-ALBI score and clinicopathological factors was assessed. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the Cox proportional hazard model was utilized to evaluate the impact of clinicopathological factors on prognosis. RESULTS: Significant differences were observed between the low EZ-ALBI score group and the high EZ-ALBI score group in terms of serum total bilirubin, serum albumin, CA19-9 levels, liver metastasis, and tumor TNM stage. The 5-year survival rate was significantly lower in the high EZ-ALBI score group compared to the low EZ-ALBI score group. Univariate analysis indicated that serum total bilirubin, lymph node metastasis, TNM stage, and EZ-ALBI score were closely related to overall survival (OS). Multivariate analysis identified TNM stage and EZ-ALBI score as independent prognostic factors for OS. CONCLUSIONS: The EZ-ALBI score is a significant independent prognostic factor for overall survival in GBC patient's post-radical resection, highlighting its potential utility in clinical prognosis and patient management.

Evaluation of malignancy in gallbladder tumors using the apparent diffusion coefficient obtained by diffusion­weighted MRI.

The utility of the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) of diffusion-weighted image (DWI) magnetic resonance imaging was examined for evaluating malignancy and prognosis in gallbladder tumors. A total of 63 patients (benign tumors, n=33; cancer, n=30) were included after surgical resection for gallbladder tumors, and their mean ADC values by DWI were obtained. Cases of advanced gallbladder cancer (n=25) were divided into ADCHigh and ADCLow groups, and clinicopathological factors were compared. In 63 cases, ADC values in advanced gallbladder cancer were significantly lower compared with benign tumors and non-advanced gallbladder cancer (P<0.05), and ADC values in early gallbladder cancer were also significantly lower compared with benign tumors (P<0.05). In 25 advanced gallbladder cancer cases, the ADCLow group tended to have a higher rate of advanced stage disease (P=0.09). Disease-free survival and overall survival (OS) of the ADCLow group were worse compared with the ADCHigh group (P<0.01). In the multivariate analysis of OS, poor differentiation and low ADC value were independent prognostic factors. ADC values may be useful for evaluating tumor malignancies in gallbladder tumors.

Characterization of driver mutations identifies gene signatures predictive of prognosis and treatment sensitivity in multiple myeloma.

In multiple myeloma (MM), while frequent mutations in driver genes are crucial for disease progression, they traditionally offer limited insights into patient prognosis. This study aims to enhance prognostic understanding in MM by analyzing pathway dysregulations in key cancer driver genes, thereby identifying actionable gene signatures. We conducted a detailed quantification of mutations and pathway dysregulations in 10 frequently mutated cancer driver genes in MM to characterize their comprehensive mutational impacts on the whole transcriptome. This was followed by a systematic survival analysis to identify significant gene signatures with enhanced prognostic value. Our systematic analysis highlighted 2 significant signatures, TP53 and LRP1B, which notably outperformed mere mutation status in prognostic predictions. These gene signatures remained prognostically valuable even when accounting for clinical factors, including cytogenetic abnormalities, the International Staging System (ISS), and its revised version (R-ISS). The LRP1B signature effectively distinguished high-risk patients within low/intermediate-risk categories and correlated with significant changes in the tumor immune microenvironment. Additionally, the LRP1B signature showed a strong association with proteasome inhibitor pathways, notably predicting patient responses to bortezomib and the progression from monoclonal gammopathy of unknown significance to MM. Through a rigorous analysis, this study underscores the potential of specific gene signatures in revolutionizing the prognostic landscape of MM, providing novel clinical insights that could influence future translational oncology research.

Construction of a nomogram with IrAE and clinic character to predict the survival of advanced G/GEJ adenocarcinoma patients undergoing anti-PD-1 treatment.

Objective: This study aimed to develop and validate a survival prediction model and nomogram to predict survival in patients with advanced gastric or gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ) adenocarcinoma undergoing treatment with anti-programmed cell death 1 receptor (PD-1). This model incorporates immune-related adverse events (irAEs) alongside common clinical characteristics as predictive factors. Method: A dataset comprising 255 adult patients diagnosed with advanced G/GEJ adenocarcinoma was assembled. The irAEs affecting overall survival (OS) to a significant degree were identified and integrated as a candidate variable, together with 12 other candidate variables. These included gender, age, Eastern cooperative oncology group performance status (ECOG PS) score, tumor stage, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) expression status, presence of peritoneal and liver metastases, year and line of anti-PD-1 treatment, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score, and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI). To mitigate timing bias related to irAEs, landmark analysis was employed. Variable selection was performed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression to pinpoint significant predictors, and the variance inflation factor was applied to address multicollinearity. Subsequently, a Cox regression analysis utilizing the forward likelihood ratio method was conducted to develop a survival prediction model, excluding variables that failed to satisfy the proportional hazards (PH) assumption. The model was developed using the entire dataset, then internally validated through bootstrap resampling and externally validated with a cohort from another Hospital. Furthermore, a nomogram was created to delineate the predictive model. Results: After consolidating irAEs from the skin and endocrine systems into a single protective irAE category and applying landmark analysis, variable selection was conducted for the prognostic prediction model along with other candidate variables. The finalized model comprised seven variables: ECOG PS score, tumor stage, HER2 expression status in tumor tissue, first-line anti-PD-1 treatment, peritoneal metastasis, CONUT score, and protective irAE. The overall concordance index for the model was 0.66. Calibration analysis verified the model's accuracy in aligning predicted outcomes with actual results. Clinical decision curve analysis indicated that utilizing this model for treatment decisions could enhance the net benefit regarding 1- and 2-year survival rates for patients. Conclusion: This study developed a prognostic prediction model by integrating common clinical characteristics of irAEs and G/GEJ adenocarcinoma. This model exhibits good clinical practicality and possesses accurate predictive ability for overall survival OS in patients with advanced G/GEJ adenocarcinoma.

Prognostic Value of Insulin Growth Factor-Like Receptor 1 (IGFLR1) in Stage II and III Colorectal Cancer and Its Association with Immune Cell Infiltration.

IGFLR1 is a novel biomarker, and some evidences suggested that is involved in the immune microenvironment of CRC. Here, we explored the expression of IGFLR1 and its association with the prognosis as well as immune cell infiltration in CRC, with the aim to provide a basis for further studies on IGFLR1. Immunohistochemical staining for IGFLR1, TIM-3, FOXP3, CD4, CD8, and PD-1 was performed in eligible tissues to analyze the expression of IGFLR1 and its association with prognosis and immune cell infiltration. Then, we screened colon cancer samples from TCGA and grouped patients according to IGFLR1-related genes. We also evaluated the co-expression and immune-related pathways of IGFLR1 to identify the potential mechanism of it in CRC. When P < 0.05, the results were considered statistically significant. IGFLR1 and IGFLR1-related genes were associated with the prognosis and immune cell infiltration (P < 0.05). In stage II and III CRC tissue and normal tissue, we found (1) IGFLR1 was expressed in both the cell membrane and cytoplasm and which was differentially expressed between cancer tissue and normal tissue. IGFLR1 expression was associated with the expression of FOXP3, CD8, and gender but was not associated with microsatellite instability. (2) IGFLR1 was an independent prognostic factor and patients with high IGFLR1 had a better prognosis. (3) A model including IGFLR1, FOXP3, PD-1, and CD4 showed good prognostic stratification ability. (4) There was a significant interaction between IGFLR1 and GATA3, and IGFLR1 had a significant co-expression with related factors in the INFR pathway. IGFLR1 has emerged as a new molecule related to disease prognosis and immune cell infiltration in CRC patients and showed a good ability to predict the prognosis of patients.

ARTEMIS: An independently validated prognostic prediction model of breast cancer incorporating epigenetic biomarkers with main effects and gene-gene interactions.

INTRODUCTION: Breast cancer, a heterogeneous disease, is influenced by multiple genetic and epigenetic factors. The majority of prognostic models for breast cancer focus merely on the main effects of predictors, disregarding the crucial impacts of gene-gene interactions on prognosis. OBJECTIVES: Using DNA methylation data derived from nine independent breast cancer cohorts, we developed an independently validated prognostic prediction model of breast cancer incorporating epigenetic biomarkers with main effects and gene-gene interactions (ARTEMIS) with an innovative 3-D modeling strategy. ARTEMIS was evaluated for discrimination ability using area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), and calibration using expected and observed (E/O) ratio. Additionally, we conducted decision curve analysis to evaluate its clinical efficacy by net benefit (NB) and net reduction (NR). Furthermore, we conducted a systematic review to compare its performance with existing models. RESULTS: ARTEMIS exhibited excellent risk stratification ability in identifying patients at high risk of mortality. Compared to those below the 25th percentile of ARTEMIS scores, patients with above the 90th percentile had significantly lower overall survival time (HR = 15.43, 95% CI: 9.57-24.88, P = 3.06 × 10-29). ARTEMIS demonstrated satisfactory discrimination ability across four independent populations, with pooled AUC3-year = 0.844 (95% CI: 0.805-0.883), AUC5-year = 0.816 (95% CI: 0.775-0.857), and C-index = 0.803 (95% CI: 0.776-0.830). Meanwhile, ARTEMIS had well calibration performance with pooled E/O ratio 1.060 (95% CI: 1.038-1.083) and 1.090 (95% CI: 1.057-1.122) for 3- and 5-year survival prediction, respectively. Additionally, ARTEMIS is a clinical instrument with acceptable cost-effectiveness for detecting breast cancer patients at high risk of mortality (Pt = 0.4: NB3-year = 19‰, NB5-year = 62‰; NR3-year = 69.21%, NR5-year = 56.01%). ARTEMIS has superior performance compared to existing models in terms of accuracy, extrapolation, and sample size, as indicated by the systematic review. ARTEMIS is implemented as an interactive online tool available at http://bigdata.njmu.edu.cn/ARTEMIS/. CONCLUSION: ARTEMIS is an efficient and practical tool for breast cancer prognostic prediction.

The early prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus by machine learning models.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to determine the best-performing machine learning (ML)-based algorithm for predicting gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) with sociodemographic and obstetrics features in the pre-conceptional period. METHODS: We collected the data of pregnant women who were admitted to the obstetric clinic in the first trimester. The maternal age, body mass index, gravida, parity, previous birth weight, smoking status, the first-visit venous plasma glucose level, the family history of diabetes mellitus, and the results of an oral glucose tolerance test of the patients were evaluated. The women were categorized into groups based on having and not having a GDM diagnosis and also as being nulliparous or primiparous. 7 common ML algorithms were employed to construct the predictive model. RESULTS: 97 mothers were included in the study. 19 and 26 nulliparous were with and without GDM, respectively. 29 and 23 primiparous were with and without GDM, respectively. It was found that the greatest feature importance variables were the venous plasma glucose level, maternal BMI, and the family history of diabetes mellitus. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) Classifier had the best predictive value for the two models with the accuracy of 66.7% and 72.7%, respectively. DISCUSSION: The XGB classifier model constructed with maternal sociodemographic findings and the obstetric history could be used as an early prediction model for GDM especially in low-income countries.

An explainable predictive model of direct pulp capping in carious mature permanent teeth.

OBJECTIVE: To introduce a novel approach for predicting the personalized probability of success of DPC treatment in carious mature permanent teeth using explainable machine learning (ML) models. METHODS: Clinical data were obtained from our previous single-center retrospective study, comprising 393 carious mature permanent teeth from 372 patients who underwent DPC and attended 1-year follow-up between January 2015 and February 2021. Six ML models were derived based on 80 % cases of the cohort, with the remaining 20 % cases used for validation. Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) values were utilized to assess feature importance and the clinical relevance of prediction models. RESULTS: Within the cohort, 9.67 % (38 out of 393) of teeth experienced failure at the 1-year follow-up after DPC treatment. Among the six evaluated ML models, the XGBoost model exhibited the highest discriminative ability. By prioritizing features based on their importance, streamlined and interpretable XGBoost model with 11 features were developed for 1-year prognostication post-DPC. The model demonstrated predictive accuracy with area under the curve (AUC) scores of 0.86 for the 1-year prediction. The final model has been translated into a web application to facilitate clinical decision-making. CONCLUSION: By incorporating demographic and clinical examination data, the XGBoost model offered a user-friendly tool for dentists to predict personalized probability of success, thereby improving personalized dental care and patient counseling. The utilization of SHAP for model interpretation provided transparent insights into the decision-making process.

Prospective external validation of radiomics-based predictive model of distant metastasis after dynamic tumor tracking stereotactic body radiation therapy in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer: A multi-institutional analysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: This study aims to externally validate a predictive model for distant metastasis (DM) with computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics features in prospectively enrolled non-small-cell lung cancer patients undergoing dynamic tumor-tracking stereotactic body radiation therapy (DTT-SBRT). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study collected retrospective data from 567 patients across 11 institutions as the training dataset and prospectively enrolled 42 patients from four institutions as the external test dataset. Four clinical features were collected, and 944 CT-based radiomic features were extracted from gross tumor volumes. After standardization and feature selection, DM predictive models were developed using fine and gray regression (FG) and random survival forest (RSF), incorporating clinical and radiomic features, and their combinations within the training dataset. Then, the model was applied to the test dataset, dividing patients into high- and low-risk groups based on medians of risk scores. Model performance was assessed using the concordance index (C-index), and the statistical significance between groups was evaluated using Gray's test. RESULTS: In the training dataset, 122 of 567 patients (21.5%) developed DM, compared to 9 of 42 patients (21.4%) in the test dataset. In the test dataset, the C-indices of the clinical, radiomics, and hybrid models with FG were 0.559, 0.544, and 0.560, respectively, whereas those with RSF were 0.576, 0.604, and 0.627, respectively. The hybrid model with RSF, which exhibited the best predictive performance of all models, identified 7 of 23 patients (30.4%) as high risk and 2 of 19 patients (10.5%) as low risk for DM incidence in the test dataset (p = 0.116). CONCLUSION: Although predictive models for DM lack significance when applied to prospectively enrolled cases undergoing DTT-lung SBRT, the model with RSF exhibits a consistent capacity to effectively classify patients at a high risk of developing DM.

Establish TIIC signature score based the machine learning fusion in bladder cancer.

BACKGROUND: Bladder cancer is a prevalent malignant tumor with high heterogeneity. Current treatments, such as transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT) and intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) therapy, still have limitations, with approximately 30% of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) progressing to muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), and a substantial number of MIBC patients experiencing recurrence after surgery. Immunotherapy has shown potential benefits, but accurate prediction of its prognostic effects remains challenging. METHODS: We analyzed bladder cancer RNA-seq data and clinical information from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases, and used various machine learning algorithms to screen for feature RNAs related to tumor-infiltrating immune cells (TIICs) from single-cell data. Based on these RNAs, we established a TIIC signature score and evaluated its relationship with overall survival (OS) and immunotherapy response in bladder cancer patients. RESULTS: The study identified 171 TIIC-RNAs and selected 11 TIIC-RNAs with prognostic value through survival analysis. The TIIC signature score established using a machine learning fusion method was significantly associated with OS and showed good predictive performance in different datasets. Additionally, the signature score was negatively correlated with immunotherapy response, with patients with low TIIC feature scores showing better survival outcomes after immunotherapy. Further biological functional analysis revealed a close association between the TIIC signature score and immune regulation processes, cellular metabolism, and genetic variations. CONCLUSION: This study successfully constructed and validated an RNA signature scoring system based on tumor-infiltrating immune cell (TIIC) features, which can effectively predict OS and the effectiveness of immunotherapy in bladder cancer patients.

Prognostic communication in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: findings from a Nationwide Italian survey.

BACKGROUND: Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) is a fatal motor neuron disease with a highly variable prognosis. Among the proposed prognostic models, the European Network for the cure of ALS (ENCALS) survival model has demonstrated good predictive performance. However, few studies have examined prognostic communication and the diffusion of prognostic algorithms in ALS care. OBJECTIVE: To investigate neurologists' attitudes toward prognostic communication and their knowledge and utilization of the ENCALS survival model in clinical practice. METHODS: A web-based survey was administered between May 2021 and March 2022 to the 40 Italian ALS Centers members of the Motor Neuron Disease Study Group of the Italian Society of Neurology. RESULTS: Twenty-two out of 40 (55.0%) Italian ALS Centers responded to the survey, totaling 37 responses. The model was known by 27 (73.0%) respondents. However, it was predominantly utilized for research (81.1%) rather than for clinical prognostic communication (7.4%). Major obstacles to prognostic communication included the unpredictability of disease course, fear of a negative impact on patients or caregivers, dysfunctional reaction to diagnosis, and cognitive impairment. Nonetheless, the model was viewed as potentially useful for improving clinical management, increasing disease awareness, and facilitating care planning, especially end-of-life planning. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the widespread recognition and positive perceptions of the ENCALS survival model among Italian neurologists with expertise in ALS, its implementation in clinical practice remains limited. Addressing this disparity may require systematic investigations and targeted training to integrate tailored prognostic communication into ALS care protocols, aligning with the growing availability of prognostic tools for ALS.

The suboptimal clinical applicability of prognostic prediction models for severe postpartum hemorrhage: a meta-epidemiological study.

OBJECTIVES: To systematically investigate clinical applicability of the current prognostic prediction models for severe postpartum hemorrhage (SPPH). STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: A meta-epidemiological study of prognostic prediction models was conducted for SPPH. A pre-designed structured questionnaire was adopted to extract the study characteristics, predictors and the outcome, modeling methods, predictive performance, the classification ability for high-risk individuals, and clinical use scenarios. The risk of bias among studies was assessed by the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). RESULTS: Twenty-two studies containing 27 prediction models were included. The number of predictors in the final models varied from 3 to 53. However, one-third of the models (11) did not clearly specify the timing of predictor measurement. Calibration was found to be lacking in 10 (37.0%) models. Among the 20 models with an incidence rate of predicted outcomes below 15.0%, none of the models estimated the area under the precision-recall curve, and all reported positive predictive values were below 40.0%. Only two (7.4%) models specified the target clinical setting, while seven (25.9%) models clarified the intended timing of model use. Lastly, all 22 studies were deemed to be at high risk of bias. CONCLUSION: Current SPPH prediction models have limited clinical applicability due to methodological flaws, including unclear predictor measurement, inadequate calibration assessment, and insufficient evaluation of classification ability. Additionally, there is a lack of clarity regarding the timing for model use, target users, and clinical settings. These limitations raise concerns about the reliability and usefulness of these models in real-world clinical practice.

Identifying high-risk multiple myeloma patients: A novel approach using a clonal gene signature.

Multiple myeloma (MM) is a heterogeneous disease with a small subset of high-risk patients having poor prognoses. Identifying these patients is crucial for treatment management and strategic decisions. In this study, we developed a novel computational framework to define prognostic gene signatures by selecting genes with expression driven by clonal copy number alterations. We applied this framework to MM and developed a clonal gene signature (CGS) consisting of 22 genes and evaluated in five independent datasets. The CGS provided significant prognostic values after adjusting for well-established factors including cytogenetic abnormalities, International Staging System (ISS), and Revised ISS (R-ISS). Importantly, CGS demonstrated higher performance in identifying high-risk patients compared to the GEP70 and SKY92 signatures recommended for prognostic stratification of MM. CGS can further stratify patients into subgroups with significantly differential prognoses when applied to the high- and low-risk groups identified by GEP70 and SKY92. Additionally, CGS scores are significantly associated with patient response to dexamethasone, a commonly used treatment for MM. In summary, we proposed a computational framework that requires only gene expression data to identify CGSs for prognosis prediction. CGS provides a useful biomarker for improving prognostic stratification in MM, especially for identifying the highest-risk patients.

A new computed tomography score-based staging for melioidosis pneumonia to predict progression.

Background: Melioidosis pneumonia, caused by the bacterium Burkholderia pseudomallei, is a serious infectious disease prevalent in tropical regions. Chest computed tomography (CT) has emerged as a valuable tool for assessing the severity and progression of lung involvement in melioidosis pneumonia. However, there persists a need for the quantitative assessment of CT characteristics and staging methodologies to precisely anticipate disease progression. This study aimed to quantitatively extract CT features and evaluate a CT score-based staging system in predicting the progression of melioidosis pneumonia. Methods: This study included 97 patients with culture-confirmed melioidosis pneumonia who presented between January 2002 and December 2021. Lung segmentation and annotation of lesions (consolidation, nodules, and cavity) were used for feature extraction. The features, including the involved area, amount, and intensity, were extracted. The CT scores of the lesion features were defined by the feature importance weight and qualitative stage of melioidosis pneumonia. Gaussian process regression (GPR) was used to predict patients with severe or critical melioidosis pneumonia according to CT scores. Results: The melioidosis pneumonia stages included acute stage (0-7 days), subacute stage (8-28 days), and chronic stage (>28 days). In the acute stage, the CT scores of all patients ranged from 2.5 to 6.5. In the subacute stage, the CT scores for the severe and mild patients were 3.0-7.0 and 2.0-5.0, respectively. In the chronic stage, the CT score of the mild patients fluctuated approximately between 2.5 and 3.5 in a linear distribution. Consolidation was the most common type of lung lesion in those with melioidosis pneumonia. Between stages I and II, the percentage of severe scans with nodules dropped from 72.22% to 47.62% (P<0.05), and the percentage of severe scans with cavities significantly increased from 16.67% to 57.14% (P<0.05). The GPR optimization function yielded area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.71 for stage I, 0.92 for stage II, and 0.87 for all stages. Conclusions: In patients with melioidosis pneumonia, it is reasonable to divide the period (the whole progression of melioidosis pneumonia) into three stages to determine the prognosis.

Radiomic score for lung nodules as a prognostic biomarker in locally advanced rectal cancer patients: A bi-institutional study.

BACKGROUND: Undetermined lung nodules are common in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) and lack precise risk stratification. This study aimed to develop a radiomic-based score (Rad-score) to distinguish metastasis and predict overall survival (OS) in patients with LARC and lung nodules. METHODS: Retrospective data from two institutions (July 10, 2006-September 24, 2015) was used to develop and validate the Rad-score for distinguishing lung nodule malignancy. The prognostic value of the Rad-score was investigated in LARC cohorts, leading to the construction and validation of a clinical and radiomic score (Cli-Rad-score) that incorporates both clinical and radiomic information for the purpose of improving personalized clinical prognosis prediction. Descriptive statistics, survival analysis, and model comparison were performed to assess the results. RESULTS: The Rad-score demonstrated great performance in distinguishing malignancy, with C-index values of 0.793 [95% CI: 0.729-0.856] in the training set and 0.730 [95% CI: 0.666-0.874] in the validation set. In independent LARC cohorts, Rad-score validation achieved C-index values of 0.794 [95% CI: 0.737-0.851] and 0.747 [95% CI: 0.615-0.879]. Regarding prognostic prediction, Rad-score effectively stratified patients. Cli-Rad-score outperformed the clinicopathological information alone in risk stratification, as evidenced by significantly higher C-index values (0.735 vs. 0.695 in the internal set and 0.618 vs. 0.595 in the external set). CONCLUSIONS: CT-based radiomics could serve as a reliable and powerful tool for lung nodule malignancy distinction and prognostic prediction in LARC patients. Rad-score predicts prognosis independently. Incorporation of Cli-Rad-score significantly enhances the persionalized clinical prognostic capacity in LARC patients with lung nodules.

Developing Machine Learning-Based Predictive Models for Hallux Valgus Recurrence Based on Measurements From Radiographs.

BACKGROUND: Machine learning (ML) is increasingly used to predict the prognosis of numerous diseases. This retrospective analysis aimed to develop a prediction model using ML algorithms and to identify predictors associated with the recurrence of hallux valgus (HV) following surgery. METHODS: A total of 198 symptomatic feet that underwent chevron osteotomy combined with a distal soft tissue procedure were enrolled and analyzed from 2 independent medical centers. The feet were grouped according to nonrecurrence or recurrence based on 1-year follow-up outcomes. Preoperative weightbearing radiographs and immediate postoperative nonweightbearing radiographs were obtained for each HV foot. Radiographic measurements (eg, HV angle and intermetatarsal angle) were acquired and used for ML model training. A total of 9 commonly used ML models were trained on the data obtained from one institute (108 feet), and tested on the other data set from another independent institute (90 feet) for external validation. Optimal feature sets for each model were identified based on a 2000-resample bootstrap-based internal validation via an exhaustive search. The performance of each model was then tested on the external validation set. The area under the curve (AUC), classification accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of each model were calculated to evaluate the performance of each model. RESULTS: The support vector machine (SVM) model showed the highest predictive accuracy compared to other methods, with an AUC of 0.88 and an accuracy of 75.6%. Preoperative hallux valgus angle, tibial sesamoid position, postoperative intermetatarsal angle, and postoperative tibial sesamoid position were identified as the most selected features by several ML models. CONCLUSION: ML classifiers such as SVM could predict the recurrence of HV (an HVA >20 degrees) at a 1-year follow-up while identifying associated predictors in a multivariate manner. This study holds the potential for foot and ankle surgeons to effectively identify individuals at higher risk of HV recurrence postsurgery.

Prognostic potential of lipid profiling in cancer patients: a systematic review of mass spectrometry-based studies.

Cancer prognosis remains a critical clinical challenge. Lipidomic analysis via mass spectrometry (MS) offers the potential for objective prognostic prediction, leveraging the distinct lipid profiles of cancer patient-derived specimens. This review aims to systematically summarize the application of MS-based lipidomic analysis in prognostic prediction for cancer patients. Our systematic review summarized 38 studies from the past decade that attempted prognostic prediction of cancer patients through lipidomics. Commonly analyzed cancers included colorectal, prostate, and breast cancers. Liquid (serum and urine) and tissue samples were equally used, with liquid chromatography-tandem MS being the most common analytical platform. The most frequently evaluated prognostic outcomes were overall survival, stage, and recurrence. Thirty-eight lipid markers (including phosphatidylcholine, ceramide, triglyceride, lysophosphatidylcholine, sphingomyelin, phosphatidylethanolamine, diacylglycerol, phosphatidic acid, phosphatidylserine, lysophosphatidylethanolamine, lysophosphatidic acid, dihydroceramide, prostaglandin, sphingosine-1-phosphate, phosphatidylinosito, fatty acid, glucosylceramide and lactosylceramide) were identified as prognostic factors, demonstrating potential for clinical application. In conclusion, the potential for developing lipidomics in cancer prognostic prediction was demonstrated. However, the field is still nascent, necessitating future studies for validating and establishing lipid markers as reliable prognostic tools in clinical practice.