Machine learning-based prediction of 1-year all-cause mortality in patients undergoing CRT implantation: validation of the SEMMELWEIS-CRT score in the European CRT Survey I dataset.

Aims: We aimed to externally validate the SEMMELWEIS-CRT score for predicting 1-year all-cause mortality in the European Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy (CRT) Survey I dataset-a large multi-centre cohort of patients undergoing CRT implantation. Methods and results: The SEMMELWEIS-CRT score is a machine learning-based tool trained for predicting all-cause mortality in patients undergoing CRT implantation. This tool demonstrated impressive performance during internal validation but has not yet been validated externally. To this end, we applied it to the data of 1367 patients from the European CRT Survey I dataset. The SEMMELWEIS-CRT predicted 1-year mortality with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.729 (0.682-0.776), which concurred with the performance measured during internal validation [AUC: 0.768 (0.674-0.861), P = 0.466]. Moreover, the SEMMELWEIS-CRT score outperformed multiple conventional statistics-based risk scores, and we demonstrated that a higher predicted probability is not only associated with a higher risk of death [odds ratio (OR): 1.081 (1.061-1.101), P < 0.001] but also with an increased risk of hospitalizations for any cause [OR: 1.013 (1.002-1.025), P = 0.020] or for heart failure [OR: 1.033 (1.015-1.052), P < 0.001], a less than 5% improvement in left ventricular ejection fraction [OR: 1.033 (1.021-1.047), P < 0.001], and lack of improvement in New York Heart Association functional class compared with baseline [OR: 1.018 (1.006-1.029), P = 0.003]. Conclusion: In the European CRT Survey I dataset, the SEMMELWEIS-CRT score predicted 1-year all-cause mortality with good discriminatory power, which confirms the generalizability and demonstrates the potential clinical utility of this machine learning-based risk stratification tool.

Prognosis of early-stage HFpEF in the community-dwelling elderly: The Northern Shanghai Study.

OBJECTIVE: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a growing concern among the elderly population, significantly impacting morbidity and mortality rates. This study aimed to screen and investigate the characteristics and prognosis of early-stage HFpEF in the elderly. METHODS: A total of 1789 community-dwelling individuals aged over 65 from northern Shanghai were enrolled. According to American Heart Association (AHA) guidelines, participants were classified into four groups: HFpEF stage 0, HFpEF stage A, HFpEF stage B and HFpEF stage C. Major endpoints included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), all-cause death and cardiovascular death. RESULTS: After a mean follow-up period of 7.10 ± 1.27 years, 1623 elderly subjects were included [HFpEF stage 0 (10.3%), HFpEF stage A (16.3%), HFpEF stage B (60.6%) and HFpEF stage C (12.8%)]. Patients with HFpEF stage A, HFpEF stage B and HFpEF stage C exhibited more MACEs than those in HFpEF stage 0 (P < 0.01). Patients with HFpEF stage C had a significantly higher cardiovascular (P < 0.001) and all-cause death ratio (P < 0.01). With HFpEF stage 0 as a reference, the increases in MACEs were significantly associated with HFpEF stage A [hazard ratio (HR): 2.97, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.13, 7.82), P < 0.05], HFpEF stage B [HR: 2.69, 95% CI (1.09, 6.64), P < 0.05] and HFpEF stage C [HR: 4.86, 95% CI (1.88, 12.59), P < 0.01] in the Cox regression analysis. Our finding remains unaltered in the sensitivity analysis, with no interaction for effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with those with HFpEF stage 0, patients with HFpEF, whether in stage B or C, exhibit significantly higher cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in the elderly. This study underscores the importance of early-stage HFpEF screening, particularly in older, asymptomatic stage B individuals.

Association of Systemic Inflammation Level on Admission with Total and Cardiovascular­Specific Death in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction: A Large Multi­Center Retrospective Longitudinal Study.

Purpose: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is inherently a complex inflammatory syndrome, and heightened inflammation is strongly associated with an increased risk of death. However, the association of systemic inflammation levels with total and cardiovascular death among patients with HFpEF remains unknown. We aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of systemic inflammation on all-cause and cardiovascular death among patients with HFpEF. Patients and Methods: Patients with HFpEF were included in this study. Systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) is defined as the multiplication of neutrophil and monocyte divided by lymphocyte count, and patients were divided into four groups based on SIRI quartiles. Cox regression models and competing risk models were used to examine the relationships between SIRI and total and cardiovascular­specific mortality, respectively. Results: 9,986 patients with HFpEF were included in five tertiary hospitals. During a median follow-up period of 4.4 years, a total of 2004 patients died, of which 965 were cardiovascular deaths. After fully adjusting for confounders, elevated SIRI level was significantly related to the increased risk of all-cause death (Q2, Q3, Q4: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) [95 confidence interval (CI)%] =1.17[1.01-1.35], 1.31[1.13-1.52], 1.51[1.30-1.76], respectively; P for trend <0.001). The elevated quartile of SIRI showed higher risks of cardiovascular death, but there was no statistically significant increased risk of cardiovascular death across the lower SIRI quartile (model 3: Q2, Q3, Q4: aHR [95CI%] =1.22[0.99-1.51], 1.50[1.20-1.86], 1.73[1.37-2.18], respectively; P for trend <0.001). Conclusion: Elevated systemic inflammation level on admission was correlated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death among patients with HFpEF. The SIRI may serve as a promising marker of risk stratification for patients with HFpEF.

Association between all-cause mortality and vascular complications in U.S. adults with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes (NHANES 1999-2018).

AIMS: The impact of macrovascular and microvascular complications, the common vascular complications of type 2 diabetes, on long-term mortality has been well evaluated, but the impact of different complications of newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes (diagnosed within the past 2 years) on long-term mortality has not been reported. We aimed to investigate the relationship between all-cause mortality and vascular complications in U.S. adults (aged ≥ 20 years) with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We used data from the 1999-2018 National Health and Nutritional Examination Surveys (NHANES). Cox proportional hazard models was used to assess hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals for all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 928 participants were enrolled in this study. At a mean follow-up of 10.8 years, 181 individuals died. In the fully adjusted model, the hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval [CI]) of all-cause mortality for individuals with any single complication compared with those with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes without complications was 2.24 (1.37, 3.69), and for individuals with two or more complications was 5.34 (3.01, 9.46).Co-existing Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and diabetic retinopathy (DR) at baseline were associated with the highest risk of death (HR 6.07[2.92-12.62]), followed by CKD and cardiovascular disease (CVD) (HR 4.98[2.79-8.89]) and CVD and DR (HR 4.58 [1.98-10.57]). CONCLUSION: The presence of single and combined diabetes complications exerts a long-term synergistic adverse impact on overall mortality in newly diagnosed U.S. adults with type 2 diabetes, underscoring the importance of comprehensive complication screening to enhance risk stratification and treatment.

Short- and intermediate-term outcomes of transcatheter aortic valve replacement in low-risk patients: A meta-analysis and systematic review.

Background: Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) being currently employed in low surgical risk patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis (AS). The durability and extended outcomes of TAVR as compared to surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) in low-risk patients remains uncertain. Methods: We selected randomized controlled trials (RCT) comparing outcomes of TAVR vs. SAVR in low surgical risk patients having severe AS using online databases. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were composite of all-cause death & disabling stroke, cardiovascular (CV) death, stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), permanent pacemaker (PPM) placement, new onset atrial fibrillation (AF), valve re-intervention and valve thrombosis. The outcomes were stratified at short- (1-year) and intermediate-term (≤5 years) follow-up. We used a random effect model to report outcomes as relative risk (RR) with a 95 % confidence interval (CI). Results: The analysis consisted of six RCTs comprising 5,122 subjects with a mean age of 75.4 years. At short-term follow up, there was a significant reduction in all-cause death (RR: 0.62, 0.46-0.82, p = 0.001) and composite of all-cause death and disabling stroke (RR: 0.62, 0.45-0.83, p = 0.002) in patients undergoing TAVR. At intermediate-term follow-up, there was no significant difference in survival (RR:0.95, 0.73-1.24, p = 0.71) and composite outcome (RR: 0.95, 0.74-1.22, p = 0.71). TAVR patients had lower incidence of new onset AF, however, higher PPM placement. Conclusion: In patients with severe AS having low-surgical risk, patients undergoing TAVR had improved short-term survival as compared to SAVR. This survival advantage was absent at intermediate-term follow-up. The long-term outcomes remain uncertain.

Survival Among Patients With Multiple Myeloma in the United States Military Health System Compared to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program.

BACKGROUND: Access to health care is an important factor affecting survival of patients with multiple myeloma (MM) in the U.S. general population. The U.S. Military Health System (MHS) provides universal health care to beneficiaries and has been associated with improved survival across multiple malignancies. In this study, we compared survival of MHS beneficiaries with MM with MM patients from the U.S. general population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Department of Defense's Automated Central Tumor Registry (ACTUR) and the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) databases were used to extract data for MM patients from MHS and the U.S. general population, respectively. Patients had histologically confirmed MM between 1987 and 2013 and were followed through 2015 for overall survival. Two SEER patients were matched to each ACTUR patient by age group, sex, race, and diagnosis year group. Five and 10-year survival was compared between ACTUR and SEER patients to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: Median survival of the ACTUR patients was 47.1 months (95% CI: 43.9-50.4) compared to 33.0 months (95% CI, 32.0-35.0) of the SEER patients. Five and 10-year death rates were significantly lower for ACTUR patients than the SEER patients with an adjusted HR of 0.74 (95% CI, 0.68-0.81) and 0.79 (95% CI, 0.74-0.85), respectively. The survival advantage of ACTUR patients was preserved when stratified by age, sex, race, and diagnosis year. CONCLUSION: MHS beneficiaries with MM had improved overall survival compared to MM patients from the U.S. general population.

AI-based Fully-Automated Stress Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction as a Prognostic Marker in Patients Undergoing Stress-CMR.

AIM: To determine in patients undergoing stress CMR whether fully automated stress artificial intelligence (AI)-based left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEFAI) can provide incremental prognostic value to predict death above traditional prognosticators. MATERIEL AND RESULTS: Between 2016 and 2018, we conducted a longitudinal study that included all consecutive patients referred for vasodilator stress CMR. LVEFAI was assessed using AI-algorithm combines multiple deep learning networks for LV segmentation. The primary outcome was all-cause death assessed using the French National Registry of Death. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association of stress LVEFAI with death after adjustment for traditional risk factors and CMR findings.In 9,712 patients (66±15 years, 67% men), there was an excellent correlation between stress LVEFAI and LVEF measured by expert (LVEFexpert) (r=0.94, p<0.001). Stress LVEFAI was associated with death (median [IQR] follow-up 4.5 [3.7-5.2] years) before and after adjustment for risk factors (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.84 [95% CI, 0.82-0.87] per 5% increment, p<0.001). Stress LVEFAI had similar significant association with death occurrence compared with LVEFexpert. After adjustment, stress LVEFAI value showed the greatest improvement in model discrimination and reclassification over and above traditional risk factors and stress CMR findings (C-statistic improvement: 0.11; NRI=0.250; IDI=0.049, all p<0.001; LR-test p<0.001), with an incremental prognostic value over LVEFAI determined at rest. CONCLUSION: AI-based fully automated LVEF measured at stress is independently associated with the occurrence of death in patients undergoing stress CMR, with an additional prognostic value above traditional risk factors, inducible ischemia and LGE.

Cardiac arrest and cardiogenic shock complicating ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction in China: A retrospective multicenter study.

Background: Data on the effect of cardiac arrest (CA), cardiogenic shock (CS), and their combination on the prognosis of Chinese patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) are limited. The present study sought to evaluate the clinical outcomes of STEMI complicated by CA and CS, and to identify the risk factors for CA or CS. Methods: This study included 7468 consecutive patients with STEMI in China. The patients were divided into 4 groups (CA + CS, CA only, CS only, and No CA or CS). The endpoints were 30-day all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events. A Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed. Results: CA, CS, and their combination were noted in 332 (4.4 %), 377 (5.0 %), and 117 (1.6 %) among all patients. During the 30-day follow-up, 817 (10.9 %) all-cause deaths and 964 (12.9 %) major adverse cardiovascular events occurred, and the incidence of all-cause mortality (3.6 %, 62.3 %, 74.1 %, 83.3 %) and major adverse cardiovascular events (5.4 %, 67.1 %, 75.0 %, and 87.2 %) significantly increased in the No CA or CS, CS only, CA only, and CA + CS groups, respectively. In the multivariate Cox regression models, compared with the No CA or CS group, the CA + CS, CA, and CS-only groups were associated with an increased risk of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events. Patients with CA + CS had the highest risk of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR], 25.259 [95 % confidence interval (CI) 19.221-33.195]) and major adverse cardiovascular events (HR 19.098, 95%CI 14.797-24.648). Conclusions: CA, CS, and their combination were observed in approximately 11 % of Chinese patients with STEMI, and were associated with increased risk for 30-day mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events in Chinese patients with STEMI.

Effect of nutritional status on adverse clinical events in elderly patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation: A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the influence of nutritional status on adverse clinical events in elderly patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. METHODS: This retrospective observational cohort study included 196 patients, 75-102-years-old, with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, hospitalized in our hospital. The nutritional status was assessed using Mini-Nutritional Assessment-Short Form (MNA-SF). Patients with MNA-SF scores of 0-11 and 12-14 were included in the malnutrition and nonmalnutrition groups, respectively. RESULTS: The average age of the malnutrition group was higher than that of the nonmalnutrition group, and the levels of body mass index (BMI), hemoglobin (HGB), and albumin (ALB) were significantly lower than those of the nonmalnutrition group, with statistical significance (p < .05). The incidence of all-cause death in the malnutrition group was higher than that in the nonmalnutrition group (p = .007). Kaplan-Meier curve indicated that malnutrition patients have a higher risk of all-cause death (log-rank test, p = .001) and major bleeding events (p = .017). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis corrected for confounders showed that malnutrition was an independent risk factor of all-cause death (HR = 1.780, 95%CI:1.039-3.050, p = .036). The malnutrition group had a significantly high incidence of major bleeding than the nonmalnutrition group (p = .026), and there was no significant difference in the proportion of anticoagulation therapy (p = .082) and the incidence of ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (p = .310) between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Malnutrition is an independent risk factor of all-cause death in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation. The incidence of major bleeding in malnourished elderly patients with atrial fibrillation is high, and the benefit of anticoagulation therapy is not obvious.

Effectiveness of azvudine against severe outcomes among hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Xinjiang, China: a single-center, retrospective, matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Since the end of 2022, Azvudine was widely used to treat hospitalized coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients in China. However, data on the real-world effectiveness of Azvudine against severe outcomes and post-COVID-19-conditions (PCC) among patients infected by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron variants was limited. This study evaluates the effectiveness of Azvudine in hospitalized COVID-19 patients during a SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.5 dominance period. METHODS: From 1 November 2022 to 1 July 2023, an SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.5 dominant period, we conducted a single-center retrospective cohort study based on hospitalized patients with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection from a tertiary hospital in Shihezi, China. Patients treated with Azvudine and usual care were propensity-score matched (PSM) at a 1:1 ratio to a control group in which patients received usual care only, with matching based on covariates such as sex, age, ethnicity, number of preexisting conditions, antibiotic use at admission, and baseline complete blood cell count. The primary outcomes were all-cause death and short-term (60 days) PCC post discharge. The secondary outcomes included the initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation and PCC at long-term post discharge (120 days). Cox proportional hazards (PH) regression models were employed to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) of Azvudine treatment for both all-cause death and invasive mechanical ventilation, and logistic regression models were used to estimate the odds ratios (OR) for short-term and long-term PCC. Subgroup analyses were performed based on a part of the matched covariates. RESULTS: A total of 2,639 hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection were initially identified, and 2,069 ineligible subjects were excluded from analyses. After matching, 297 Azvudine recipients and 297 matched controls were eligible for analyses. The incidence rate of all-cause death was relatively lower in the Azvudine group than in control group (0.007 per person, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.001, 0.024 vs 0.128, 95% CI: 0.092, 0.171), and the use of Azvudine was associated with a significantly lower risk of death (HR: 0.049, 95% CI: 0.012, 0.205). Subgroup analyses suggested protection of Azvudine against the risks of all-cause death among men, age over 65, patients without the preexisting conditions, and patients with antibiotics dispensed at admission. Statistical differences were not observed between the Azvudine group and the control group for the risks of invasive mechanical ventilation or short and long-term PCC. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicated that Azvudine was associated with lower risk of all-cause death among hospitalized patients with Omicron BA.5 infection in a real-world setting. Further investigation is needed to explore the effectiveness of Azvudine against the PCC after discharge.

This study aims to evaluate the real-world effectiveness of Azvudine among hospitalized COVID-19 patients during a SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.5 dominant epidemic phase. Cox proportional hazards (PH) regression models were employed to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) for all-cause death. We found that the use of Azvudine was associated with a significantly reduced risk of all-cause death among hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Plasma ceramides predict all-cause and cause-specific mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes.

CONTEXT: The CERT1 (Cardiovascular Event Risk Test) score derived from plasma ceramides has been applied clinically for cardiovascular risk assessment. OBJECTIVE: To study whether plasma ceramides predict risk of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A prospective study which included 1903 outpatients with type 2 diabetes in a regional hospital and a primary care facility in Singapore. EXPOSURE AND OUTCOME: Plasma ceramides (d18:1/16:0, d18:1/18:0, d18:1/24:0, d18:1/24:1) were measured by mass spectrometry and CERT1 score was calculated accordingly. Main outcomes were all-cause and cause-specific mortality. RESULTS: 252 death events were identified during median of 9.3 years of follow-up. Compared to those with low score (≤ 2), participants with a high CERT1 score (≥ 7) had 1.86 (95% CI 1.30-3.65) fold increased risk for all-cause death after adjustment for cardio-renal risk factors including eGFR and albuminuria. As continuous variable, one- unit increment in CERT1 was associated with 8% increased risk for all-cause death (adjusted HR 1.08 [1.04-1.13]). Adding CERT1 onto RECODe (Risk Equations for Complications Of type 2 Diabetes) mortality risk engine significantly improved prediction of 10- year risk of all-cause death (AUC 0.810 to 0.823, delta 0.013 [0.005-0.022]). The association between CERT1 and non-cardiovascular death remained significant (adjusted HR 2.12 [1.32-3.42]), whereas its association with cardiovascular death became non-significant after adjustment for kidney measurements (adjusted HR 1.41 [0.78-2.56]). CONCLUSION: CERT1 score predicts mortality risk independent of clinical cardio-renal risk factors. Further studies are warranted to elucidate the mechanistic linkage between ceramide and mortality, especially non-cardiovascular mortality.

Risk of adverse events in anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND: The clinical impact of Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD) in patients with atrial fibrillation(AF) is still controversial. AIM: To evaluate the 1-year risk of all-cause death, thromboembolic events, and bleeding in AF-NAFLD patients. METHODS: Retrospective study with a health research network(TriNetX). AF patients on oral anticoagulation(OAC) were categorized according to the presence of NAFLD into two groups. The primary outcomes were the 1-year risks of: i) a composite cardiovascular outcome (all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, cardiac arrest, and pulmonary embolism); and ii) a composite hemorrhagic outcome(intracranial hemorrhage and gastrointestinal bleeding). Cox regression analysis before and after propensity-score-matching(PSM) was used to estimate Hazard Ratio(HR) and 95% confidence intervals(95%CI). Sensitivity analyses investigated the risk associated with cirrhosis, thrombocytopenia, and type of OAC(warfarin vs non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants(NOAC). RESULTS: We identified 22,636 AF-NAFLD patients (69±12 years, 46.7% females) and 391,014 AF patients without liver disease(72±12 years, 42.7% females). NAFLD was associated with a higher risk of composite cardiovascular (HR 1.54,95%CI 1.47-1.61) and hemorrhagic (HR 1.56,95%CI 1.42-1.72) outcomes. This was consistent also for all the single outcomes. Cirrhotic and thrombocytopenic AF-NAFLD patients showed the highest risks. Compared to AF-NAFLD patients on NOAC, those on warfarin were associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular and hemorrhagic outcomes. CONCLUSION: In AF patients, NAFLD is associated with a higher 1-year risk of adverse events, with the risk of adverse events progressively increasing from non-cirrhotic to cirrhotic and from non-thrombocytopenic to thrombocytopenic patients. NOACs were associated with a better effectiveness and safety profile compared to warfarin.

Adverse clinical events after percutaneous coronary intervention in very elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome.

The number of very elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is increasing. Therefore, owing to the need for evidence-based treatment decisions in this population, this study aimed to examine the clinical outcomes during 1 year after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in very elderly patients with ACS. This prospective multicenter observational study comprised 1337 patients with ACS treated with PCI, classified into the following four groups according to age: under 60, <60 years; sexagenarian, ≥60 and <69 years; septuagenarian, ≥70 and <80 years; and very elderly, ≥80 years. The primary endpoint was a composite of the first occurrence of all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, and bleeding within 1 year after PCI. We used the sexagenarian group as a reference and compared outcomes with those of the other groups. The incidence of the primary endpoint was significantly higher in the very elderly group than in the sexagenarian group (36 [12.7%] vs. 24 [6.9%], respectively; hazard ratio, 1.94; 95% confidence interval: 1.16-3.26; p = 0.012). The higher incidence of the primary endpoint was primarily driven by a higher incidence of all-cause death. When the multivariable analysis was used to adjust for patient characteristics and comorbidities, no difference was observed in the primary endpoint between the very elderly and sexagenarian groups (p = 0.96). The incidence of adverse events after PCI, particularly all-cause death, in very elderly patients with ACS was high. However, if several confounders are adjusted, comparable outcomes may be expected within 1 year after PCI among this population.

Nomogram to Predict Outcomes After Staged Revascularization in ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction and Multivessel Coronary Artery Disease.

Objective: Approximately 50% of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients have multivessel coronary artery disease (MVD). The management strategy for these patients remains controversial. This study aimed to develop predictive models and nomogram of outcomes in STEMI patients with MVD for better identification and classification. Methods: The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used to select the features most significantly associated with the outcomes. A Cox regression model was built using the selected variables. One nomogram was computed from each model, and individual risk scores were obtained by applying the nomograms to the cohort. After regrouping patients based on nomogram risk scores into low- and high-risk groups, we used the Kaplan-Meier method to perform survival analysis. Results: The C-index of the major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE)-free survival model was 0·68 (95% CI 0·62-0·74) and 0·65 [0·62-0·68]) at internal validation, and that of the overall survival model was 0·75 (95% CI 0·66-0·84) and (0·73 [0·65-0·81]). The predictions of both models correlated with the observed outcomes. Low-risk patients had significantly lower probabilities of 1-year or 3-year MACEs (4% versus 11%, P= 0.003; 7% versus 15%, P=0.01, respectively) and 1-year or 3-year all-cause death (1% versus 3%, P=0.048; 2% versus 7%, respectively, P=0.001) than high-risk patients. Conclusion: Our nomograms can be used to predict STEMI and MVD outcomes in a simple and practical way for patients who undergo primary PCI for culprit vessels and staged PCI for non-culprit vessels.

Long-term outcomes of titanium-nitride-oxide coated stents and drug-eluting stents in acute coronary syndrome: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: In severe cases of coronary artery disease, percutaneous coronary intervention provide promising results. The stent used could be a drug-eluting stent (DES) or a titanium-nitride-oxide coated stent (TiNOS). AIM: To compare the 5-year effectiveness and safety of the two stent types. METHODS: The following systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted in accordance with the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analysis guidelines, and PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, and Cochrane Central were searched from inception till August 2023. Primary outcomes were major adverse cardiac events (MACE), cardiac death, myocardial infarction (MI), cardiac death or MI, and ischemia-driven total lesion revascularization (ID-TLR). RESULTS: Four randomized controlled trials (RCT), which analyzed a sum total of 3045 patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) after a median follow-up time of 5 years were included. Though statistically insignificant, an increase in the ID-TLR was observed in patients receiving TiNOSs vs DESs. In addition, MI, cardiac death and MI, and definite stent thrombosis (DST) were significantly decreased in the TiNOS arm. Baseline analysis revealed no significant results with meta-regression presenting non-ST elevated MI (NSTEMI) as a statistically significant covariate in the outcome of MACE. CONCLUSION: TiNOS was found to be superior to DES in terms of MI, cardiac death or MI, and DST outcomes, however, the effect of the two stent types on ID-TLR and MACE was not significant. A greater number of studies are required to establish an accurate comparison of patient outcomes in TiNOS and DES.

Synergistic effect of lipoprotein(a) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein on the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death in patients with acute myocardial infarction: a large prospective cohort study.

Objective: Although lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (Hs-CRP) are closely associated with the mortality of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), their synergistic effect on the risk of death remains unknown. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the combined effect of Lp(a) and Hs-CRP on the incidence of all-cause and cardiovascular death in AMI patients. Methods: A comprehensive cohort study enrolled 912 AMI patients, categorizing them into four groups based on Lp(a) and Hs-CRP levels: Group 1 [Lp(a) < 30 mg/dL & Hs-CRP < 2 mg/L], Group 2 [Lp(a) < 30 mg/dL & Hs-CRP ≥ 2 mg/L], Group 3 [Lp(a) ≥ 30 mg/dL & Hs-CRP < 2 mg/L], and Group 4 [Lp(a) ≥ 30 mg/dL & Hs-CRP ≥ 2 mg/L]. Cox regression analysis, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and sensitivity analysis were employed to determine the combined effects of Lp(a) and Hs-CRP on the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death. Results: Over a median observation period of 38.98 months, 217 patients passed away, with 137 deaths attributed to cardiovascular causes. The multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that in the comprehensively adjusted Model 3, only Lp(a) and the combination of Lp(a) and Hs-CRP exhibited a strong association with cardiovascular death risk. Specifically, for Lp(a) levels ≥ 30 mg/dL compared to < 30 mg/dL, the hazard ratio (HR) was 2.434 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.653-3.583 (P < 0.001); for log10(Lp(a)), the HR was 2.630 with a 95% CI of 1.530-4.523 (P < 0.001); for Group 4 versus Group 1, the HR was 2.346 with a 95% CI of 1.054-5.220 (P = 0.037); and for Group 4 versus Groups 1 + 2 + 3, the HR was 1.878 with a 95% CI of 1.284-2.748 (P = 0.001). Sensitivity analysis indicated that the synergy between Lp(a) and Hs-CRP continued to be independently associated with the risk of cardiovascular death. For Group 3 versus Group 1, the HR was 3.353 with a 95% CI of 1.133-9.917 (P = 0.029); for Group 4 versus Group 1, the HR was 3.710 with a 95% CI of 1.466-9.392 (P = 0.006); and for Group 4 versus Groups 1 + 2 + 3, the HR was 2.433 with a 95% CI of 1.620-3.656 (P < 0.001). Conclusions: Compared to elevated levels of either Lp(a) or Hs-CRP alone, the concurrent high levels of both significantly increased the risk of cardiovascular death in patients with AMI, underscoring the importance of considering their combined effects in the prognostic management of AMI patients.

Impact of acute glycemic variability on short-term outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: a multicenter population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Given the increasing attention to glycemic variability (GV) and its potential implications for cardiovascular outcomes. This study aimed to explore the impact of acute GV on short-term outcomes in Chinese patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). METHODS: This study enrolled 7510 consecutive patients diagnosed with acute STEMI from 274 centers in China. GV was assessed using the coefficient of variation of blood glucose levels. Patients were categorized into three groups according to GV tertiles (GV1, GV2, and GV3). The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause death, and the secondary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Cox regression analyses were conducted to determine the independent correlation between GV and the outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 7136 patients with STEMI were included. During 30-days follow-up, there was a significant increase in the incidence of all-cause death and MACEs with higher GV tertiles. The 30-days mortality rates were 7.4% for GV1, 8.7% for GV2 and 9.4% for GV3 (p = 0.004), while the MACEs incidence rates was 11.3%, 13.8% and 15.8% for the GV1, GV2 and GV3 groups respectively (p < 0.001). High GV levels during hospitalization were significantly associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality and MACEs. When analyzed as a continuous variable, GV was independently associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.679, 95% confidence Interval [CI] 1.005-2.804) and MACEs (HR 2.064, 95% CI 1.386-3.074). Additionally, when analyzed as categorical variables, the GV3 group was found to predict an increased risk of MACEs, irrespective of the presence of diabetes mellitus (DM). CONCLUSION: Our study findings indicate that a high GV during hospitalization was significantly associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality and MACE in Chinese patients with STEMI. Moreover, acute GV emerged as an independent predictor of increased MACEs risk, regardless of DM status.

Syphilis and cardiovascular risk: a Taiwanese registry.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Studies on the impact of syphilis on the cardiovascular system in large populations are limited. This study investigated the effects of syphilis on cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: Medical records from 2010 to 2015 were retrieved from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database, linked to the Notifiable Infectious Diseases database from the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control. Patients with syphilis were identified, excluding those with missing information, under 20 years of age, or with a history of human immunodeficiency virus infection, acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, aortic regurgitation, replacement of the aortic valve, aneurysm and/or dissection of the aorta, atrial fibrillation, ischaemic stroke, haemorrhagic stroke, and venous thromboembolism. Primary outcomes included new-onset acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, aortic regurgitation, aneurysm and dissection of the aorta, atrial fibrillation, ischaemic stroke, haemorrhagic stroke, venous thromboembolism, cardiovascular death, and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 28 796 patients with syphilis were identified from 2010 to 2015. After exclusions and frequency matching, 20 601 syphilis patients and 20 601 non-syphilis patients were analysed. The relative rate (RR) was utilized in the analysis, as the competing risk of death was not considered. Compared with patients without syphilis, patients with syphilis had increased risks of acute myocardial infarction (RR 38%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-1.60, P < .001), heart failure (RR 88%, 95% CI 1.64-2.14, P < .001), aortic regurgitation (RR 81%, 95% CI 1.18-2.75, P = .006), atrial fibrillation (RR 45%, 95% CI 1.20-1.76, P < .001), ischaemic stroke (RR 68%, 95% CI 1.52-1.87, P < .001), haemorrhagic stroke (RR 114%, 95% CI 1.74-2.64, P < .001), venous thromboembolism (RR 67%, 95% CI 1.23-2.26, P = .001), cardiovascular death (RR 155%, 95% CI 2.11-3.08, P < .001), and all-cause death (RR 196%, 95% CI 2.74-3.19, P < .001) but not for aneurysm and dissection of the aorta. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that patients with syphilis have a higher risk of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality compared with those without syphilis.

Reproductive factors and risk of cardiovascular diseases and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in American women: NHANES 2003-2018.

BACKGROUND: The evidence regarding the association of reproductive factors with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) is limited. AIMS: To investigate the relationship of reproductive factors with the risk of CVDs, as well as all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. METHODS: This study included 16,404 adults with reproductive factors from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and followed up until 31 December 2019. Logistic models and restricted cubic spline models were used to assess the association of reproductive factors with CVDs. COX proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline models, with adjustment for potential confounding, were employed to analyze the relation between reproductive factors and cardiovascular and all-cause death. RESULTS: There is a nonlinear relationship between age at menarche and CVDs. Age at menopause ≤ 11(OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.10-1.69) was associated with an increased risk of CVDs compared to ages 12-13 years. Age at Menopause ≤ 44 (OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.40-2.03) was associated with increased CVDs compared to age 35-49 years. Number of pregnancies ≥ 5(OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.02-1.55) was associated with an increased risk of CVDs compared to one pregnancy. In continuous variable COX regression models, a later age at menopause (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99) and a longer reproductive lifespan (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99) were associated with a decreased risk of all-cause death. A later age at menopause (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99) and a longer reproductive lifespan (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99) were associated with a decreased risk of cardiac death. CONCLUSIONS: Female reproductive factors are significant risk factors for CVDs American women.

Effect of aspirin on cardiovascular events in patients undergoing hemodialysis with hyperphosphatemia: A post hoc analysis of the LANDMARK trial.

INTRODUCTION: The clinical benefits of aspirin in patients undergoing hemodialysis remain unclear. METHODS: The secondary analysis of the LANDMARK trial investigated whether aspirin use was associated with cardiovascular events (CVEs) and all-cause mortality was performed. A total of 2135 patients at risk for vascular calcification were analyzed using a Cox proportional hazards model with propensity score matching. RESULTS: The risk of CVEs was comparable between participants with aspirin use at baseline and those without at baseline, between participants with aspirin use during the study period and those without during the study period, and between participants with new aspirin prescription and those without aspirin use during the study period. CONCLUSION: Aspirin use was not significantly associated with a lower risk of CVEs in participants undergoing hemodialysis patients at risk of vascular calcification.