Impact of education and income inequalities on life expectancy: insights from the new EU members.

Life expectancy is one of the primary population health indicators and in turn increases in life expectancy indicate improvements in population health and human welfare. Therefore, one of the ultimate goals of the countries is to increase the life expectancy. This article studies the effect of education and income inequalities, ICT indicators, CO2 emissions, and real GDP per capita on life expectancy in the new EU members for the period of 2010-2022 by employing fixed effects regression. The coefficients of panel regression uncover that education and income inequalities and CO2 emissions negatively impact life expectancy, but ICT indicators of internet usage and mobile cellular subscriptions and real GDP per capita positively affects the life expectancy. The findings of the panel regression analysis indicate that public policies to decrease the inequalities in education and income will make a contribution to life expectancy.

Health inequalities in a middle-income country: a systematic review of the Costa Rican case.

Objective: This study systematically reviews evidence of socioeconomic health disparities in Costa Rica, a middle-income country, to elucidate the relationship between socioeconomic status and health outcomes. Methods: Published studies were identified through a systematic review of PubMed (English) and Scielo (Spanish) databases from December 2023 to January 2024, following PRISMA guidelines. Search terms included socioeconomic status, social determinants, social gradient in health, and health inequalities. Results: Of 236 identified references, 55 met the inclusion criteria. Findings were categorized into health inequalities in mortality (among the general population, infants, and older adults), life expectancy, cause-specific mortality, and health determinants or risk factors mediating the association between the social environment and health. The studies indicate higher mortality among the most disadvantaged groups, including deaths from respiratory diseases, violence, and infections. Higher socioeconomic status was associated with lower mortality rates in the 1990s, indicating a positive social gradient in health (RII = 1.3, CI [1.1-1.5]). Disparities were less pronounced among older adults. Urban areas exhibited concentrated wealth and increased risky behaviors, while rural areas, despite greater socioeconomic deprivation, showed a lower prevalence of risky behaviors. Regarding smoking, people living in rural areas smoked significantly less than those in urban areas (7% vs. 10%). Despite the relatively equitable distribution of public primary healthcare, disparities persisted in the timely diagnosis and treatment of chronic diseases. Cancer survival rates post-diagnosis were positively correlated with the wealth of districts (1.23 [1.12-1.35] for all cancers combined). Conclusion: The study highlights the existence of social health inequalities in Costa Rica. However, despite being one of the most unequal OECD countries, Costa Rica shows relatively modest social gradients in health compared to other middle and high-income nations. This phenomenon can be attributed to distinctive social patterns in health behaviors and the equalizing influence of the universal healthcare system.

Efficiency of health systems in middle-income countries and determinants of efficiency in Latin America and the Caribbean.

We estimate the efficiency of health spending in 145 middle and high-income and the potential gains from improving efficiency for a range of health system outputs using Robust Data Envelopment Analysis for 2010-2014 and 2015-2019 and examine associations with health system characteristics. Focusing on Latin American and Caribbean countries, we find large variability in efficiency and overall substantial potential gains in the later period, despite improvements over time. Our results suggest that, for example, improving spending efficiency could increase life expectancy at birth by 3.5 years (4.6%), or slightly more than the 3.4-year improvement in average life expectancy in the region between 2000 and 2015. Similarly, improved efficiency could reduce neonatal mortality by 6.7 per 1,000 live births (62%), increase service coverage by 6 percentage points (8.7%), and reduce the rich-poor gap in birth attendance by 10 percentage points (12.6%). We find that governance quality is positively associated with efficiency. Overall, the findings indicate an urgent need to improve efficiency in the region and substantial scope for realizing the potential gains of such improvements.

Mortality trends and years of potential life lost due to suicide in adolescents.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the trend in mortality rates and years of potential life lost (YPLL) due to suicide among adolescents in Northeast Brazil. METHODS: This is an ecological time series study, with secondary data from 2011 to 2020 from the Mortality Information System for adolescents aged 10 to 19 years in the Northeast region of Brazil. Groups of causes from the 10th Revision of the International Classification of Diseases were included: X60-X84 (intentionally self-inflicted injuries), Y10-Y19 (poisoning of undetermined intent), and Y87 (sequelae of intentional self-harm). Mortality coefficients and frequency distribution by sociodemographic variables, place of occurrence, and method of suicide were estimates. YPLL were estimated by gender and age. Joinpoint regression analysis was used, and the annual percentage change (APC) was determined with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: A total of 2,410 deaths were recorded, with a predominance of adolescents aged between 15 and 19, males, of mixed-race, low schooling, and home was the main place of occurrence. The trend in the death rate was increasing in the Northeast (APC: 3.6%; p = 0.001), in girls aged 10 to 14 (APC: 8.7%; p = 0.003), in boys aged 15 to 19 (APC: 4.6%; p = 0.002) and in Bahia (APC: 8.1%; p = 0.012). Hanging/strangulation was the main method adopted by both sexes. The YPLL due to suicide were 11,110 in 2011 and 14,960 in 2020. CONCLUSION: The precociousness of suicide committed by girls and the increase in mortality among older adolescents are noteworthy, and specific preventive measures need to be adopted for these groups in order to reduce this preventable cause of death.

The influence of social, demographic and economic factors on fertility trends in Gulf Cooperation Council countries: A longitudinal time trend analysis-1980-2021.

OBJECTIVES: To analyze the fertility rate trends in the GCC countries and their association with socioeconomic factors so that policymakers may use the study findings for future healthcare plans. METHODS: Total population, crude death rate, life expectancy, literacy rate, human development index (HDI), female employment, unemployment rate, urbanisation, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and inflation were chosen as possible predictors of TFR trends. The data were collected for the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study and other official databases such as the World Bank, the United Nations Development Program and Our World in Data for the 6 Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Mean with standard deviation and percentage change was calculated to assess trends of TFR and all other variables from 1980-2021. RESULTS: The fertility rate declined in all 6 countries in 2021 compared to 1980. The highest decline was found in the United Arab Emirates (75.5%), while the lowest was in Kuwait (60.9%). From 1980-2021, total population, life expectancy, HDI, literacy rate, GDP, urbanisation, and female labor force increased in all GCC countries. The total population, life expectancy, urbanisation, female labor force, GDP and HDI were negatively and significantly correlated with TFR (p<0.01). The literacy rate showed a negative and significant correlation with TFR in Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar. CONCLUSION: The TFR is declining in GCC countries. The plausible causes include the inclination towards postponement of marriages and excessive costs of living. These trends and associations need to be evaluated by policymakers so that they identify priority areas for interventions, allocate resources and formulate developmental plans accordingly to ensure strategic progress of the region.

Association of lifestyle with valvular heart disease progression and life expectancy among elderly people from different socioeconomic backgrounds.

BACKGROUND: Current cardiovascular prevention strategies are based on studies that seldom include valvular heart disease (VHD). The role of modifiable lifestyle factors on VHD progression and life expectancy among the elderly with different socioeconomic statuses (SES) remains unknown. METHODS: This cohort study included 164,775 UK Biobank participants aged 60 years and older. Lifestyle was determined using a five-factor scoring system covering smoking status, obesity, physical activity, diet, and sleep patterns. Based on this score, participants were then classified into "poor," "moderate," or "ideal" lifestyle groups. SES was classified as high or low based on the Townsend Deprivation Index. The association of lifestyle with major VHD progression was evaluated using a multistate mode. The life table method was employed to determine life expectancy with VHD and without VHD. RESULTS: The UK Biobank documented 5132 incident VHD cases with a mean follow-up of 12.3 years and 1418 deaths following VHD with a mean follow-up of 6.0 years. Compared to those with a poor lifestyle, women and men followed an ideal lifestyle had lower hazard ratios for incident VHD (0.66 with 95% CI, 0.59-0.73 for women and 0.77 with 95% CI, 0.71-0.83 for men) and for post-VHD mortality (0.58 for women, 95% CI 0.46-0.74 and 0.62 for men, 95% CI 0.54-0.73). When lifestyle and SES were combined, the lower risk of incident VHD and mortality were observed among participants with an ideal lifestyle and high SES compared to participants with an unhealthy lifestyle and low SES. There was no significant interaction between lifestyle and SES in their correlation with the incidence and subsequent mortality of VHD. Among low SES populations, 60-year-old women and men with VHD who followed ideal lifestyles lived 4.2 years (95% CI, 3.8-4.7) and 5.1 years (95% CI, 4.5-5.6) longer, respectively, compared to those with poor lifestyles. In contrast, the life expectancy gain for those without VHD was 4.4 years (95% CI, 4.0-4.8) for women and 5.3 years (95% CI, 4.8-5.7) for men when adhering to an ideal lifestyle versus a poor one. CONCLUSIONS: Adopting a healthier lifestyle can significantly slow down the progression from free of VHD to incident VHD and further to death and increase life expectancy for both individuals with and without VHD within diverse socioeconomic elderly populations.

Gender disparities in multi-state health transitions and life expectancy among the ≥50-year-old population: A cross-national multi-cohort study.

Background: Understanding how disability progresses with ageing is important for shaping policies aimed at improving older adults' quality of life, especially when considering the global trends in ageing, life expectancy (LE), and gender disparity. We aimed to assess the health transition probabilities of daily living activities and their implications on LE and gender gaps in global middle-aged and elderly populations. Methods: In this multi-cohort study with a sample of 74 101 individuals aged ≥50 years, we analysed data from six international cohorts: the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) in the USA, the Mexican Longitudinal Study of Ageing (MHAS), the Korean Longitudinal Study of Ageing (KLoSA), and the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE). We estimated probabilities between robust health; disabilities related to instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) and basic activities of daily living (BADL); and mortality through multi-state Markov models. We included gender as a covariate in the models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs), while we calculated LE within the distinct health states of robust health, IADL disabilities, BADL disabilities, and mortality using the stochastic population analysis for complex events (SPACE) microsimulation. Results: Women had higher progressions to disability (IADL: HR = 1.392; BADL: HR = 1.356) compared to men, who conversely showed lesser progression from IADL to BADL disability (HR = 0.856) and lower mortality rates (span of HRs = 0.232-0.692). LE at age 50 favoured women (32.16-38.22 years) over men (28.99-33.58 years), yet they spent more time in states of disability. We otherwise observed significant regional and gender disparities in healthy LE. Conclusions: We identified ageing patterns in which longer lives are often coupled with extended periods of disability. Pronounced gender and regional differences indicate a need for targeted health interventions to address inequities and improve seniors' quality of life. Our findings highlight the necessity for policy interventions focussed on health equity to more completely respond to the demographic shift towards older populations.

[Is loneliness the future geriatric syndrome of the 21st century?] / ¿Es la soledad el futuro síndrome geriátrico del siglo XXI?

The aging of the world population is now an unquestionable fact. The World Health Organization (WHO) points out in its World Report on Aging and Health published in 2015 two main causes: the increase in life expectancy and the decrease in fertility rates. The United Nations (UN) announced that Spain will become the oldest country in the world in 2050, with 44% of citizens over 60 years of age and the median age of 55.2 years. Whether this event is interpreted optimistically or as a demographic problem will depend on the quality of the years of life gained.

El envejecimiento de la población mundial es ya un hecho incuestionable. La Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS) señala en su Informe mundial sobre el envejecimiento y la salud publicado en 2015 dos causas principales: el aumento en la esperanza de vida y el descenso de las tasas de fecundidad. La Organización de Naciones Unidas (ONU) anunció que España llegará a ser el país más envejecido del mundo en 2050, siendo el 44% de la ciudadanía mayor de 60 años y la mediana de edad de 55,2 años. Si este acontecimiento es interpretado con optimismo o como un problema demográfico dependerá de la calidad de los años de vida ganados.

Carbon footprints and health security: A comparative assessment of the Sustainable Development Goals 3 and 13 in East Asian countries.

In East Asia, where several countries are among the top emitters of carbon dioxide globally, the need to address the dual challenges of reducing carbon footprints and ensuring health security is paramount. Against this backdrop, this study used a descriptive analysis to provide a comparative assessment of the carbon footprints and the level of health security in East Asia using secondary data, sourced from the World Development Indicators. The findings from the study show that it is only North Korea that its average carbon footprint of every person is less than 2.3 tons. However, China, Japan, Mongolia and South Korea are currently lagging behind in meeting the SDG 13 target. Meanwhile, North Korea recorded the highest incidence of tuberculosis in the region. Despite the fact that South Korea and Japan were the highest emitter of CO2, the duo had the lowest under five mortality, infant mortality, incidence of TB alongside the highest life expectancies which surpassed the regional performance. In view of the above, the policymakers in Asia and the rest of the countries with health insecurity should emulate the policymakers in Japan and South Korea by making adequate investment in health, education, and standard of living of their citizens.

En Asie de l'Est, où plusieurs pays comptent parmi les plus grands émetteurs de dioxyde de carbone au monde, la nécessité de relever le double défi de réduire l'empreinte carbone et d'assurer la sécurité sanitaire est primordiale. Dans ce contexte, cette étude a utilisé une analyse descriptive pour fournir une évaluation comparative des empreintes carbone et du niveau de sécurité sanitaire en Asie de l'Est à l'aide de données secondaires provenant des indicateurs de développement mondial. Les résultats de l'étude montrent que seule la Corée du Nord a une empreinte carbone moyenne par personne inférieure à 2,3 tonnes. Cependant, la Chine, le Japon, la Mongolie et la Corée du Sud sont actuellement à la traîne dans la réalisation de l'ODD 13. Pendant ce temps, la Corée du Nord a enregistré la plus forte incidence de tuberculose dans la région. Bien que la Corée du Sud et le Japon soient les plus grands émetteurs de CO2, ces deux pays ont les taux de mortalité des moins de cinq ans, de mortalité infantile et d'incidence de tuberculose les plus faibles, ainsi que les espérances de vie les plus élevées, dépassant les performances régionales. Compte tenu de ce qui précède, les décideurs politiques d'Asie et du reste des pays souffrant d'insécurité sanitaire devraient imiter les décideurs politiques du Japon et de la Corée du Sud en investissant de manière adéquate dans la santé, l'éducation et le niveau de vie de leurs citoyens.

National income accounting attributes and economic welfare. Evidence from Pakistan.

Economic welfare is essential in the modern economy since it directly reflects the standard of living, distribution of resources, and general social satisfaction, which influences individual and social well-being. This study aims to explore the relationship between national income accounting different attributes and the economic welfare in Pakistan. However, this study used data from 1950 to 2022, and data was downloaded from the World Bank data portal. Regression analysis is used to investigate the relationship between them and is very effective in measuring the relationship between endogenous and exogenous variables. Moreover, generalized methods of movement (GMM) are used as the robustness of the regression. Our results show that foreign direct investment outflow, Gross domestic product growth rate, GDP per capita, higher Interest, market capitalization, and population growth have a significant negative on the unemployment rate, indicating the rise in these factors leads to a decrease in the employment rate in Pakistan. Trade and savings have a significant positive impact on the unemployment rate, indicating the rise in these factors leads to an increase in the unemployment rate for various reasons. Moreover, all the factors of national income accounting have a significant positive relationship with life expectancy, indicating that an increase in these factors leads to an increase in economic welfare and life expectancy due to better health facilities, many resources, and correct economic policies. However, foreign direct investment, inflation rate, lending interest rate, and population growth have significant positive effects on age dependency, indicating these factors increase the age dependency. Moreover, GDP growth and GDP per capita negatively impact age dependency. Similarly, all the national income accounting factors have a significant negative relationship with legal rights that leads to decreased legal rights. Moreover, due to better health facilities and health planning, there is a negative significant relationship between national income accounting attributes and motility rate among children. Our study advocated the implications for the policymakers and the government to make policies for the welfare and increase the social factors.

Associations of social determinants of health with life expectancy and future health risks among individuals with type 2 diabetes: two nationwide cohort studies in the UK and USA.

BACKGROUND: Social determinants of health (SDHs) are the primary drivers of preventable health inequities, and the associations between SDHs and health outcomes among individuals with type 2 diabetes remain unclear. This study aimed to estimate the associations of combined SDHs with life expectancy and future health risks among adults with type 2 diabetes from the UK and USA. METHODS: In an analysis of two nationwide cohort studies, adults with type 2 diabetes were identified from the UK Biobank from March 13, 2006, to Oct 1, 2010 (adults aged 37-73 years) and the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2018 (adults aged ≥20 years). Participants with type 2 diabetes at baseline were included in our analysis. Participants without information on SDHs or follow-up were excluded. The UK Biobank assessed 17 SDHs and the US NHANES assessed ten SDHs, with each SDH dichotomised into advantaged and disadvantaged levels. The combined score of SDHs were calculated as the sum of the weighted scores for each SDH. Participants were then categorised into tertiles (favourable, medium, and unfavourable SDH groups). Primary outcomes were life expectancy and mortality in both cohorts, and incidences of cardiovascular disease, diabetes-related microvascular disease, dementia, and cancer in the UK Biobank. Outcomes were obtained from disease registries up until Dec 31, 2021, in the UK Biobank and Dec 31, 2019, in the US NHANES cohorts. FINDINGS: We included 17 321 participants from the UK Biobank cohort (median age 61·0 years [IQR 56·0-65·0]; 6028 [34·8%] women and 11 293 [65·2%] men) and 7885 participants from the NHANES cohort (mean age 59·2 years [95% CI 58·7-59·6]; 3835 [49·1%, weighted] women and 4050 [50·9%, weighted] men) in our analysis. In the UK Biobank, 3235 deaths (median follow-up 12·3 years [IQR 11·5-13·2]), 3010 incident cardiovascular disease (12·1 years [10·8-13·0]), 1997 diabetes-related microvascular disease (8·0 years [7·1-8·9]), 773 dementia (12·6 years [11·8-13·5]), and 2259 cancer cases (11·3 years [10·4-12·2]) were documented; and the US NHANES documented 2278 deaths during a median follow-up of 7·0 years (3·7-11·2). After multivariable adjustment, compared with the favourable SDH group, the hazard ratio was 1·33 (95% CI 1·21-1·46) in the medium SDH group and 1·89 (1·72-2·07) in the unfavourable SDH group in the UK Biobank cohort; 1·51 (1·34-1·70) in the medium SDH group and 2·02 (1·75-2·33) in the unfavourable SDH group in the US NHANES cohort for all-cause mortality; 1·13 (1·04-1·24) in the medium SDH group and 1·40 (1·27-1·53) in the unfavourable SDH group for incident cardiovascular disease; 1·13 (1·01-1·27) in the medium SDH group and 1·41 (1·26-1·59) in the unfavourable SDH group for incident diabetes-related microvascular disease; 1·35 (1·11-1·64) in the medium SDH group and 1·76 (1·46-2·13) in the unfavourable SDH group for incident dementia; and 1·02 (0·92-1·13) in the medium SDH group and 1·17 (1·05-1·30) in the unfavourable SDH group for incident cancer in the UK Biobank cohort (ptrend<0·010 for each category). At the age of 45 years, the mean life expectancy of participants was 1·6 years (0·6-2·3) shorter in the medium SDH group and 4·4 years (3·3-5·4) shorter in the unfavourable SDH group than in the favourable SDH group in the UK Biobank. In the US NHAHES cohort, the life expectancy was 1·7 years (0·6-2·7) shorter in the medium SDH group and 3·0 years (1·8-4·3) shorter in the unfavourable SDH group, compared with the favourable group. INTERPRETATION: Combined unfavourable SDHs were associated with a greater loss of life expectancy and higher risks of developing future adverse health outcomes among adults with type 2 diabetes. These associations were similar across two nationwide cohorts from varied social contexts, and were largely consistent across populations with different demographic, lifestyle, and clinical features. Thus, assessing the combined SDHs of individuals with type 2 diabetes might be a promising approach to incorporate into diabetes care to identify socially vulnerable groups and reduce disease burden. FUNDING: The National Natural Science Foundation of China, the National Key R&D Program of China, and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.

Inequalities in lifespan and mortality risk in the US, 2015-2019: a cross-sectional analysis of subpopulations by social determinants of health.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify inequalities in lifespan across multiple social determinants of health, how they act in tandem with one another, and to create a scoring system that can accurately identify subgroups of the population at high risk of mortality. DESIGN: Comparison of life tables across 54 subpopulations defined by combinations of four social determinants of health: sex, marital status, education and race, using data from the Multiple Cause of Death dataset and the American Community Survey. SETTING: United States, 2015-2019. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We compared the partial life expectancies (PLEs) between age 30 and 90 years of all subpopulations. We also developed a scoring system to identify subgroups at high risk of mortality. RESULTS: There is an 18.0-year difference between the subpopulations with the lowest and highest PLE. Differences in PLE between subpopulations are not significant in most pairwise comparisons. We visually illustrate how the PLE changes across social determinants of health. There is a complex interaction among social determinants of health, with no single determinant fully explaining the observed variation in lifespan. The proposed scoring system adds clarification to this interaction by yielding a single score that can be used to identify subgroups that might be at high risk of mortality. A similar scoring system by cause of death was also created to identify which subgroups could be considered at high risk of mortality from specific causes. Even if subgroups have similar mortality levels, they are often subject to different cause-specific mortality risks. CONCLUSIONS: Having one characteristic associated with higher mortality is often not sufficient to be considered at high risk of mortality, but the risk increases with the number of such characteristics. Reducing inequalities is vital for societies, and better identifying individuals and subgroups at high risk of mortality is necessary for public health policy.

Life expectancy and geographic variation in mortality: an observational comparison study of six high-income Anglophone countries.

OBJECTIVE: To compare life expectancy levels and within-country geographic variation in life expectancy across six high-income Anglophone countries between 1990 and 2018. DESIGN: Demographic analysis using aggregated mortality data. SETTING: Six high-income Anglophone countries (USA, UK, Canada, Australia, Ireland and New Zealand), by sex, including an analysis of subnational geographic inequality in mortality within each country. POPULATION: Data come from the Human Mortality Database, the WHO Mortality Database and the vital statistics agencies of six high-income Anglophone countries. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Life expectancy at birth and age 65; age and cause of death contributions to life expectancy differences between countries; index of dissimilarity for within-country geographic variation in mortality. RESULTS: Among six high-income Anglophone countries, Australia is the clear best performer in life expectancy at birth, leading its peer countries by 1.26-3.95 years for women and by 0.97-4.88 years for men in 2018. While Australians experience lower mortality across the age range, most of their life expectancy advantage accrues between ages 45 and 84. Australia performs particularly well in terms of mortality from external causes (including drug- and alcohol-related deaths), screenable/treatable cancers, cardiovascular disease and influenza/pneumonia and other respiratory diseases compared with other countries. Considering life expectancy differences across geographic regions within each country, Australia tends to experience the lowest levels of inequality, while Ireland, New Zealand and the USA tend to experience the highest levels. CONCLUSIONS: Australia has achieved the highest life expectancy among Anglophone countries and tends to rank well in international comparisons of life expectancy overall. It serves as a potential model for lower-performing countries to follow to reduce premature mortality and inequalities in life expectancy.

[Life expectancy for the regions of the Northwestern Federal District. Part 2: Dynamics of old age threshold.]

The paper continues the study of the population ageing in the regions of the Northwestern Federal District. It characterized population ageing based on prospective ageing indicators that take into account remaining life expectancy. The dynamics of life expectancy (LE) at birth was analyzed. A computation and comparative analysis of the old age threshold for the regions that are part of the Northwestern Federal District have been carried out. A comparative analysis of ageing indicators - traditional and prospective (the proportion of the elderly and the share of the population above the old age threshold) was carried out. It has been found that there are no fundamental differences in the dynamics of life expectancy in older ages, as well as in the of old age threshold, between the regions considered. It is shown that for the male population in almost all regions in 2021, the value of the old age threshold is below 60 years, while for the female population the opposite inequality is observed. Thus, in 2021, the share of men over the old age threshold exceeds the proportion of the elderly in almost all regions considered, and for the female population, the share of the elderly is expected to be higher than the values of the prospective indicator.

[Demographic and professional risks of depopulation among working population in Russia: 14 years later (analytical review).]

The article presents a comparative analysis of the process of population aging in the context of demographic and professional risks of depopulation among working population in Russia. The values of the main medical and demographic indicators of population aging for Russia and developed countries were given. The results of UN forecasts, probabilistic forecasts of the total number and some characteristics of the age-sex structure for the population of the Russian Federation were analyzed. The state of demographic disadvantage in Russia and in the world was convincingly shown. Particular attention was paid to the consideration of the demographic risks of a reduction in the working-age population and an increase in the burden on the working-age population. The need for further research on the use of geroprotectors and modern gerontotechnologies as means and methods for preventing premature decline in work ability, slowing down the aging process of workers, reducing the mortality rate among working population and increasing professional longevity has been proven.

Total life expectancy and disability-free life expectancy and differences attributable to cigarettes' smoking among Chinese middle-aged and older adults.

OBJECTIVES: Middle-aged and older adults smoking for years are afflicted by smoking-related diseases and functional limitations; however, little is known about the effect of smoking on nonfatal conditions in middle and later life. This study aims to investigate the impact of smoking on both total life expectancy (TLE) and disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) and the variations in such effects by educational level in China. METHODS: Data were drawn from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), 2011-2018, with a total sample of 16,859 individuals aged 45 years or older involved in the final analysis. The Activities of Daily Living (ADL) scale was used to measure disability, and the population-based multistate life table method was used to estimate the differences in TLE and DFLE by smoking status and educational attainment. RESULTS: At baseline, 28.9% of participants were current smokers, 8.5% were former smokers, and 62.6% never smoked. Approximately 5.6% were identified with ADL disability. Both current smokers and former smokers experienced lower TLE and DFLE than never smokers, and such differences were particularly prominent among men. Intriguingly, former smokers manifested a lower DFLE for both sexes and a lower TLE among women, though a longer TLE among men, compared with current smokers. Similar differences in TLE and DFLE by smoking status were observed for groups with different levels of education. CONCLUSION: Never smokers live longer and healthier than current smokers and persons who quit smoking. Smoking was associated with greater reductions in TLE and DFLE among men. However, educational attainment might not moderate the adverse effect of smoking on both fatal and nonfatal conditions in the context of China. These findings have implications for disability prevention, aged care provision and informing policies of healthy aging for China and elsewhere.

Increased homicide played a key role in driving Black-White disparities in life expectancy among men during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Disparities in life expectancy between Black and White Americans increased substantially during the COVID-19 pandemic. During the same period, the US experienced the largest increase in homicide on record. Yet, little research has examined the contribution of homicide to Black-White disparities in longevity in recent years. Using mortality data and population estimates, we conduct a comprehensive decomposition of the drivers of Black-White inequality in life expectancy and lifespan variability between 2019 and 2021 among men. We find that homicide is one of the principal reasons why lifespans have become shorter for Black men than White men in recent years. In 2020 and 2021, homicide was the leading contributor to inequality in both life expectancy and lifespan variability between Black and White men, accounting for far more of the racial gap in longevity and variability than deaths from COVID-19. Addressing homicides should be at the forefront of any public health discussion aimed at promoting racial health equity.

The relationship between physical and psychosocial workplace exposures and life expectancy free of musculoskeletal and cardiovascular disease in working life - an analysis based on German health insurance data.

BACKGROUND: Against the backdrop of the debate on extending working life, it is important to identify vulnerable occupational groups by analysing inequalities in healthy life years. The aim of the study is to analyse partial life expectancy (age 30-65) [1] free of musculoskeletal diseases (MSD) and [2] free of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in occupational groups with different levels of physical and psychosocial exposures. METHODS: The study is based on German health insurance claims data from 2015 to 2018. The study population comprises all employed insured persons aged 18 to 65 years (N = 1,528,523). Occupational exposures were assessed using a Job Exposure Matrix. Life years free of MSD / CVD and life years with MSD /CVD during working age were estimated using multistate life tables. RESULTS: We found inequalities in MSD-free and CVD-free life years, with less disease-free years among men and women having jobs with high levels of physical and psychosocial exposures. Men with low physical exposures had 2.4 more MSD-free and 0.7 more CVD-free years than men with high physical exposures. Women with low psychosocial exposures had 1.7 MSD-free and 1.0 CVD-free years more than women with high psychosocial exposures. CONCLUSIONS: Employees in occupations with high physical and psychosocial demands constitute vulnerable groups for reduced life expectancy free of MSD and CVD. Given the inequalities and high numbers of disease-affected life years during working age, the prevention potential of occupational health care and workplace health promotion should be used more extensively.

Willingness to trade-off years of life for an HIV cure - an experimental exploration of affective forecasting.

BACKGROUND: In the US, 1.2 million people live with HIV (PWH). Despite having near-normal life expectancies due to antiretroviral therapy (ART), many PWH seek an HIV cure, even if it means risking their lives. This willingness to take risks for a cure raises questions about "affective forecasting biases," where people tend to overestimate the positive impact of future events on their well-being. We conducted a study to test two interventions to mitigate affective forecasting in the decisions of PWH about taking HIV cure medication. METHODS: We recruited PWH to complete a 30-minute survey about their current quality of life (QoL) and the QoL they anticipate after being cured of HIV, and assigned them to either no additional intervention, to one of two interventions intended to reduce affective forecasting bias, or to both interventions: (1) a defocusing intervention designed to broaden the number of life domains people consider when imagining life changes associated with new circumstances (e.g. HIV cure); and (2) an adaptation intervention to help them gauge fading of strong emotions over time. The study design included a 2 × 2 design: defocusing (yes/no) x adaptation (yes/no) intervention. We assessed PWH's willingness to take hypothetical HIV sterilizing cure medication using the Time Trade-Off (TTO) and their quality of life predictions with WHOQOL-HIV. RESULTS: 296 PWH participated. Counter to what we had hypothesized, neither intervention significantly reduced PWH's willingness to trade time for a cure. Instead, the defocusing intervention increased their willingness to trade time (IRR 1.77, p = 0.03). Exploratory analysis revealed that PWH with lower current quality of life who received the defocusing intervention were more willing to trade time for a cure. CONCLUSION: These negative findings suggest that either these biases are difficult to overcome in the settings of HIV curative medication or other factors beyond affective forecasting biases influence willingness to participate in HIV curative studies, such as respondents' current quality of life.

What is the relationship between changes in the size of economies and mortality derived population health measures in high income countries: A causal systematic review.

CONTEXT: The economy has been long recognised as an important determinant of population health and a healthy population is considered important for economic prosperity. AIM: To systematically review the evidence for a causal bidirectional relationship between aggregate economic activity (AEA) at national level for High Income Countries, and 1) population health (using mortality and life expectancy rates as indicators) and 2) inequalities in population health. METHODS: We undertook a systematic review of quantitative studies considering the relationship between AEA (GDP, GNI, GNP or recession) and population health (mortality or life expectancy) and inequalities for High Income Countries. We searched eight databases and grey literature. Study quality was assessed using an adapted version of the Effective Public Health Practice Project's Quality Assessment tool. We used Gordis' adaptation of the Bradford-Hill framework to assess causality. The studies were synthesised using Cochrane recommended alternative methods to meta-analysis and reported following the Synthesis without Meta-analysis (SWiM) guidelines. We assessed the certainty of the evidence base in line with GRADE principles. FINDINGS: Of 21,099 records screened, 51 articles were included in our analysis. There was no evidence for a consistent causal relationship (either beneficial or harmful) of changes in AEA leading to changes in population health (as indicated by mortality or life expectancy). There was evidence suggesting that better population health is causally related to greater AEA, but with low certainty. There was insufficient evidence to consider the causal impact of AEA on health inequalities or vice versa. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in AEA in High Income Countries did not have a consistently beneficial or harmful causal relationship with health, suggesting that impacts observed may be contextually contingent. We tentatively suggest that improving population health might be important for economic prosperity. Whether or not AEA and health inequalities are causally linked is yet to be established.