A preoperative index of mortality for patients undergoing surgery of type A aortic dissection.
J Cardiovasc Surg (Torino)
; 42(4): 517-24, 2001 Aug.
Article
in En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-11455290
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
The aim of this study was to identify and stratify the most important preoperative factors for in-hospital death after surgery for type A aortic dissection.METHODS:
From January 1985 to June 1998, 108 patients underwent surgery for type A aortic dissection. 89.9% of the patients had an acute type A dissection (AD), whereas 11.1% had a chronic dissection (CD). Cardiac tamponade and shock occurred in 22% and 14.8% of the patients, respectively. The location of the primary intimal tear was in the ascending aorta in 71.2% of the cases, in the arch in 16.6% and in the descending aorta in 7.4%. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify non-embolic variables independently correlated to in-hospital death. A predictive model of in-hospital mortality was then constructed by means of a mathematical method with the variables selected from logistic regression analysis.RESULTS:
The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 20.3% (22/108 patients), being 9% for CD and 21.6% for AD. Emergent procedures had an in-hospital mortality rate of 47.6%, whereas non-emergent operations had an in-hospital mortality rate of 13.7% (p<0.01). Univariate analysis revealed among 39 preoperative and operative variables, age (years), age >70 years, remote myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular dysfunction, diabetes, preoperative renal failure, shock, cardiopulmonary bypass time (minutes), emergency operation as factors associated to in-hospital death (p<0.05). Stepwise logistic regression analysis selected as independent predicting variables (p<0.05), remote myocardial infarction (p=0.006), preoperative renal failure (p=0.032), shock (p=0.001), age >70 years (p=0.007). Finally, a probability table of death risk was obtained with the logistic regression coefficients. The lower death probability (10.6%) was calculated in absence of risk variables; the higher one in presence of all of them (79.7%). Between these extremes, a total of 64 combinations of death risk were obtained.CONCLUSIONS:
Increasing age, shock, coronary artery disease and renal failure are variously associated to a high risk of in-hospital death after surgical correction of type A aortic dissection. This predictive model of death probability allows to collocate preoperatively patients with type A aortic dissection at different levels of risk for in-hospital death.
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Collection:
01-internacional
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Hospital Mortality
/
Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic
/
Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal
/
Aortic Dissection
/
Models, Theoretical
Type of study:
Diagnostic_studies
/
Etiology_studies
/
Prognostic_studies
Limits:
Adult
/
Aged
/
Aged80
/
Female
/
Humans
/
Male
/
Middle aged
Language:
En
Journal:
J Cardiovasc Surg (Torino)
Year:
2001
Document type:
Article
Affiliation country: