High PIVKA-II level and ASAP score predict 1-year risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in non-cirrhotic chronic hepatitis B patients.

ABSTRACT

Protein induced by Vitamin K absence or antagonists-II (PIVKA-II) is a diagnostic marker of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to investigate the predictive role of PIVKA-II and ASAP score for development of HCC in 1 year among untreated patients of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We conducted this case-control study to include untreated CHB patients followed at the National Taiwan University Hospital and grouped into HCC and matched non-HCC groups. Their archived serum samples were assayed for PIVKA-II levels 1 year before HCC, at HCC or their last serum sample. A total of 69 HCC cases and 102 non-HCC controls were recruited. Baseline PIVKA-II level was significantly higher in the HCC group than in the control group and it could predict HCC development in 1 year with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.76. Multivariable analysis adjusting age, sex, liver function and alpha-fetoprotein level showed that baseline PIVKA-II ≥31 mAU/mL (vs. <31 mAU/mL) increased 12.5-fold risk (95% CI 4.9-31.7) of HCC in 1 year, and even in patients with normal alpha-fetoprotein levels. The ASAP score, a combination of age, sex, alpha-fetoprotein and PIVKA-II, increases the predictability for HCC in 1 year. We concluded that both high PIVKA-II level and ASAP score may predict HCC development in 1 year in untreated CHB patients, especially in patients with normal alpha-fetoprotein level.