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Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein.
Asseng, Senthold; Martre, Pierre; Maiorano, Andrea; Rötter, Reimund P; O'Leary, Garry J; Fitzgerald, Glenn J; Girousse, Christine; Motzo, Rosella; Giunta, Francesco; Babar, M Ali; Reynolds, Matthew P; Kheir, Ahmed M S; Thorburn, Peter J; Waha, Katharina; Ruane, Alex C; Aggarwal, Pramod K; Ahmed, Mukhtar; Balkovic, Juraj; Basso, Bruno; Biernath, Christian; Bindi, Marco; Cammarano, Davide; Challinor, Andrew J; De Sanctis, Giacomo; Dumont, Benjamin; Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan; Fereres, Elias; Ferrise, Roberto; Garcia-Vila, Margarita; Gayler, Sebastian; Gao, Yujing; Horan, Heidi; Hoogenboom, Gerrit; Izaurralde, R César; Jabloun, Mohamed; Jones, Curtis D; Kassie, Belay T; Kersebaum, Kurt-Christian; Klein, Christian; Koehler, Ann-Kristin; Liu, Bing; Minoli, Sara; Montesino San Martin, Manuel; Müller, Christoph; Naresh Kumar, Soora; Nendel, Claas; Olesen, Jørgen Eivind; Palosuo, Taru; Porter, John R; Priesack, Eckart.
Affiliation
  • Asseng S; Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.
  • Martre P; LEPSE, Université Montpellier INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, Montpellier, France.
  • Maiorano A; LEPSE, Université Montpellier INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, Montpellier, France.
  • Rötter RP; Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling (TROPAGS), University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.
  • O'Leary GJ; Centre of Biodiversity and Sustainable Land Use (CBL), University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.
  • Fitzgerald GJ; Department of Economic Development Jobs, Transport and Resources, Grains Innovation Park, Agriculture Victoria Research, Horsham, Victoria, Australia.
  • Girousse C; Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Agriculture Victoria Research, Horsham, Victoria, Australia.
  • Motzo R; Faculty of Veterinary and Agricultural Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Creswick, Victoria, Australia.
  • Giunta F; UMR GDEC, INRA, Université Clermont Auvergne, Clermont-Ferrand, France.
  • Babar MA; Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Sassari, Sassari, Italy.
  • Reynolds MP; Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Sassari, Sassari, Italy.
  • Kheir AMS; World Food Crops Breeding, Department of Agronomy, IFAS, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.
  • Thorburn PJ; CIMMYT Int, Mexico D.F, Mexico.
  • Waha K; Soils, Water and Environment Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, Giza, Egypt.
  • Ruane AC; CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
  • Aggarwal PK; CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
  • Ahmed M; NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York.
  • Balkovic J; CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, BISA-CIMMYT, New Delhi, India.
  • Basso B; Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington.
  • Biernath C; Department of Agronomy, Pir Mehr Ali Shah Arid Agriculture University, Rawalpindi, Pakistan.
  • Bindi M; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Laxenburg, Austria.
  • Cammarano D; Department of Soil Science, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Comenius University in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia.
  • Challinor AJ; Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan.
  • De Sanctis G; W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan.
  • Dumont B; Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany.
  • Eyshi Rezaei E; Department of Agri-food Production and Environmental Sciences (DISPAA), University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
  • Fereres E; James Hutton Institute, Dundee, Scotland, UK.
  • Ferrise R; Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
  • Garcia-Vila M; Collaborative Research Program from CGIAR and Future Earth on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), International Centre for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Cali, Colombia.
  • Gayler S; GMO Unit, European Food Safety Authority, Parma, Italy.
  • Gao Y; Department Terra & AgroBioChem, Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech, University of Liege, Gembloux, Belgium.
  • Horan H; Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation INRES, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
  • Hoogenboom G; Department of Crop Sciences, University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.
  • Izaurralde RC; IAS-CSIC, University of Cordoba, Cordoba, Spain.
  • Jabloun M; Department of Agri-food Production and Environmental Sciences (DISPAA), University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
  • Jones CD; IAS-CSIC, University of Cordoba, Cordoba, Spain.
  • Kassie BT; Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany.
  • Kersebaum KC; Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.
  • Klein C; CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
  • Koehler AK; Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.
  • Liu B; Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.
  • Minoli S; Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland.
  • Montesino San Martin M; Texas A&M AgriLife Research and Extension Center, Texas A&M University, Temple, Texas.
  • Müller C; Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, Tjele, Denmark.
  • Naresh Kumar S; Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland.
  • Nendel C; Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.
  • Olesen JE; Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, Müncheberg, Germany.
  • Palosuo T; Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany.
  • Porter JR; Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
  • Priesack E; Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.
Glob Chang Biol ; 25(1): 155-173, 2019 01.
Article in En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30549200
ABSTRACT
Wheat grain protein concentration is an important determinant of wheat quality for human nutrition that is often overlooked in efforts to improve crop production. We tested and applied a 32-multi-model ensemble to simulate global wheat yield and quality in a changing climate. Potential benefits of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration by 2050 on global wheat grain and protein yield are likely to be negated by impacts from rising temperature and changes in rainfall, but with considerable disparities between regions. Grain and protein yields are expected to be lower and more variable in most low-rainfall regions, with nitrogen availability limiting growth stimulus from elevated CO2 . Introducing genotypes adapted to warmer temperatures (and also considering changes in CO2 and rainfall) could boost global wheat yield by 7% and protein yield by 2%, but grain protein concentration would be reduced by -1.1 percentage points, representing a relative change of -8.6%. Climate change adaptations that benefit grain yield are not always positive for grain quality, putting additional pressure on global wheat production.
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Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Triticum / Climate Change / Adaptation, Physiological / Grain Proteins Type of study: Prognostic_studies Language: En Journal: Glob Chang Biol Year: 2019 Document type: Article
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Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Triticum / Climate Change / Adaptation, Physiological / Grain Proteins Type of study: Prognostic_studies Language: En Journal: Glob Chang Biol Year: 2019 Document type: Article