A newly noninvasive model for prediction of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: utility of serum prolactin levels.
BMC Gastroenterol
; 19(1): 202, 2019 11 27.
Article
in En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-31775658
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUNDS To investigate the value of prolactin (PRL) in diagnosing non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS:
Metabolic parameters and serum PRL levels were measured in 452 males and 421 females, who were randomized to the estimation or the validation group as a 11 ratio. Hepatic steatosis was diagnosed via abdominal ultrasound. Variables that significantly associated with NAFLD in univariate analysis were included in multiple logistic regression. We used the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves to test the model performance. Besides, 147 patients underwent metabolic and liver biopsy were analyzed to validate the diagnostic value of this model.RESULTS:
Body mass index, alanine aminotransferase, prolactin, high density lipoprotein cholesterol and HbA1c were included into models. In males, the area under ROC curve (AUC) was 0.86 (95%CI 0.82-0.91) for the validation group. With two cut-off points (- 0.79 and 1.71), the sensitivity and specificity for predicting NALFD was 95.2 and 91.1% in the validation group, respectively. In females, the AUC was 0.82 (95%CI 0.76-0.88) for the validation group. With two cut-off points (- 0.68 and 2.16), the sensitivity and specificity for predicting NALFD was 97.1 and 91.4% in the validation group, respectively. In subjects with liver pathology, the AUC was higher than that of fatty liver index. A positive correlation between the scores of the model and the severities of NAFLD was observed. Importantly, we demonstrated a potential value of this model in predicting nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.CONCLUSION:
We established a mathematic model that can conveniently and effectively diagnose the existence and severities of NAFLD.Key words
Full text:
1
Collection:
01-internacional
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Prolactin
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Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease
/
Models, Theoretical
Type of study:
Clinical_trials
/
Diagnostic_studies
/
Observational_studies
/
Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
Aspects:
Patient_preference
Limits:
Adult
/
Female
/
Humans
/
Male
/
Middle aged
Language:
En
Journal:
BMC Gastroenterol
Journal subject:
GASTROENTEROLOGIA
Year:
2019
Document type:
Article
Affiliation country:
China