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The incidence trends of oral cancers worldwide from 1988 to 2012 and the prediction up to 2030.
Lu, Dong-Ning; Zhang, Wan-Chen; Lin, Yan-Ze; Zhang, Yi-Ning; Shao, Cheng-Ying; Zheng, Chuan-Ming; Ge, Ming-Hua; Xu, Jia-Jie.
Affiliation
  • Lu DN; Otolaryngology & Head and Neck Center, Cancer Center, Department of Head and Neck Surgery, Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital, Affiliated People's Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College, Zhejiang, Hangzhou, China.
  • Zhang WC; Second Clinical Medical College, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
  • Lin YZ; Otolaryngology & Head and Neck Center, Cancer Center, Department of Head and Neck Surgery, Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital, Affiliated People's Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College, Zhejiang, Hangzhou, China.
  • Zhang YN; Second Clinical Medical College, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
  • Shao CY; Otolaryngology & Head and Neck Center, Cancer Center, Department of Head and Neck Surgery, Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital, Affiliated People's Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College, Zhejiang, Hangzhou, China.
  • Zheng CM; Second Clinical Medical College, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
  • Ge MH; Otolaryngology & Head and Neck Center, Cancer Center, Department of Head and Neck Surgery, Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital, Affiliated People's Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College, Zhejiang, Hangzhou, China.
  • Xu JJ; Second Clinical Medical College, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Head Neck ; 45(9): 2394-2412, 2023 09.
Article in En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37417818
ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND:

This paper aims to analyze the time trend of OCs incidence in 43 countries (1988-2012) and predict the incidence trend of OCs (2012-2030).

METHODS:

In the database for Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, the annual data on OCs incidence grouped by age and gender were obtained from 108 cancer registries in 43 countries. The age-standardized incidence rates were calculated, and the Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict the incidence in 2030.

RESULTS:

South Asia and Oceania had the highest ASR in 1988 (9.24/100 000) and 2012 (6.74/100 000). It was predicted that India, Thailand, the United Kingdom, the Czech Republic, Austria, and Japan would be the countries with an increased incidence of OCs in 2030.

CONCLUSION:

Regional custom is an important factor affecting the incidence of OCs. According to our predictions., it is necessary to control risk factors according to local conditions and enhance screening and education.
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Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Mouth Neoplasms Type of study: Etiology_studies / Incidence_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Limits: Humans Country/Region as subject: Asia Language: En Journal: Head Neck Journal subject: NEOPLASIAS Year: 2023 Document type: Article Affiliation country: China
Fulltext
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Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Mouth Neoplasms Type of study: Etiology_studies / Incidence_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Limits: Humans Country/Region as subject: Asia Language: En Journal: Head Neck Journal subject: NEOPLASIAS Year: 2023 Document type: Article Affiliation country: China