Increased Host Bone Marrow Edema on 6-Month Magnetic Resonance Imaging Is a Risk Factor for Osteochondral Allograft Failure.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To evaluate the presence of host bone marrow edema (BME) surrounding osteochondral allograft (OCA) plugs on routine 6-month postoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and to determine whether such BME is correlated with subsequent failure. METHODS: The present study was approved under our institutional review board-approved database (#2020-2123). We included patients who underwent cartilage repair with OCA for focal chondral and osteochondral defects of the distal femur by 2 senior surgeons between January 2016 and May 2021 with minimum 2-year follow-up. OCA is frequently performed with concomitant procedures, and therefore ligament reconstruction, meniscal surgery, and osteotomy were not exclusion criteria. Failure was defined as (1) poor clinical outcome with graft collapse on follow-up MRI or second-look arthroscopy, (2) primary OCA removal or revision, or (3) conversion to unicompartmental or total knee arthroplasty. Routine MRI scans were performed at 6 ± 2 months postoperatively. All postoperative MRI scans were reviewed from our imaging record by 2 blinded fellowship-trained orthopaedic surgeons. Patients were divided for analyses into 2 groups BME ≥10 cm3 versus BME <10 cm3. RESULTS: Of the 85 patients eligible for the study, 56 patients (30 female, mean age 31.69 ± 11.34 years) had a minimum 2-year follow-up. Nonfailure cases had a mean clinical follow-up of 3.13 ± 0.93 years. The mean time from surgery to failure in our cohort was 1.67 ± 0.91 years. There were 12 (21.4%) patients with BME ≥10 cm³ and 44 (78.6%) patients with BME <10 cm³. No statistically significant differences were found between groups when compared for sex, age, body mass index, OCA size, time to MRI, mean follow-up, number of plugs, graft location, diagnosis, previous surgeries, or concomitant procedures. All OCA failures of the study cohort were in the BME ≥10 cm³ group, representing 50% of this group (P < .001). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis with the log-rank test demonstrated significant difference in survival distributions between groups (P < .001). Patients who ultimately failed had a mean BME volume of 18.49 ± 5.82 cm3, while the nonfailure group had a mean volume of 4.66 ± 4.97 cm3 (P < .001). Cutoff values around 10 cm³ in receiver operating characteristic curve analysis demonstrated 100% sensitivity and close to 90% specificity for OCA failure diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Host BME with a volume greater than 10 cm³ on 6-month postoperative MRI is predictive of an increased subsequent failure rate after OCA transplantation with a failure rate of 50%. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Level III, cohort study.