Stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic HIV/AIDS model with nonlinear incidence rate.

ABSTRACT

This paper studies a stochastic HIV/AIDS model with nonlinear incidence rate. In the model, the infection rate coefficient and the natural death rates are affected by white noise, and infected people are affected by an intervention strategy. We derive the conditions of extinction and permanence for the stochastic HIV/AIDS model, that is, if $ R_0/ < 1, $ HIV/AIDS will die out with probability one and the distribution of the susceptible converges weakly to a boundary distribution; if $ R_0/ > 1 $, HIV/AIDS will be persistent almost surely and there exists a unique stationary distribution. The conclusions are verified by numerical simulation.