Depressive symptom as a risk factor for cirrhosis in patients with primary biliary cholangitis: Analysis based on Lasso-logistic regression and decision tree models.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Depressive symptoms are frequently observed in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). The role of depressive symptoms on cirrhosis has not been fully noticed in PBC. We aimed to establish a risk model for cirrhosis that took depressive symptoms into account. METHODS: Depressive symptoms were assessed by the 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAMD-17). HAMD-17 score was analyzed in relation to clinical parameters. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso)-logistic regression and decision tree models were used to explore the effect of depressive symptoms on cirrhosis. RESULTS: The rate of depressive symptom in patients with PBC (n = 162) was higher than in healthy controls (n = 180) (52.5% vs. 16.1%; p < .001). HAMD-17 score was negatively associated with C4 levels and positively associated with levels of alkaline phosphatase (ALP), γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), total bilirubin (TB), Immunoglobulin (Ig) G, and IgM (r = -0.162, 0.197, 0.355, 0.203, 0.182, 0.314, p < .05). In Lasso-logistic regression analysis, HAMD-17 score, human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DRB1*0301 allele, age, ALP levels, and IgM levels (odds ratio [OR] = 1.087, 7.353, 1.075, 1.009, 1.005; p < 0.05) were independent risk factors for cirrhosis. Elevated HAMD-17 score was also a discriminating factor for high risk of cirrhosis in patients with PBC in decision tree model. CONCLUSIONS: Depressive symptoms were associated with disease severity. Elevated HAMD-17 score was a risk factor for cirrhosis in patients with PBC.