Disease burden of esophageal cancer attributable to low fruit intake in China and globally from 1990 to 2019.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To understand the disease burden of esophageal cancer (EC) attributable to inadequate fruit intake in China and global from 1990 to 2019 stratified by age and sex. METHODS: Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD 2019) were pooled to calculate the number of deaths, standardized mortality rate, disability-adjusted life years (DALY) and DALY rate of EC attributed to low fruit intake in China and globally by age and sex from 1990 to 2019. The population attributable fractions (PAF) were applied to estimate the proportion of EC caused by low fruit intake. Joinpoint was used to estimate average annual percentage of change (AAPC) to reflect the time change trend of the EC burden attributable to inadequate fruit intake in China and globally. RESULTS: In the Chinese population in 2019, the attributable DALY of EC in males was 356,000 person-years, while it was 80,600 person-years in females. The attributable standardized mortality and DALY rates for different age groups in China increased with age, peaking in the group aged 70 years and above. From 1990 to 2019 in China, the number of deaths, standardized mortality rates, DALY and standardized DALY rates of EC attributable to inadequate fruit intake showed a decreasing trend (AAPCs -1.62%, -4.54%, -2.10% and -4.88%, respectively), with statistical significance (P<0.001). CONCLUSION: The overall burden of EC attributed to inadequate fruit intake in China has demonstrated a downward trend. However, due to the aging population, the disease burden in China remains higher than the global average. Hence, prevention and health education efforts should focus on the population with low fruit intake.