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Simulating the Impact of Sugar-Sweetened Beverage Warning Labels in Three Cities.
Lee, Bruce Y; Ferguson, Marie C; Hertenstein, Daniel L; Adam, Atif; Zenkov, Eli; Wang, Peggy I; Wong, Michelle S; Gittelsohn, Joel; Mui, Yeeli; Brown, Shawn T.
Affiliation
  • Lee BY; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland; Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland. Electronic address: brucelee@jhu.edu.
  • Ferguson MC; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland; Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
  • Hertenstein DL; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland; Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
  • Adam A; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland; Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
  • Zenkov E; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland; Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
  • Wang PI; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland; Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
  • Wong MS; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland; Department of Health Policy and Management, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
  • Gittelsohn J; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland; Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
  • Mui Y; Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
  • Brown ST; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland; Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Am J Prev Med ; 54(2): 197-204, 2018 02.
Article in En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29249555
ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION:

A number of locations have been considering sugar-sweetened beverage point-of-purchase warning label policies to help address rising adolescent overweight and obesity prevalence.

METHODS:

To explore the impact of such policies, in 2016 detailed agent-based models of Baltimore, Philadelphia, and San Francisco were developed, representing their populations, school locations, and food sources, using data from various sources collected between 2005 and 2014. The model simulated, over a 7-year period, the mean change in BMI and obesity prevalence in each of the cities from sugar-sweetened beverage warning label policies.

RESULTS:

Data analysis conducted between 2016 and 2017 found that implementing sugar-sweetened beverage warning labels at all sugar-sweetened beverage retailers lowered obesity prevalence among adolescents in all three cities. Point-of-purchase labels with 8% efficacy (i.e., labels reducing probability of sugar-sweetened beverage consumption by 8%) resulted in the following percentage changes in obesity prevalence Baltimore -1.69% (95% CI= -2.75%, -0.97%, p<0.001); San Francisco -4.08% (95% CI= -5.96%, -2.2%, p<0.001); Philadelphia -2.17% (95% CI= -3.07%, -1.42%, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS:

Agent-based simulations showed how warning labels may decrease overweight and obesity prevalence in a variety of circumstances with label efficacy and literacy rate identified as potential drivers. Implementing a warning label policy may lead to a reduction in obesity prevalence. Focusing on warning label design and store compliance, especially at supermarkets, may further increase the health impact.
Subject(s)

Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Product Labeling / Beverages / Overweight / Nutritive Sweeteners / Models, Biological Type of study: Etiology_studies / Prevalence_studies / Risk_factors_studies Limits: Adolescent / Child / Female / Humans / Male Country/Region as subject: America do norte Language: En Journal: Am J Prev Med Journal subject: SAUDE PUBLICA Year: 2018 Document type: Article

Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Product Labeling / Beverages / Overweight / Nutritive Sweeteners / Models, Biological Type of study: Etiology_studies / Prevalence_studies / Risk_factors_studies Limits: Adolescent / Child / Female / Humans / Male Country/Region as subject: America do norte Language: En Journal: Am J Prev Med Journal subject: SAUDE PUBLICA Year: 2018 Document type: Article