Trends in Mortality Rates for Gastrointestinal Cancers in Fars Province, Iran (2005-2015).

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: In Iran, cancers are the third leading cause of death, and gastrointestinal cancers are the primary cause of mortality among all the cancers. This study aimed to determine the trend of crude and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) for different types of gastrointestinal cancers over an 11-year period in Fars province (Iran). METHODS: In this study, all the mortality data for gastrointestinal cancers were derived from the Electronic Death Registration System (EDRS) between 2005 and 2015. Subsequently, we calculated the crude and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and their trends for different types of gastrointestinal cancers based on age groups and gender over the study period. RESULTS: A total of 6547 deaths from gastrointestinal cancers were identified, with an average age of 66.0 ± 16.4 years. The crude and age-standardized mortality rates for gastrointestinal cancers were respectively 10.9 and 15.0 per 100,000 population in 2005 which significantly increased to 17.4 and 19.4 per 100,000 population in 2015 (P < 0.001). The ASMR for colon, pancreatic, and oral cancers showed an increasing trend; for small intestine cancers, a decreasing trend; and for esophageal, gastric, rectal, and hepatobiliary cancers displayed an almost constant trend. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows a higher ASMR and an increasing trend of gastrointestinal cancers in Fars province. Prevention and early diagnosis programs with screening techniques should be implemented to control the mortality rate of gastrointestinal cancers in the future.