The Link Between Alcohol Sales and Alcohol-Related Harm in Finland, 1995-2016.
J Stud Alcohol Drugs
; 81(5): 641-646, 2020 09.
Article
in En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-33028477
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE:
A key assumption in Finnish alcohol policy is that the officially registered alcohol consumption (i.e., alcohol sales) is closely related to alcohol-related harm. During the last two decades, a sizable part of total alcohol consumption, however, comprises unrecorded consumption, which may potentially make alcohol sales less powerful as a predictor of alcohol-related harm. This article thus aims to estimate the relationship between alcohol sales and alcohol-related harm on the basis of more recent Finnish time-series data.METHOD:
Data on alcohol sales (liters of 100% alcohol/capita age 15 years and older) were obtained from the National Institute for Health and Welfare in Finland. As indicators of harm, we used police-reported assaults and three forms of mortality alcohol-specific mortality, accidents, and suicide. Quarterly data on mortality and alcohol sales spanned the period 1995-2016, and data on police-reported offenses covered the period 1990-2016. Data were analyzed by SARIMA (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) modeling.RESULTS:
A positive and significant association between alcohol sales and all harm indicators was found. A 1-L increase in alcohol sales per capita was associated with a 20% increase in alcohol-specific mortality, a 12% increase in assaults, and a 5%-6% increase in accidents and suicide. These estimates are in line with earlier findings estimated on data for the period when unrecorded alcohol consumption was less common in Finland.CONCLUSIONS:
The results provide support for a continued strong relationship between alcohol sales and alcohol-related harm in Finland. Policy measures aimed at lowering alcohol sales were supported from these results.
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Collection:
01-internacional
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Alcohol Drinking
/
Commerce
/
Alcoholic Beverages
Type of study:
Prognostic_studies
Limits:
Female
/
Humans
/
Male
Country/Region as subject:
Europa
Language:
En
Journal:
J Stud Alcohol Drugs
Journal subject:
TRANSTORNOS RELACIONADOS COM SUBSTANCIAS
Year:
2020
Document type:
Article
Affiliation country:
Sweden