Evaluation of perfusion CT and dual-energy CT for predicting microvascular invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Evaluation of perfusion CT and dual-energy CT (DECT) quantitative parameters for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prior to surgery. METHODS: This prospective single-center study included fifty-six patients (44 men; median age 67; range 31-84) who provided written informed consent. Inclusion criteria were (1) treatment-naïve patients with a diagnosis of HCC, (2) an indication for hepatic resection, and (3) available arterial DECT phase and perfusion CT (GE revolution HD-GSI). Iodine concentrations (IC), arterial density (AD), and 9 quantitative perfusion parameters for HCC were correlated to pathological results. Radiological parameters based principal component analysis (PCA), corroborated by unsupervised heatmap classification, was meant to deliver a model for predicting MVI in HCC. Survival analysis was performed using univariable log-rank test and multivariable Cox model, both censored at time of relapse. RESULTS: 58 HCC lesions were analyzed (median size 42.3 mm; range of 20-140). PCA showed that the radiological model was predictive of tumor grade (p = 0.01), intratumoral MVI (p = 0.004), peritumoral MVI (p = 0.04), MTM (macrotrabecular-massive) subtype (p = 0.02), and capsular invasion (p = 0.02) in HCC. Heatmap classification of HCC showed tumor heterogeneity, stratified into three main clusters according to the risk of relapse. Survival analysis confirmed that permeability surface-area product (PS) was the only significant independent parameter, among all quantitative tumoral CT parameters, for predicting a risk of relapse (Cox p value = 0.004). CONCLUSION: A perfusion CT and DECT-based quantitative imaging profile can provide a diagnosis of histological MVI in HCC. PS is an independent parameter for relapse. CLINICAL TRIALS: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03754192.