The influencing factors of carbon emissions in the railway transportation industry based on extended LMDI decomposition method: evidence from the BRIC countries.

ABSTRACT

In the twenty-first century, global warming and other environmental issues have become the focus of international attention. The total generation of carbon emissions for the railway transportation industry in the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, Indian and China) accounted for 25.73% of the global carbon emissions in this industry during 2017. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the influencing factors of carbon emission in the railway transportation industry for the BRIC, in order to better control and reduce carbon emissions and to achieve the global goal of "net-zero emission." The logarithmic mean divisia index (LMDI) decomposition method was used to examine the factors that influenced carbon emissions from the railway transportation industry in the BRIC from 1997 to 2017. According to the findings, the total carbon emissions of the railway transportation industry in BRIC were 60.92 million tons in 2017, increased by 98.62% compared to 1997. The factor of economic output effect has contributed positively to the increase in carbon emissions in all identified countries. However, the effect of population size effect, energy structure, and transportation intensity effect for carbon emission demonstrated heterogeneity in BRIC. In addition, policy suggestions are put forward for the reduction of carbon emissions from the railway transportation industry in BRIC.