Factors associated with the efficacy of mature oocyte production after dual-trigger controlled ovarian stimulation using a GnRH antagonist protocol.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The number of mature oocytes retrieved plays a significant role in determining embryo development and pregnancy outcomes of in vitro fertilization (IVF). However, studies investigating factors predictive of the efficacy of mature oocyte production (EMOP) after dual-trigger controlled ovarian stimulation (COS) are rare. This study aims to identify key predictors of EMOP during dual-trigger COS with a gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonist protocol for IVF. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 359 first-time IVF patients undergoing dual-trigger COS with a GnRH antagonist protocol. EMOP was defined as the ratio of metaphase II (MII) oocyte count to antral follicle count (AFC). Based on EMOP results, patients were divided into two groups group A (EMOP <70%; n = 232) and group B (EMOP ≥70%; n = 127). RESULTS: Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that day-2 follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH), stimulation duration, and total oocyte count were the most significant predictors of EMOP ( p < 0.05; odds ratios 1.637, 3.400, and 1.530, respectively). Receiver operating characteristic analysis demonstrated that total oocyte count <9.5 (area under the curve [AUC], 0.782; sensitivity, 76.2%; specificity, 69.2%; p < 0.001) and stimulation duration <9.5 days (AUC, 0.725; sensitivity, 63.5%; specificity, 66.7%; p < 0.001) significantly predicted EMOP <70%. Stimulation duration combined with total oocyte count exhibited the highest power in predicting EMOP <70% (AUC, 0.767; sensitivity, 92.3%; specificity, 42.4%). CONCLUSION: Stimulation duration combined with total oocyte count was identified as the most important factor associated with the EMOP during dual-trigger COS in IVF using a GnRH antagonist protocol.