Performance of GALAD score and serum biomarkers for detecting NAFLD-related HCC: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The incidence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing globally. We aimed to assess the performance of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), AFP-L3, des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP), and GALAD score in detecting NAFLD-related HCC. METHODS: We searched the relevant literature in PubMed, Embase and Cochrane. Conventional and network meta-analyses were performed for sensitivity, specificity, Youden index (YI), and the area under the summary receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Fifteen studies involving 2031 NAFLD participants were included in this meta-analysis. When detecting early-stage NAFLD-related HCC, GALAD score and DCP process excellent performance. The sensitivity and AUC of DCP (0.60, 0.74, respectively) were higher than AFP (0.34, 0.59, respectively). The network meta-analysis showed that DCP and GALAD score had similar performance. In detecting all-stage NAFLD-related HCC, GALAD score (sensitivity = 0.87; YI = 0.77) performed better than AFP (sensitivity = 0.56; YI = 0.50), AFP-L3 (sensitivity = 0.39; YI = 0.36) and DCP (sensitivity = 0.73; YI = 0.62). Network meta-analysis obtained consistent results with conventional meta-analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Due to the lower cost-effectiveness, DCP was more suitable for detecting early NAFLD-related HCC. AFP could be used in detecting all-stage NAFLD-related HCC.