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Superspreading in Early Transmissions of COVID-19 in Indonesia
Preprint
in English
| medRxiv
| ID: ppmedrxiv-20142133
Journal article
A scientific journal published article is available and is probably based on this preprint. It has been identified through a machine matching algorithm, human confirmation is still pending.
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A scientific journal published article is available and is probably based on this preprint. It has been identified through a machine matching algorithm, human confirmation is still pending.
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ABSTRACT
We estimate the basic reproduction number[R] 0 and the overdispersion parameter[K] at two regions in Indonesia Jakarta-Depok and Batam. Based on the first 1288 confirmed cases in both regions, we find a high degree of individual-level variation in the transmission. The basic reproduction number[R] 0 is estimated at 6.79 and 2.47, while the overdispersion parameter[K] of a negative-binomial distribution is estimated at 0.06 and 0.2 for Jakarta-Depok and Batam, respectively. This suggests that superspreading events played a key role in the early stage of the outbreak, i.e., a small number of infected individuals are responsible for large amounts of COVID-19 transmission.
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Full text:
Available
Collection:
Preprints
Database:
medRxiv
Language:
English
Year:
2020
Document type:
Preprint
