The GRACE risk score predicts no-reflow and MACE in patients with STEMI undergoing PCI / 西安交通大学学报(医学版)

ABSTRACT

【Objective】 Coronary no-reflow during percutaneous conranary intervention (PCI) often results in the failure of ischemic myocardial reperfusion and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The present study sought to evaluate whether the GRACE risk score can predict coronary no-reflow in STEMI patients undergoing PCI. 【Methods】 We consecutively recruited 1 118 patients with STEMI who were admitted to Gansu Provincial People’s Hospital and The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University from January 2009 to December 2011. Main demographic data, cardiovascular risk factors, blood lipid and other biochemical indicators were recorded. Coronary angiography was performed by a radial artery approach using the standard Judkins technique. Coronary no-reflow was evaluated by at least two independent experienced cardiologists. The GRACE risk score was calculated with a computer program. All the cases were followed up by medical records, face-to-face interviews or telephone calls. Finally, we analyzed the predictive value of the GRACE risk score for coronary non-reflow and MACE in STEMI patients undergoing PCI. 【Results】 During a median period of 36 months, 58 of the 1 118 patients (5.2%) were lost to follow-up. Of the remaining 1 060 patients, 118 (11.1%) had no-reflow and 147 (13.9%) had MACE. The GRACE score was higher in patients with no-reflow than those without no-reflow. Multivariate logistic regression established that the GRACE score was an independent predictor for coronary no-reflow (OR=1.034; P=0.002). And multivariate Cox analysis showed the GRACE score was an independent predictor of MACE. The area under the ROC curve for coronary no-reflow and MACE was 0.719 and 0.697, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the probability of rehospitalization for heart failure, reinfarction, all-cause death and cumulative cardiovascular events increased with the increase of the GRACE risk score. 【Conclusion】 The GRACE risk score is a readily available predictive scoring system for coronary no-reflow and MACE in STEMI patients.