Influencing factors of hemorrhagic transformation and outcome of acute ischemic stroke patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation / 国际脑血管病杂志

ABSTRACT

Objeetive To investigate the risk of hemorrhagic transformation (HT) and the outcome as well as its influencing factors at 3 months after thrombolytic therapy in acute ischemic stroke patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).Methods Consecutive acute ischemic stroke patients with NVAF were enrolled retrospectively.Their demography,vascular risk factors and other clinical data were collected.The modified Rankin Scale (mRS) was used to evaluate the outcome at 3 months after symptom onset.The mRS score ≤ 2 was defined as good outcome,and ＞ 2 was defined as poor outcome.Results A total of 119 acute ischemic stroke patients with NVAF were enrolled,including 63 males (52.9％) and 56 females (47.1％); their mean age was 72.1± 10.0; 45 (37.81％) were treated with recombinant tissue type plasminogen activator (rtPA),55 (46.2％) had a good outcome and 27 (22.7％) combined with HT.Compared with the poor outcome group,the mean age was younger in the good outcome group (P =0.028).The proportions of the patients with ischemic heart disease and the time from onset to treatment ＞ 4.5 h were lower (P ＜0.05).The baseline systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure,as well as the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score were lower (P ＜0.05),while the proportion of patients receiving intravenous thrombolysis with rtPA was higher (P =0.019).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the patients with ischemic heart disease (odds ratio [OR] 4.572,95％ confidence interval [CI] 1.392-15.014; P =0.012),systolic blood pressure before treatment (OR 1.028,95％ CI 1.007-1.049; P =0.009),baseline NIHSS score (OR 1.058,95％ CI 1.002-1.117; P =0.042) were the independent risk factors for poor outcome,while intravenous thrombolysis with rtPA (CI 0.264,95％ CI 0.102-0.683; P =0.006) was an independent protective factor for poor outcome.The proportions of the baseline systolic blood pressure,fasting blood glucose and NIHSS score,as well as the patients with a history of previous stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) in the HT group were significantly higher than those in the non-HT group (all P ＜ 0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the baseline NIHSS score (OR 1.147,95％ CI 1.068-1.231; P＜0.001),baseline systolic blood pressure (OR 1.951,95％ CI 1.921-1.982; P =0.002),and blood glucose level (OR 1.191,95％ CI 1.095-1.294; P ＜ 0.001) were the independent risk factors for HT.Compared with the non-thrombolysis group,the mean age of the thrombolysis group was younger (P =0.021),the baseline systolic blood pressure,fasting glucose and NIHSS scores,as well as the proportions of patients with hyperlipidemia,previous stroke or TIA history,and using antihypertensive drugs before admission were higher (all P ＜ 0.05).The proportion of patients with ischemic heart disease were lower (P =0.035),but the proportion of the patients with a good outcome was higher (P =0.019).Conclusions Patients with ischemic heart disease,systolic blood pressure and higher baseline NIHSS score before treatment were the independent risk factors for poor outcome,while intravenous thrombolytic therapy with rtPA was an independent protective factor for poor outcome; the high baseline NIHSS score,baseline systolic blood pressure and glucose level were the independent risk factors for HT.For acute ischemic stroke patients with NVAF,such as no obvious contraindications for thrombolytic therapy,might benefit from intravenous thrombolytic therapy,and it could not increase the risk of HT,but the blood pressure and glucose level of the patients should be controlled appropriately.