Disaster vulnerability analysis of Macao hospitals based on Kaiser model / 中华医院管理杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To analyze the disaster vulnerability of hospitals in Macao Special Administrative Region to assess the disaster risk objectively, so as to provide reference for Macao hospitals to formulate their emergency plans and improve their emergency response and handling capacity.Methods:From December 2021 to February 2022, 118 medical staff were selected for a questionnaire survey using the method of departmental stratified random sampling from three general hospitals in Macao. At the same time, 7 full-time medical staff and 2 experts in the field of health care were selected for expert consultation. The main content of the questionnaire was the hospital disaster risk assessment based on the Kaiser model, and three-round expert consultation method was used to determine the model indicators. The risk value of each indicator was calculated to analyze the hospital disaster vulnerability.Results:107 valid questionnaires were collected. The top five events in the hospital disaster risk value were typhoon(52.42%), large-scale public health events/epidemic outbreaks(47.55%), strong thunderstorm convective weather(38.68%), extreme temperature(37.31%) and information system failure(33.75%). As ranked by the total risk value, the categories of hospital disasters were natural disasters(35.69%), information security(29.49%), medical technology accidents(29.36%), equipment technology accidents(26.25%), dangerous goods injuries(25.13%) and personnel injuries(19.98%).Conclusions:Macao hospitals are exposed to the highest total risk value in natural disasters, followed by information security. In addition, the risk value of large-scale public health events and epidemic outbreaks of personal injury is also so high as to deserve attention. Macao hospitals should formulate effective emergency response plans according to the risk values of various disasters and the actual situation of each medical department, so as to minimize the losses caused by disasters to both hospitals and patients.