Prevalence trend of hand-foot-mouth disease in children and its correlation with meteorological factors in Kaizhou District, Chongqing in 2018 - 2021 / 公共卫生与预防医学

ABSTRACT

Objective To analyze the incidence trend of hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) and its correlation with meteorological factors in Children in Kaizhou District, Chongqing from 2018 to 2021, and to provide a theoretical basis for the diagnosis and treatment of HFMD in children. Methods The HFMD epidemic information was collected from 2018 to 2021 in Kaizhou District of Chongqing by using the China Disease Surveillance Information and Report Management System. The epidemiological characteristics of HFMD were descriptively analyzed, and the correlation between HFMD incidence and meteorological factors was analyzed by multiple regression. Results A total of 5 121 HFMD cases were reported in Kaizhou District of Chongqing from 2018 to 2021, with an average annual incidence of 143.30/100 000. The incidence of HFMD fluctuated from 120.87/100,000 to 159.78/100,000 from 2018 to 2021, showing a downward trend year by year. There were 2929 males and 2192 females with HFMD. The incidence of HFMD was the highest in early childhood (70.13/100 000), followed by pre-school age (43.06/100 000). There was significant difference in the incidence of HFMD among different age groups (χ2=53.497, P<0.05). The cases were mainly scattered children (3127 cases, 61.06%). The second was nursery children (1627 cases, 31.77%). In addition, there were 289 cases of students (5.64%). There were 1084 laboratory-confirmed cases in Kaizhou District of Chongqing from 2018 to 2021, including 269 (24.82%) children with EV71 infection, 178 (16.42%) children with Cox A16 infection, and 637 (58.76%) children with other enterovirus infections. There were significant differences in pathogen composition among different years (Z=32.75, P<0.05). From 2018 to 2021, the proportion of EV71 increased year by year, while COX16 and other enterovirus infections showed a downward trend year by year. Average daily temperature (OR=1.873) and average daily pressure (OR=-1.498) were independent risk factors for HFMD in Kaizhou District of Chongqing (P<0.05). Conclusion The reported incidence of HFMD in Kaizhou District of Chongqing shows a decreasing trend, and the incidence is closely related to temperature and atmospheric pressure. It is still necessary to strictly implement the prevention and control measures in key population in the season of high incidence. The main virus is EV71, which can be vaccinated with EV71 HFMD vaccine to reduce the occurrence of severe cases.