A search for optimal criteria in initiating antiretroviral therapy in chronic human immunodeficiency virus infection focusing on CD4 count and HIV RNA.

The study objective was to identify optimal starting criteria regarding levels of CD4 cells and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) RNA at initiation of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in chronically HIV-infected people. All 162 treatment-naive patients in the centre who were treated for at least 180 d with 2 nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors plus at least 1 protease inhibitor or 1 non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor were included. The patients were stratified according to their levels of CD4 cells and HIV RNA at initiation of therapy. Baseline CD4 groups were: group 1: CD4 < 0.1 x 10(9)/l; group 2: CD4 > or = 0.1 and < 0.2 x 10(9)/l; group 3: CD4 > or = 0.2 and < 0.35 x 10(9)/l; and group 4: CD4 > or = 0.35 x 10(9)/l. Two patients died and 38 developed an HIV-related disease (Centers for Disease Control category B or C) during the study. The prevalence of HIV-related disease before HAART was significantly increased in groups 1 and 2 compared with groups 3 and 4. The level of HIV RNA was not associated with HIV-related disease either before or after treatment initiation. Subjects in group 1 had an increased risk of HIV-related disease after treatment initiation both in univariate Cox analysis and after adjustment for HIV RNA, gender, mode of transmission and age, compared with group 2 [adjusted risk ratio with 95% confidence interval: 3.76 (1.48-9.61)], group 3 [5.90 (2.07-16.95)] and group 4 [5.05 (1.96-12.90)]. The association between CD4 count and morbidity appeared to be particularly strong for older subjects. In conclusion, this study suggests that in chronically HIV-infected individuals, in most cases HAART can be withheld until the CD4 cell count falls towards 0.2 x 10(9)/l.