A multivariate regression model predicted falls in residents living in intermediate hostel care.
J Clin Epidemiol
; 58(5): 503-8, 2005 May.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-15845337
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate whether individual falls risk could be predicted in a frail elderly population. STUDY DESIGN ANDSETTING:
We developed and tested an assessment tool and falls risk score for predicting falls based on a multivariate regression model in a prospective cohort study of intermediate care residents.RESULTS:
During the follow-up period, 1,736 falls by 1,107 subjects were recorded with an average of 170 falls per 100 person-years. Fifty percent of the study population had at least one fall within a year. Significant independent risk factors were poor balance, cognitive impairment, incontinence, higher illness severity rating, and older age. Twenty-two percent of participants with a falls risk score > or =7 accounted for 42% of the total falls, with a falls rate of 317 per 100 person-years. This rate was a sixfold increase from the falls rate of 52 per 100 person-years observed in participants with a score < 3. A high score (> or =7) indicated almost a 2 in 3 chance of falling, while a low score (<3) indicated approximately a 1 in 7 chance of falling within 6 months.CONCLUSION:
The assessment tool and falls risk score could identify individuals in this frail elderly population at high risk of falls.
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Colección:
01-internacional
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Accidentes por Caídas
/
Anciano Frágil
Tipo de estudio:
Evaluation_studies
/
Observational_studies
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Prognostic_studies
Límite:
Aged
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Aged80
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Female
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Humans
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Male
Idioma:
En
Revista:
J Clin Epidemiol
Asunto de la revista:
EPIDEMIOLOGIA
Año:
2005
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Australia