Disease activity assessment in IBD: clinical indices and biomarkers fail to predict endoscopic remission.

BACKGROUND: In the current management paradigm, mucosal healing is preferred over clinical remission as a therapeutic end point in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) because of the benefits engendered with respect to durability of remission. Colonoscopy, however, is not suitable for regular disease monitoring, and routine clinical assessment is often inaccurate with respect to endoscopic disease activity. The current investigation set out to characterize the relationship that exists between endoscopically determined IBD activity and clinical and biochemical measures of disease severity and to determine clinically useful thresholds for use in clinical practice. METHODS: Patients attending for colonoscopy with known or suspected IBD were recruited. Clinical disease activity was recorded as per the Harvey-Bradshaw Index for Crohn's disease or the simple clinical colitis activity index for ulcerative colitis. Endoscopic activity was recorded using the simple endoscopic score for Crohn's disease or the modified Baron score for ulcerative colitis. Receiver operating characteristic analysis determined the predictive value and optimal predictive thresholds for clinical and biomarker data. RESULTS: The Harvey-Bradshaw Index was not able to distinguish active from inactive Crohn's disease. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of simple clinical colitis activity index to detect endoscopic active disease were 43%, 96%, 94%, and 51%, respectively. Any elevation of C-reactive protein or fecal calprotectin was predictive of active mucosal disease, however, no lower threshold could be identified that predicted disease in remission. CONCLUSIONS: C-reactive protein and fecal calprotectin are useful for the identification of endoscopically active IBD, but normal results do not confirm endoscopic remission.