Early procalcitonin kinetics and appropriateness of empirical antimicrobial therapy in critically ill patients: A prospective observational study.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The purpose was to investigate the value of procalcitonin (PCT) kinetics in predicting the appropriateness of empirical antimicrobial treatment in critically ill patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This prospective observational study recruited patients in whom empirical antimicrobial therapy was started for suspected infection. Biochemical and physiological parameters were measured before initiating antimicrobials (t0), 8 hourly (t8, t16, t24), and then daily (day2-6). Patients were grouped post hoc into appropriate (A) and inappropriate (IA) groups. RESULTS: Of 209 patients, infection was confirmed in 67%. Procalcitonin kinetics were different between the IA (n = 33) and A groups (n = 108). In the IA group, PCT levels (median [interquartile range]) increased t0= 2.8 (1.2-7.4), t16= 8.6 (4.8-22.1), t24= 14.5 (4.9-36.1), P< .05. In the A group, PCT peaked at t16 and started to decrease by t24 t0= 4.2 (1.9-12.8), t16= 6.99 (3.4-29.1), t24= 5.2 (2.0-16.7), P< .05. Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed that a PCT elevation greater than or equal to 69% from t0 to t16 had an area under the curve for predicting inappropriate antimicrobial treatment of 0.73 (95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.83), P< .001; from t0 to t24, a greater than or equal to 74% increase had an area under the curve of 0.86 (0.77-0.94), P< .001. Hospital mortality was 37% in the A group and 61% in the IA group (P= .017). CONCLUSIONS: Early response of PCT in the first 24 hours of commencing empirical antimicrobials in critically ill patients may help the clinician to evaluate the appropriateness of therapy.