[Effects of future climate change on climatic suitability of flue-cured tobacco plantation in Yunnan, China.] / æªæ¥æ°ååå对äºåç¤çç§æ¤æ°åéå®æ§çå½±å.
Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao
; 27(4): 1241-1247, 2016 Apr 22.
Article
en Zh
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-29732781
ABSTRACT
The climatic suitability distribution of flue-cured tobacco planting in Yunnan will be profoundly affected by climate change. According to three key factors influencing climatic suitability of flue-cured tobacco planting in Yunnan, namely, average temperature in July, sunshine duration from July to August, precipitation from April to September, the variations of climatic suitability distribution of flue-cured tobacco planting in Yunnan respectively in 1986-2005, 2021-2040 and 2041-2060 under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate scenarios were investigated by using the climatic simulation data in 1981-2060 and the meteorological observation data during 1986-2005. The results showed that climatic suitability region would expand northward and eastward and plantable area of flue-cured tobacco would gradually increase. The increment of plantable area was more in 2041-2060 than in 2021-2040, and under RCP8.5 scenario than under RCP4.5 scenario. The optimum climatic area and sub-suitable climatic area were expanded considerably, while the suitable climatic area was not much changed. In the future, the north-central Yunnan such as Kunming, Qujing, Dali, Chuxiong, Lijiang would have a big increase in both the optimum climatic area and the cultivable area, meanwhile, the southern Yunnan including Wenshan, Honghe, Puer and Xishuangbanna would have a big decrease in both the optimum climatic area and the cultivable area.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Nicotiana
/
Cambio Climático
/
Agricultura
País/Región como asunto:
Asia
Idioma:
Zh
Revista:
Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao
Asunto de la revista:
SAUDE AMBIENTAL
Año:
2016
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
China