Estimating number of cases and spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using critical care admissions, United Kingdom, February to March 2020.
Euro Surveill
; 25(18)2020 05.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-32400358
ABSTRACT
An exponential growth model was fitted to critical care admissions from two surveillance databases to determine likely coronavirus disease (COVID-19) case numbers, critical care admissions and epidemic growth in the United Kingdom before the national lockdown. We estimate, on 23 March, a median of 114,000 (95% credible interval (CrI) 78,000-173,000) new cases and 258 (95% CrI 220-319) new critical care reports, with 527,000 (95% CrI 362,000-797,000) cumulative cases since 16 February.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Admisión del Paciente
/
Neumonía Viral
/
Infecciones por Coronavirus
/
Coronavirus
/
Notificación de Enfermedades
/
Cuidados Críticos
/
Síndrome Respiratorio Agudo Grave
Tipo de estudio:
Diagnostic_studies
/
Incidence_studies
/
Prognostic_studies
/
Screening_studies
Aspecto:
Patient_preference
Límite:
Female
/
Humans
/
Male
País/Región como asunto:
Europa
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Euro Surveill
Asunto de la revista:
DOENCAS TRANSMISSIVEIS
Año:
2020
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Reino Unido