Predicting early necrosis of colorectal liver metastases using volumetric enhancement on baseline MRI and oil deposition on post-cTACE unenhanced CT.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To predict tumor necrosis after conventional TACE (cTACE) in patients with colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) based on volumetric oil deposition on CT one day after treatment. METHODS: Thirty-four lesions in 20 men and 6 women were included in this IRB-approved HIPAA-compliant, retrospective lesion-by-lesion-based study. Semiautomatic volumetric segmentation of target lesions was performed on baseline MRI and post-treatment CT. Predicted percentage of tumor necrosis was defined as 100%-(%baseline MRI enhancement-%CT oil deposition). Necrosis on post-TACE MRI was measured after volumetric segmentation to assess the accuracy of predicting tumor necrosis. The relationship between predicted necrosis percent and post-cTACE measured necrosis percent on MRI was compared using Pearson correlation analysis. Inter-reader agreement was calculated by intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) after using the same method. RESULTS: Patients in this cohort had a mean age of 64 ± 14 years. Mean percentage of the viable tumor on pre-cTACE venous phase MRI was 58.5% ± 23.9%. Mean oil deposition was 19.8% ± 14.6%. Mean percentage of calculated necrosis one month after cTACE was 59.2% ± 22.7% on venous phase MRI, which had a significant correlation with predicted necrotic percentage of 61.3% ± 19.3% (r = 0.89, p < 0.0001). ICC for enhancement percentage on pre-cTACE and post-cTACE venous phase MRIs were 0.93 (95% CI 0.83, 0.97) and 0.86 (95% CI 0.66, 0.94), respectively. ICC for oil deposition was 0.92 (95% CI 0.81, 0.96). CONCLUSION: Measuring oil deposition of the whole tumor on CT one day after cTACE can assist to predict post-cTACE tumor necrosis.