Prognostic impact of the ratio of preoperative CA19-9 to liver enzyme levels in pancreatic cancer patients with jaundice (predictability of combined CA19-9/AST and CA19-9/γ-GGT for jaundiced PDAC patients).

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) has been reported as the most significant survival predictor of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, the elevation of CA19-9 could interfere with obstructive jaundice and the predictive value of CA19-9 in PDAC patients with jaundice remains to be analyzed and elucidated to find possible adjustments. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the predictability of preoperative CA19-9 and its adjustments for the overall survival (OS) of PDAC patients by analyzing the relationship between preoperative serum CA19-9 and total bilirubin (TBIL). METHODS: A total of 563 consecutive patients who underwent surgery for primary pancreatic adenocarcinoma in our center between January 2015 and September 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Clinicopathologic information was collected and preoperative parameters such as CA19-9, CEA, TBIL, γ-GGT, AST, ALT, and ALP were recorded as well as overall survival rates, which began from the date of operation to that of death or the last follow-up. Kaplan-Meier survival curves with log-rank test and Cox regression models were applied using SPSS and the survival and survminer packages in R software. RESULTS: Using 39/390/1000 as the cut-off values for preoperative serum CA19-9, significant capability of OS stratification was found in the total cohort (p < 0.001, MST = 29.7/19.1/15.2/12.1 months) and patients with TBIL <102.6 µmol/L (p < 0.001, MST = 32.2/19.6/15.0/11.2 months). However, in the subgroup of TBIL≥102.6 µmol/L, this classification method was replaced by the combined scoring of CA19-9/AST and CA19-9/γ-GGT. CONCLUSIONS: As an independent predictor of overall survival of PDAC patients, preoperative serum CA19-9 is defective in survival stratification when TBIL≥102.6 µmol/L but a positive survival prognosis could be achieved with the application of combined preoperative CA19-9/AST and CA19-9/γ-GGT.