Estimating the Lifetime and Age-Conditional Risk of an HIV Diagnosis in Iran, 2011-2015.
Iran J Public Health
; 50(5): 1048-1055, 2021 May.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-34183963
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
According to the importance of infectious diseases, especially HIV, the purpose of this study was to estimate lifetime and age-conditional risks of HIV diagnosis in Iran.METHODS:
We used vital statistics, HIV surveillance and census data for 2011-2015 to calculate Age-specific HIV diagnosis and non-HIV death rates. These rates then converted to the probability of an HIV diagnosis considering the competing risk. Finally, the probabilities were applied to a hypothetical cohort of 10 million live births. The lifetime and age-conditional risk of HIV diagnosis in the total and general population of Iran were calculated by Dev Can software (version 6.7.4).RESULTS:
Lifetime risk was 0.084% (95% CI 0.081-0.088) or one in 1183 for females and 0.21% (95% CI 0.201-0.211) or one in 483 for males in the total population. In the general population lifetime risk for men was 0.069% (95% CI 0.066-0.072) or 1 in 1454 men and 0.066% (95%CI 0.063-0.069) or one in 1523 for women. In the total and general population, the 10-yr age-conditional risk of HIV diagnosis showed that the highest risk of an HIV diagnosis is related to 30-yr -olds.CONCLUSION:
The estimated risks differed based on gender, age, and type of population. Paying close attention to these differences is critical for infection control planning and policies.
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Tipo de estudio:
Diagnostic_studies
/
Etiology_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Iran J Public Health
Año:
2021
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Irán