Drought Analysis Using Standardized Evapotranspiration and Aridity Index at Bilate Watershed: Sub-Basins of Ethiopian Rift Valley.

ABSTRACT

In Ethiopia, more prevalent drought happenings have been documented in the past century. The problem has gradually expanded from the north to the rest parts with deepened intensity. The study aimed to examine the magnitudes of spatiotemporal patterns of drought at the Bilate watershed from 1981 to 2016. Monthly rainfall and temperature data were used for the analysis. The Standardized Evapotranspiration Indexes (SPEI) at SPEI-03 and SPEI-12 timescales were applied to evaluate the drought patterns. Among different drought indices, the SPEI is the most valuable and preferred Index for drought studies. The SPEI method considers the role of temperature than other indices to compare drought in time and space. The Mann-Kendall test was used for trend analysis. Accordingly, the result revealed that 1988-2016 were years of continuous drought events in both timescales with (SPEI = -2.5 to -1.2) drought value. Drought severity and frequency were highly detected at Wulberag areas (SPEI -2.5). Durame, Angacha, and Alaba experienced increasing drought trends (Z = -1.96-1.6) and Welayita Sodo is Z = -0.07-0.03. Bilate-Tena and Hossana area of the watershed were less affected by drought than other areas. Spatially, the drought occurrences were observed in all areas of the watershed with varying magnitude. In the SPEI-12 timescale, more frequent drought occurrences were observed than SPEI-03. It was found that severe drought was observed in 1987, 1993/94, 2000-2005, and 2010. Moreover, the watershed experienced an Aridity Index (AI) of 0.43 (43%) and was subjected to potential high evapotranspiration (PET). The highest PET was observed at Bilate-Tena, Angacha, Hosanna, Wulberag, Alaba, Welayita Sodo, and Durame (151.6, 119.6, 119.3, 140.8, 142, 127.5, and 125.7 mm/year, respectively. Hence, the finding of this study could initiate a further inquiry on drought risk management, early warning responses, and local scale planning.