Accumulation of Immunity in Heavy-Tailed Sexual Contact Networks Shapes Mpox Outbreak Sizes.
J Infect Dis
; 229(1): 59-63, 2024 Jan 12.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-37402631
ABSTRACT
Many countries affected by the global outbreak of mpox in 2022 have observed a decline in cases. Our mathematical model accounting for heavy-tailed sexual partnership distributions suggests that mpox epidemics can hit the infection-derived herd immunity threshold and begin to decline, with <1% of sexually active men who have sex with men infected regardless of interventions or behavioral changes. We consistently found that many countries and US states experienced an epidemic peak, with cumulative cases of around 0.1% to 0.5% among men who have sex with men. The observed decline in cases may not necessarily be attributable to interventions or behavioral changes primarily.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Mpox
/
Minorías Sexuales y de Género
Límite:
Humans
/
Male
Idioma:
En
Revista:
J Infect Dis
Año:
2024
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Japón