Increasing Burden of Osteoarthritis in China: Trends and Projections from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.
Med Sci Monit
; 30: e942626, 2024 Mar 13.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-38525551
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND This study aimed to evaluate the epidemiology of osteoarthritis in China in a comprehensive and reliable way, to project its future epidemiological patterns, and to mitigate its health hazards. MATERIAL AND METHODS Data were extracted and analyzed from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. Trends in osteoarthritis epidemiology were explored using joinpoint regression analysis. Additionally, we analyzed dynamic trends using the sociodemographic index (SDI) of China. To assess and predict the epidemiology of osteoarthritis from 2020 to 2039, we used both the Bayesian age-period-cohort model and Nordpred model. RESULTS The number of prevalent cases, incident cases, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for osteoarthritis in China increased from 51.8, 4.6, and 1.8 million, respectively, in 1990, to 132.8, 10.7, and 4.7 million, respectively, in 2019, and the average annual percentage changes were 3.286, 2.938, and 3.324, respectively. The prevalence and YLDs peaked in the population aged over 90 years old, while the incidence peaked in the population aged around 50 years old. A significant positive correlation was found between osteoarthritis burden and SDI. Osteoarthritis burden is expected to continue to increase. In the population studied here, it was higher in women than in men, but this may invert by 2039. CONCLUSIONS The prevalence, incidence, and YLDs of osteoarthritis had significantly increased and may continue to increase during the next 2 decades. Prevention and treatment strategies should target women, middle-aged individuals, and the elderly.
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Osteoartritis
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Carga Global de Enfermedades
Límite:
Aged
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Aged80
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle aged
País/Región como asunto:
Asia
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Med Sci Monit
Asunto de la revista:
MEDICINA
Año:
2024
Tipo del documento:
Article
Pais de publicación:
EEUU
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ESTADOS UNIDOS
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ESTADOS UNIDOS DA AMERICA
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EUA
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UNITED STATES
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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
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US
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USA