Associations of Urine and Plasma Metabolites with Kidney Failure and Death in a CKD Cohort.

ABSTRACT

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Biomarkers that enable better identification of persons with chronic kidney disease (CKD) who are at higher risk for disease progression and adverse events are needed. This study sought to identify urine and plasma metabolites associated with progression of kidney disease. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective metabolome-wide association study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Persons with CKD enrolled in the German CKD Study (GCKD) with metabolite measurements; with external validation within the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. EXPOSURES 1,513 urine and 1,416 plasma metabolites (Metabolon, Inc.) measured at study entry using untargeted mass spectrometry. OUTCOMES: Main endpoints were kidney failure (KF), and a composite endpoint of KF, eGFR <15 mL/min/1.73m2, or 40% decline in eGFR (CKE). Death from any cause was a secondary endpoint. After a median of 6.5 years follow-up, 500 persons experienced KF, 1,083 experienced CKE and 680 died. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Time-to-event analyses using multivariable proportional hazard regression models in a discovery-replication design, with external validation. RESULTS: 5,088 GCKD participants were included in analyses of urine metabolites and 5,144 in analyses of plasma metabolites. Among 182 unique metabolites, 30 were significantly associated with KF, 49 with CKE, and 163 with death. The strongest association with KF was observed for plasma hydroxyasparagine (hazard ratio 1.95, 95% confidence interval 1.68-2.25). An unnamed metabolite measured in plasma and urine was significantly associated with KF, CKE, and death. External validation of the identified associations of metabolites with KF or CKE revealed direction-consistency for 88% of observed associations. Selected associations of 18 metabolites with study outcomes have not been previously reported. LIMITATIONS: Use of observational data and semi-quantitative metabolite measurements at a single time point. CONCLUSIONS: The observed associations between metabolites and KF, CKE or death in persons with CKD confirmed previously reported findings and also revealed several associations not previously described. These findings warrant confirmatory research in other study cohorts.