Esophageal cancer patient survival: A retrospective study from a tertiary care hospital in Pakistan.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To determine the pattern, tumor characteristics of esophageal cancer (EC) and survival of esophageal carcinoma patients presenting to upper GI Unit at Dr. Ruth K.M. Pfau Civil Hospital Karachi. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of histologically confirmed EC patients from 2016 to 2021 at Upper GI Unit - Dr. Ruth K.M. Pfau Civil Hospital, Karachi. Data were collected using a filled Proforma, medical records, pathology reports and surgical notes, and patients or their family members were contacted for informed consent. Statistical analyses were performed using STATA version 16.0. Time to event was measured from the date of diagnosis to the date of the last follow-up or recorded death. Descriptive statistics and survival analyses, including Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test, were employed. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to assess independent predictors of survival. Results: Total 152 patients with a median age of 45 (range 80-15) years were enrolled in this study. Clinical stages-III, IV-A and IV-B were identified in 35.5% (n = 54), 23.7% (n = 36) and 34.2% (n = 52), respectively. Total of 62% (n=94) had died at median follow up of 9.56 months and three years overall survival rate was 10.0%. Univariate survival analysis revealed that patients with clinical stage-II (p-value 0.002) and patients treated with combined surgery plus chemo-radiotherapy (p-value 0.040) was significantly associated with lower risk of mortality among other stages and treatment modality groups. Conversely, patients having metastasis (p value <0.001) and those with vascular involvement >90 degrees (p value <0.001) showed worse survival outcomes. Conclusion: Our study reveals a three years survival rate of 10.0%, emphasizing the formidable challenge of advanced-stage malignancies. Clinical stage, vascular involvement, and metastasis emerged as significant predictors of mortality. Moreover, integrating surgery with chemo-radiotherapy significantly improved three years survival (36.8% vs. 14.2%). Despite single-center limitations, our findings provide crucial regional insights into esophageal carcinoma outcomes.