Impact of climate change on Colombian Pacific coast mangrove bivalves distribution.
iScience
; 27(8): 110473, 2024 Aug 16.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-39139406
ABSTRACT
The mangrove bivalves, Anadara tuberculosa and Anadara similis, are pivotal for the Colombian Pacific coast mangrove ecosystems and economies. In this study, the current and future potential distribution of these bivalves is modeled considering climate change. The future models (2030 and 2050) were projected considering the new climate scenarios (SSP1, SSP2, and SSP5) proposed by the IPCC in its sixth report. Our findings reveal areas in the Colombian Pacific coast, notably Nariño, Cauca, southern Valle del Cauca, and Chocó, with high environmental suitability for these bivalves. However, the 2050 projections, especially under the pessimistic SSP5 scenario, indicate potential adverse impacts from climate change. By 2030 and 2050, the species might lean more toward a southwesterly distribution in the Colombian Pacific coast. Climate-induced spatiotemporal mismatches could occur between the bivalves and the mangroves in some areas. These insights are crucial for effective conservation and management strategies for these species.
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
País/Región como asunto:
America do sul
/
Colombia
Idioma:
En
Revista:
IScience
Año:
2024
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Colombia
Pais de publicación:
Estados Unidos