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Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran: a modelling analysis based on overseas cases and air travel data
Zian Zhuang; Shi Zhao; Qianying Lin; Peihua Cao; Yijun Lou; Lin Yang; Daihai He.
Afiliación
  • Zian Zhuang; Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  • Shi Zhao; Chinese University of Hong Kong
  • Qianying Lin; University of Michigan
  • Peihua Cao; Southern Medical University
  • Yijun Lou; Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  • Lin Yang; The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  • Daihai He; Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Preprint en En | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-20030320
ABSTRACT
As of 1 March 2020, Iran has reported 987 COVID-19 cases and including 54 associated deaths. At least six neighboring countries (Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Afghanistan and Pakistan) have reported imported COVID-19 cases from Iran. We used air travel data and the cases from Iran to other Middle East countries and estimated 16533 (95% CI 5925, 35538) COVID-19 cases in Iran by 25 February, before UAE and other Gulf Cooperation Council countries suspended inbound and outbound flights from Iran.
Licencia
cc_by_nc_nd
Texto completo: 1 Colección: 09-preprints Base de datos: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Idioma: En Año: 2020 Tipo del documento: Preprint
Texto completo: 1 Colección: 09-preprints Base de datos: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Idioma: En Año: 2020 Tipo del documento: Preprint