Cost-utility analysis of denosumab and zoledronic acid in the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis / 中国药房

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of denosumab and zoledronic acid in the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis ，and to provide reference for relevant decision-making. METHODS From the perspective of Chinese health system ，Excel 2003 software was used to establish Markov model ，and cost-utility analysis was used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of denosumab or zoledronic acid combined with calcium carbonate D 3 in the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis. Pharmacotherapy effects were obtained from the network Meta-analysis ，and cost and health-utility value data were obtained from the published literature or network ，etc. The model cycle was 1 year，and the simulation time limit was the patient ’s lifetime. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were used to evaluate the impact of model parameter changes on the robustness of the results ；and the cost-effectiveness of changing the medication cycle of zoledronic acid were explored through scenario analysis. RESULTS Denosumab regimen was more effective than zoledronic acid regimen （12.77 QALYs vs. 11.98 QALYs），and its cost was also higher than zoledronic acid regimen （51 224.56 yuan vs. 49 221.67 yuan）， and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was 2 544.14 yuan/QALY. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that the cost of Zoledronic acid injection and that of Denosumab injection had great impact on the results. The results of probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that when using 3 times of per capita gross domestic product （GDP）in China in 2021 as the threshold of willingness to pay ，the probability of Denosumab regimen being cost-effective was 85.4％. The results of the scenario analysis showed that the Denosumab regimen was still more cost-effective when the dosing cycle of zoledronic acid was changed. CONCLUSIONS Under the threshold of 1-3 times of Chinese per capita GDP in 2021，denosumab combined with calcium carbonate D 3 is more cost-effective than zoledronic acid combined with calcium carbonate D 3 in the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis.