Fitting the Incidence Data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, Based on Dengue Transmission Modellings Considering Time-Dependent Entomological Parameters.
PLoS One
; 11(3): e0152186, 2016.
Article
de En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-27010654
ABSTRACT
Four time-dependent dengue transmission models are considered in order to fit the incidence data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, recorded from October 1st 1995 to September 30th 2012. The entomological parameters are allowed to depend on temperature and precipitation, while the carrying capacity and the hatching of eggs depend only on precipitation. The whole period of incidence of dengue is split into four periods, due to the fact that the model is formulated considering the circulation of only one serotype. Dengue transmission parameters from human to mosquito and mosquito to human are fitted for each one of the periods. The time varying partial and overall effective reproduction numbers are obtained to explain the incidence of dengue provided by the models.
Texte intégral:
1
Collection:
01-internacional
Base de données:
MEDLINE
Sujet principal:
Dengue
/
Modèles théoriques
Type d'étude:
Incidence_studies
/
Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
Limites:
Animals
/
Humans
Pays/Région comme sujet:
America do sul
/
Brasil
Langue:
En
Journal:
PLoS One
Sujet du journal:
CIENCIA
/
MEDICINA
Année:
2016
Type de document:
Article
Pays d'affiliation:
Brésil
Pays de publication:
EEUU
/
ESTADOS UNIDOS
/
ESTADOS UNIDOS DA AMERICA
/
EUA
/
UNITED STATES
/
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
/
US
/
USA