Screening and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with advanced fibrosis after hepatitis C virus eradication.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after eradication of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) is highly variable in patients with advanced fibrosis (F3). Long-term surveillance for HCC after sustained virological response (SVR) is controversial in these patients. The objective of this study was to describe the post-SVR follow-up in clinical practice in patients with F3 and determine the predictive factors for the development of HCC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: a multicenter, observational and retrospective study was performed, which included HCV-monoinfected patients with F3 fibrosis determined by transient elastography who achieved SVR between 2015 and 2022, with follow-up until May 2023. Clinical-demographic, laboratory, elastography, and ultrasound variables were recorded before and after treatment. A descriptive and inferential analysis, Cox regression analysis and survival analysis were carried out with the R statistical software. RESULTS: two hundred and nineteen patients were included in the study (65.3 % males, median age 57 years), and 175 (79.9 %) received ultrasound screening after SVR for 62 (6-90) months. The prescribing service was the only independent variable related to performing ultrasound surveillance (p = 0.004). Eight patients developed HCC. In multivariate analysis adjusted for sex, age, presence of diabetes and alcohol consumption, a post-SVR FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 was associated with a 12-fold increase in HCC risk. The cumulative probability of HCC was higher in the group of patients with FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 after SVR (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: post-SVR follow-up of patients with F3 fibrosis is variable in clinical practice. Using the FIB-4 after SVR allows us to identify those patients with a higher risk of HCC who benefit from biannual ultrasound screening.