Host tree availability shapes potential distribution of a target epiphytic moss species more than direct climate effects.
Sci Rep
; 14(1): 18388, 2024 08 08.
Article
de En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-39117663
ABSTRACT
Climate change significantly impacts the distribution of woody plants, indirectly influencing the dynamics of entire ecosystems. Understanding species' varied responses to the environment and their reliance on biotic interactions is crucial for predicting the global changes' impact on woodland biodiversity. Our study focusses on Dicranum viride, a moss of conservation priority, and its dependence on specific phorophytes (host trees). Using species distribution modelling (SDM) techniques, we initially modelled its distribution using climate-only variables. As a novel approach, we also modelled the distribution of the main phorophyte species and incorporated them into D. viride SDM alongside climate data. Finally, we analysed the overlap of climatic and geographic niches between the epiphyte and the phorophytes. Inclusion of biotic interactions significantly improved model performance, with phorophyte availability emerging as the primary predictor. This underscores the significance of epiphyte-phorophyte interactions, supported by substantial niche overlap. Predictions indicate a potential decline in the suitability of most of the current areas for D. viride, with noticeable shifts towards the northern regions of Europe. Our study underscores the importance of incorporating biotic interactions into SDMs, especially for dependent organisms. Understanding such connections is essential to implement successful conservation strategies and adapt forest management practices to environmental changes.
Mots clés
Texte intégral:
1
Collection:
01-internacional
Base de données:
MEDLINE
Sujet principal:
Arbres
/
Changement climatique
/
Écosystème
/
Bryophyta
Pays/Région comme sujet:
Europa
Langue:
En
Journal:
Sci Rep
/
Sci. rep. (Nat. Publ. Group)
/
Scientific reports (Nature Publishing Group)
Année:
2024
Type de document:
Article
Pays d'affiliation:
Pologne
Pays de publication:
Royaume-Uni