A nationwide propensity score analysis comparing ablation and resection for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Studies have reported ambiguous results regarding the efficacy of ablation for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our study compared outcomes of ablation versus resection for HCC ≤50 mm to identify tumor sizes that would most benefit from ablation in terms of long-term survival. METHODS: The National Cancer Database was queried for patients with stage I and II HCC ≤50 mm who underwent ablation or resection (2004-2018). Three cohorts were created based on tumor size: ≤20, 21-30, and 31-50 mm. A propensity score-matched survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: In total, 36.47% (n = 4263) and 63.53% (n = 7425) of patients underwent resection and ablation, respectively. After matching, resection was associated with a significant survival benefit compared to ablation (3-year survival: 78.13% vs. 67.64%; p < 0.0001) in patients with HCC of ≤20 mm. The impact of resection was even more striking among patients with HCC of 21-30 mm (3-year survival: 77.88% vs. 60.53%; p < 0.0001) and 31-50 mm (3-year survival: 67.21% vs. 48.55%; p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: While resection offers a survival benefit over ablation in the treatment of early-stage HCC ≤50 mm, ablation may provide a feasible bridging strategy in patients awaiting transplantation.