TM-Score predicts immunotherapy efficacy and improves the performance of the machine learning prognostic model in gastric cancer.

ABSTRACT

Immunotherapy is becoming increasingly important, but the overall response rate is relatively low in the treatment of gastric cancer (GC). The application of tumor mutational burden (TMB) in predicting immunotherapy efficacy in GC patients is limited and controversial, emphasizing the importance of optimizing TMB-based patient selection. By combining TMB and major histocompatibility complex (MHC) related hub genes, we established a novel TM-Score. This score showed superior performance for immunotherapeutic selection (AUC = 0.808) compared to TMB, MSI status, and EBV status. Additionally, it predicted the prognosis of GC patients. Subsequently, a machine learning model adjusted by the TM-Score further improved the accuracy of survival prediction (AUC > 0.8). Meanwhile, we found that GC patients with low TM-Score had a higher mutation frequency, higher expression of HLA genes and immune checkpoint genes, and higher infiltration of CD8+ T cells, CD4+ helper T cells, and M1 macrophages. This suggests that TM-Score is significantly associated with tumor immunogenicity and tumor immune environment. Notably, based on the RNA-seq and scRNA-seq, it was found that AKAP5, a key component gene of TM-Score, is involved in anti-tumor immunity by promoting the infiltration of CD4+ T cells, NK cells, and myeloid cells. Additionally, siAKAP5 significantly reduced MHC-II mRNA expression in the GC cell line. In addition, our immunohistochemistry assays confirmed a positive correlation between AKAP5 and human leukocyte antigen (HLA) expression. Furthermore, AKAP5 levels were higher in patients with longer survival and those who responded to immunotherapy in GC, indicating its potential value in predicting prognosis and immunotherapy outcomes. In conclusion, TM-Score, as an optimization of TMB, is a more precise biomarker for predicting the immunotherapy efficacy of the GC population. Additionally, AKAP5 shows promise as a therapeutic target for GC.