Risk factors for severe disease in pediatric respiratory syncytial virus infections.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To assess factors associated with the risk of severe disease in children aged 5 years or younger with laboratory-confirmed respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Mexico. METHODS: Eligible participants included children aged 5 years or younger with laboratory-confirmed RSV infection January 1, 2023, and May 15, 2024. We collected relevant clinical and epidemiological data. Risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were employed to identify factors associated with the risk of severe disease, characterized by clinical and radiographic evidence of bronchiolitis or pneumonia requiring hospital admission. RESULTS: Data from 2022 children were analyzed and the overall risk of severe disease was 21.0% (n = 424/2022). In multiple generalized linear regression analysis, a personal history of immunosuppression (due to any cause) showed a protective effect (RR = 0.14, 95% CI 0.05-0.42, P = 0.001) against severe RSV disease, while an increased risk was documented for each additional day elapsed between the date of symptom onset and the date of seeking healthcare RR = 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10, P = 0.004). CONCLUSION: These findings provide insights into risk stratification and suggest specific directions for future research. This information informs the development of targeted intervention strategies to mitigate the impact of RSV infections in this vulnerable population.